Trivial-Dress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

955

Trades

5,926

lifetime

Volume

$122.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$56

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 01:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 80% -$1,043

Other

8% 95% -$222

Politics

0% 14% -$27

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
EU dissolves before 2027?	No	+20	$20	98¢	$20	$0	10-16 08:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+26	$24	70¢	$19	-$5	09-15 11:32
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$0	09-15 14:52
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$0	09-17 19:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+7	$6	46¢	$3	-$3	09-15 15:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-15 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 22 6am et	40	$2.5K	2,883	2,719	+164	Down	+$46	01-22 11:59
bitcoin up or down february 4 12pm et	106	$2.3K	1,808	1,422	+385	Down	+$76	02-04 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 21:15 UTC	65	$1.6K	1,118	1,063	+55	Up	+$68	01-22 21:28
bitcoin up or down february 4 11am et	72	$1.5K	1,338	1,420	-82	Down	+$38	02-04 17:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:00 UTC	21	$1.5K	856	853	+3	Up	+$35	01-22 00:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:45 UTC	32	$1.5K	1,042	783	+259	Down	-$127	02-04 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:15 UTC	69	$1.4K	811	807	+4	Up	+$33	01-22 01:28
bitcoin up or down january 22 7am et	26	$1.3K	1,087	1,884	-797	Up	+$113	01-22 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:30 UTC	37	$1.2K	728	724	+4	Down	+$38	01-22 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:30 UTC	16	$1.2K	719	716	+3	Up	+$28	01-22 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:00 UTC	38	$1.2K	786	781	+5	Up	+$7	01-22 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:45 UTC	46	$1.1K	823	436	+388	Up	+$27	01-22 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 10:45 UTC	12	$1.1K	1,399	1,048	+351	Up	+$129	01-22 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 21:00 UTC	32	$1.1K	603	594	+10	Down	+$69	01-10 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 15:30 UTC	12	$1.0K	739	340	+399	Down	+$18	02-04 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:00 UTC	28	$1.0K	560	558	+2	Down	+$33	01-21 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:15 UTC	46	$950	727	369	+358	Up	-$3	02-04 20:29
bitcoin up or down january 10 5pm et	15	$933	676	676	+0	Down	-$113	01-10 23:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:15 UTC	47	$884	543	405	+138	Up	+$18	02-06 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:00 UTC	33	$883	487	487	+0	Down	+$45	02-04 20:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:30 UTC	11	$828	436	436	+1	Up	+$7	01-22 00:44
bitcoin up or down february 4 10am et	171	$819	1,143	1,143	+0	Down	+$37	02-04 15:31
bitcoin up or down february 4 1pm et	83	$783	1,522	1,462	+59	Up	-$21	02-04 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 15:15 UTC	22	$770	502	294	+207	Down	+$17	01-10 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:30 UTC	24	$745	462	366	+96	Up	+$18	02-06 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 20:45 UTC	14	$740	399	398	+1	Down	+$33	01-10 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 21:15 UTC	28	$726	531	527	+5	Down	+$28	01-21 21:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:15 UTC	11	$714	382	381	+1	Up	+$3	01-22 00:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:45 UTC	23	$714	625	300	+326	Down	-$146	01-22 01:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 16:30 UTC	22	$709	518	251	+267	Down	+$3	02-04 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xd15395…
10-31 01:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xc80605…
10-31 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xae06b1…
10-31 01:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcecdb3…
10-31 01:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x85333b…
10-31 01:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9f41d3…
10-31 01:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa9e4e8…
10-31 01:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x136015…
10-31 01:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1b864b…
10-31 01:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3b7e60…
10-31 00:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x8e91ed…
10-31 00:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd4a9c0…
10-31 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x485d3f…
10-31 00:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x159ea2…
10-31 00:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb5c389…
10-31 00:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc1d1e7…
10-31 00:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6c68d1…
10-31 00:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x9beaea…
10-31 00:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x6c47e3…
10-31 00:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xda468f…
10-31 00:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xafc982…
10-31 00:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x2016aa…
10-31 00:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0xbcd7d6…
10-31 00:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc1e591…
10-31 00:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6b2c48…
10-30 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0xf36095…
10-30 23:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0xc31c37…
10-30 23:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x3381c0…
10-30 23:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xdb36ec…
10-30 23:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdd1532…
10-30 23:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1f59b9…
10-30 23:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x85af06…
10-30 23:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa64c12…
10-30 23:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5cfdc9…
10-30 23:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xef0c6c…
10-30 23:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd0e951…
10-30 23:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xaf3545…
10-30 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x31a9e7…
10-30 23:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x685c07…
10-30 23:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x0f76d0…
10-30 23:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe7c339…
10-30 23:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb683c6…
10-30 23:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x55ba63…
10-30 23:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2a01ed…
10-30 23:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xdb6b53…
10-30 23:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x1aef4e…
10-30 23:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2c9564…
10-30 23:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x5b18d0…
10-30 23:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf570f4…
10-30 23:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5a4ef9…
10-30 23:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x71824d…
10-30 23:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5e79d8…
10-30 23:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xaa3fa8…
10-30 23:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x6b41a3…
10-30 23:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2362ac…
10-30 23:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64a677…
10-30 23:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3f9167…
10-30 23:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x64105d…
10-30 23:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x888c6c…
10-30 23:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfd0281…
10-30 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf90f3a…
10-30 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x2ae965…
10-30 23:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xe24e04…
10-30 23:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x9b5997…
10-30 23:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x49d712…
10-30 23:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb9d4b4…
10-30 23:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe1d490…
10-30 22:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x2ac2a6…
10-30 22:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x731268…
10-30 22:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x96b5f9…
10-30 22:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xd64c39…
10-30 22:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x84944b…
10-30 22:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0934d8…
10-30 22:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5b7ce8…
10-30 22:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x144f60…
10-30 22:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb20336…
10-30 22:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd3052c…
10-30 22:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe9fd88…
10-30 22:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x69f768…
10-30 22:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x430a62…
10-30 22:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x154d1b…
10-30 22:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x583152…
10-30 22:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x482756…
10-30 22:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x544019…
10-30 22:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8e8c64…
10-30 22:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd35528…
10-30 22:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xa05eb1…
10-30 00:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	68	89¢	$60	0xa076b5…
10-30 00:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe418eb…
10-30 00:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x83aec3…
10-30 00:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x70c8f7…
10-30 00:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7ae213…
10-30 00:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa1df94…
10-30 00:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa07dac…
10-30 00:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4a0a04…
10-30 00:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd74007…
10-29 23:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa3b430…
10-29 23:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x321fec…
10-29 23:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4d5cc6…
10-29 23:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85fc71…