Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$261

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

861

Trades

1,268

lifetime

Volume

$6.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$46

12 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 11-06 01:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

55% 71% -$191

Crypto

43% 67% -$33

Sports

2% 50% -$11

Politics

1% 29% -$22

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+20	$17	91¢	$18	+$1	07-02 13:36
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	+10	$9	94¢	$9	+$1	07-04 09:36
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+5	$4	88¢	$5	+$1	10-13 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 6?	No	+5	$5	62¢	$3	-$2	11-06 00:42
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+3	$3	88¢	$3	+$0	10-13 10:09
trump putin and xi seen together before 2027	No	+17	$5	12¢	$2	-$3	09-30 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	+2	$1	55¢	$1	+$0	11-06 00:41
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+7	$1	15¢	$1	+$0	10-08 05:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+2	$1	44¢	$1	+$0	11-05 04:40
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+3	$1	30¢	$1	$0	11-01 13:03
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+5	$3	12¢	$1	-$2	08-12 02:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+5	$1	9¢	$0	-$1	08-08 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 04:15 UTC	5	$316	237	125	+112	Down	+$17	07-20 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 04:25 UTC	3	$205	109	109	+0	Up	+$3	07-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 05:45 UTC	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	07-20 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 17?	2	$197	106	106	+0	No	-$3	07-16 11:03
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 18?	6	$169	114	101	+13	No	-$40	07-18 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 05:40 UTC	5	$115	125	12	+113	Up	+$16	07-20 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$110	108	5	+103	Up	+$3	07-23 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 06:45 UTC	2	$105	110	0	+110	Up	-$105	07-20 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 04:20 UTC	4	$102	104	2	+102	Up	+$0	07-20 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 04:55 UTC	3	$101	118	3	+115	Up	+$14	07-20 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$101	107	2	+105	Up	+$4	07-20 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 05:35 UTC	2	$101	103	0	+103	Up	+$2	07-20 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 17?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	07-17 05:47
bitcoin above 66k on july 16 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	07-16 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 05:05 UTC	1	$100	104	0	+104	Down	+$4	07-20 05:09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 19?	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	07-18 13:00
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$4	07-11 23:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 03:05 UTC	4	$68	47	47	+0	Down	+$26	07-23 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 14?	4	$45	50	0	+50	No	+$5	07-14 01:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	1	$45	50	0	+50	Over	+$5	07-12 00:47
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$40	46	0	+46	Yes	-$40	07-16 14:36
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 28	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	07-28 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 16?	3	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$2	07-16 14:20
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	1	$30	34	0	+34	Over	+$4	07-15 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 14?	3	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$2	07-14 07:41
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	07-14 06:20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	07-12 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:35 UTC	5	$28	50	45	+5	Down	+$1	07-22 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 10?	3	$24	33	0	+33	No	+$9	07-10 06:23
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners second half total 3pt5	1	$23	30	0	+30	Over	+$7	07-11 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xdd9576…
11-06 01:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x964680…
11-06 01:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x3be81e…
11-06 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2b077b…
11-06 00:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5224e6…
11-06 00:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2b2c95…
11-06 00:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x162068…
11-06 00:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa73437…
11-06 00:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7c287c…
11-05 04:40:13	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc5f534…
11-05 04:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x59a25b…
11-04 01:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8d5b60…
11-04 01:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbe0f29…
11-04 00:22:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6649ab…
11-03 05:46:57	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa49077…
11-01 13:06:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc19c44…
11-01 13:03:51	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9ff808…
11-01 12:53:45	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x41d356…
11-01 05:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x602045…
11-01 04:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x79e80c…
10-31 23:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x40b882…
10-31 10:58:15	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa6185c…
10-31 02:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe6ebfe…
10-31 02:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xea6c4c…
10-29 04:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa7171d…
10-29 00:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x64bafe…
10-28 01:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x1c66d7…
10-28 00:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc4d9f5…
10-27 06:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1f46de…
10-26 00:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xeb6fd0…
10-26 00:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5551ba…
10-25 01:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x998a94…
10-25 01:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x977961…
10-24 00:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xea2d4a…
10-24 00:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x884e56…
10-24 00:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x0fef29…
10-23 05:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x23e0c6…
10-22 23:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x703732…
10-22 23:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 23?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2a6678…
10-22 23:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0b5438…
10-22 23:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x86c850…
10-22 00:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd1c9cd…
10-22 00:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcbe47a…
10-22 00:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8928b9…
10-21 00:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on October 21?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xabe89e…
10-21 00:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x58afa5…
10-14 11:43:17	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x75d359…
10-13 10:09:11	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xf3d551…
10-13 01:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc40a91…
10-13 01:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x86f746…
10-13 01:41:20	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1519b7…
10-11 02:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x899a7c…
10-08 05:30:53	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4b6e28…
10-06 00:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x76ba34…
10-06 00:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfa5372…
09-30 05:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x37ef12…
09-30 03:25:21	trump putin and xi seen together before 2027	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd42115…
09-30 03:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbd0ab1…
09-30 03:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6ccf71…
09-28 06:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x76cb77…
09-28 06:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd4db8f…
09-28 01:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4fdf50…
09-28 01:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 28?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd5c6a8…
09-27 03:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x844e45…
09-27 03:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x523b78…
09-27 03:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x95491d…
09-26 05:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x219eab…
09-26 05:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a0fcc…
09-26 05:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1a81e2…
09-24 15:20:14	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x91fce6…
09-24 00:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5bf5c7…
09-24 00:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe2c7a6…
09-23 04:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xac1e0d…
09-22 08:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7b4e58…
09-22 00:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd452a9…
09-21 06:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2cc98f…
09-21 06:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc8e921…
09-18 06:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x15a47d…
09-18 06:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x96daff…
09-18 06:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6d4f26…
09-18 05:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x752552…
09-18 04:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x62e0ee…
09-17 06:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 17?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xcd4e48…
09-17 06:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x735e50…
09-16 08:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xac4f27…
09-16 00:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x630005…
09-16 00:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2e88c7…
09-16 00:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1441ed…
09-16 00:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd743bf…
09-15 10:35:52	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x55b310…
09-15 06:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0ab0a1…
09-15 06:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9b774f…
09-10 06:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x05f8b6…
09-10 03:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xda88c6…
09-09 00:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc4f9d3…
09-09 00:23:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 9?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd39518…
09-08 02:19:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9711a4…
09-08 00:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 8?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf69895…
09-08 00:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 8?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x225cce…
09-08 00:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe25291…