Lively-Authenticity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

7,644

Trades

1,560,204

lifetime

Volume

$28.5M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-13 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$138,349

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 44973 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down		+168	$37	0¢	$0	$-37	05-15 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	154	$30.7K	72,091	+72,091	open	—	05-04 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET	323	$19.7K	36,058	+36,058	open	—	05-01 15:58
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11am et	149	$18.2K	37,167	+37,167	open	—	07-01 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	284	$15.8K	27,324	+27,324	Down	$-1,976	05-09 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	279	$15.1K	26,495	+26,495	Up	$-243	05-13 07:59
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	205	$15.1K	25,084	+25,084	open	—	06-06 15:59
btc updown 4h 1781193600	387	$14.2K	27,646	+27,646	open	—	06-11 19:45
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 9am et	500	$14.1K	35,688	+35,688	open	—	06-10 13:47
bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 9am et	274	$13.9K	27,901	+27,901	open	—	07-10 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	205	$13.7K	22,350	+22,350	Up	+$323	05-06 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	248	$13.2K	24,236	+24,236	open	—	05-04 16:59
btc updown 15m 1781016300	160	$12.5K	20,835	+20,835	open	—	06-09 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	243	$12.2K	22,128	+22,128	Up	$-1,467	05-11 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	177	$11.9K	21,236	+21,236	Up	$-1,301	05-11 07:59
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	117	$11.9K	21,156	+21,156	open	—	06-06 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	446	$11.6K	24,854	+24,854	open	—	05-15 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	149	$11.3K	20,113	+20,113	Down	+$548	05-06 23:58
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 8pm et	246	$11.2K	21,787	+21,787	open	—	07-13 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	170	$11.2K	21,626	+21,626	Up	+$793	05-06 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3AM ET	152	$11.1K	21,367	+21,367	open	—	05-01 07:56
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 9am et	323	$11.0K	28,563	+28,563	open	—	06-22 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	134	$11.0K	18,683	+18,683	Up	+$976	05-07 04:49
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 6pm et	305	$10.9K	18,410	+18,410	open	—	06-05 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	266	$10.9K	19,399	+19,399	open	—	05-19 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	422	$10.9K	28,730	+28,730	open	—	05-26 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	209	$10.8K	18,528	+18,528	Up	$-1,846	05-10 07:59
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 8am et	568	$10.8K	20,185	+20,185	open	—	06-04 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	179	$10.6K	18,876	+18,876	Up	$-1,128	05-08 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12AM ET	178	$10.6K	21,557	+21,557	open	—	05-01 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	168	$10.4K	21,744	+21,744	open	—	05-22 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 21:39:44	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x04dcbd…
07-13 21:39:41	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x63e382…
07-13 21:39:38	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x75bb50…
07-13 21:39:37	xrp up or down july 13 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9dda1b…
07-13 21:39:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x871460…
07-13 21:38:47	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xef7bb6…
07-13 21:38:47	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x374898…
07-13 21:38:40	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7a4cdc…
07-13 21:38:40	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x1d1882…
07-13 21:38:37	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb67244…
07-13 21:38:37	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x5e91ca…
07-13 21:38:37	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x25ac8b…
07-13 21:38:35	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf4808d…
07-13 21:38:35	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe71c9b…
07-13 21:38:35	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc51a27…
07-13 21:38:35	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa4073e…
07-13 21:38:35	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x76bdd5…
07-13 21:38:35	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	32	80¢	$26	0x4a4266…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe133c5…
07-13 21:38:34	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$10	0xe0845e…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0xd1cecd…
07-13 21:38:34	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0xcce9d0…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xaf64b6…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x9097f5…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x876b0d…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x7699bb…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x461177…
07-13 21:38:34	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x327022…
07-13 21:38:34	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x30addd…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1fa82c…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x1f18bb…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x1c37dd…
07-13 21:38:34	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0f2b05…
07-13 21:38:31	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xff85c0…
07-13 21:38:31	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x0d73ca…
07-13 21:38:29	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe4a8fc…
07-13 21:38:29	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x98b82b…
07-13 21:38:29	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x846d0f…
07-13 21:38:28	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xf74381…
07-13 21:38:28	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xf53372…
07-13 21:38:28	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	13	82¢	$10	0xf10185…
07-13 21:38:28	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xdba45d…
07-13 21:38:28	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xb2080c…
07-13 21:38:28	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x96e581…
07-13 21:38:28	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x695d7d…
07-13 21:38:28	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x09e9db…
07-13 21:38:26	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	43	85¢	$37	0x85a6d8…
07-13 21:38:26	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x61f32f…
07-13 21:38:26	sol updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x00190d…
07-13 21:38:25	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x5c0526…
07-13 21:38:25	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x463d1f…
07-13 21:38:25	sol updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x161923…
07-13 21:38:23	sol updown 4h 1783972800	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x429b26…
07-13 21:38:22	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x6b6af3…
07-13 21:38:22	sol updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$24	0x341ffd…
07-13 21:38:22	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x0cc4f2…
07-13 21:38:20	ethereum up or down july 13 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb270d7…
07-13 21:38:20	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xa48694…
07-13 21:38:20	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x807718…
07-13 21:38:20	ethereum up or down july 13 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	42	98¢	$42	0x475575…
07-13 21:38:20	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x2ee926…
07-13 21:38:19	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	27	97¢	$27	0xae3cd9…
07-13 21:38:19	xrp updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x2f5045…
07-13 21:38:14	bitcoin above 62000 on july 13 2026 6pm et	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x2b397f…
07-13 21:38:08	sol updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xd7fc43…
07-13 21:38:05	xrp updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb7068a…
07-13 21:38:01	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x824636…
07-13 21:37:59	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xc8074f…
07-13 21:37:58	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0xaf7870…
07-13 21:37:56	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xd8d2f6…
07-13 21:37:56	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x0622f6…
07-13 21:37:49	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	225	39¢	$88	0x1c317a…
07-13 21:37:46	sol updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x934718…
07-13 21:37:40	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x922854…
07-13 21:37:40	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0x4e3ebb…
07-13 21:37:38	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x5111f3…
07-13 21:37:35	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x41131d…
07-13 21:37:34	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xfec046…
07-13 21:37:34	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x962acf…
07-13 21:37:34	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8a7ac9…
07-13 21:37:34	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x626825…
07-13 21:37:32	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x3f5418…
07-13 21:37:32	eth updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x15c2c0…
07-13 21:37:28	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xfb88c8…
07-13 21:37:11	btc updown 5m 1783978500	Down	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0x4985d0…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe5fe56…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe2d288…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xd92619…
07-13 21:37:07	eth updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xc76608…
07-13 21:37:07	eth updown 5m 1783978500	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xb29791…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x969573…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x7c5ee8…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x682fde…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x65d5e6…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x51d2d5…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x42907a…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3c1a16…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x352fff…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x1851bd…
07-13 21:37:07	btc updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x072f7f…