Lively-Authenticity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

7,644

Trades

945,005

lifetime

Volume

$19.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-15 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$138,349

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 44973 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down		+168	$37	0¢	$0	$-37	05-15 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	154	$30.7K	72,091	+72,091	open	—	05-04 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET	323	$19.7K	36,058	+36,058	open	—	05-01 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	284	$15.8K	27,324	+27,324	Down	$-1,976	05-09 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	279	$15.1K	26,495	+26,495	Up	$-243	05-13 07:59
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	205	$15.1K	25,084	+25,084	open	—	06-06 15:59
btc updown 4h 1781193600	387	$14.2K	27,646	+27,646	open	—	06-11 19:45
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 9am et	500	$14.1K	35,688	+35,688	open	—	06-10 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	205	$13.7K	22,350	+22,350	Up	+$323	05-06 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	248	$13.2K	24,236	+24,236	open	—	05-04 16:59
btc updown 15m 1781016300	160	$12.5K	20,835	+20,835	open	—	06-09 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	243	$12.2K	22,128	+22,128	Up	$-1,467	05-11 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	177	$11.9K	21,236	+21,236	Up	$-1,301	05-11 07:59
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	117	$11.9K	21,156	+21,156	open	—	06-06 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	446	$11.6K	24,854	+24,854	open	—	05-15 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	149	$11.3K	20,113	+20,113	Down	+$548	05-06 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	170	$11.2K	21,626	+21,626	Up	+$793	05-06 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3AM ET	152	$11.1K	21,367	+21,367	open	—	05-01 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	134	$11.0K	18,683	+18,683	Up	+$976	05-07 04:49
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 6pm et	305	$10.9K	18,410	+18,410	open	—	06-05 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	266	$10.9K	19,399	+19,399	open	—	05-19 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	422	$10.9K	28,730	+28,730	open	—	05-26 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	209	$10.8K	18,528	+18,528	Up	$-1,846	05-10 07:59
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 8am et	568	$10.8K	20,185	+20,185	open	—	06-04 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	179	$10.6K	18,876	+18,876	Up	$-1,128	05-08 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12AM ET	178	$10.6K	21,557	+21,557	open	—	05-01 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	168	$10.4K	21,744	+21,744	open	—	05-22 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	347	$10.4K	20,858	+20,858	Up	$-1,581	05-07 01:57
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 10am et	255	$10.2K	18,963	+18,963	open	—	06-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	461	$10.1K	21,969	+21,969	open	—	05-19 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	156	$10.1K	21,080	+21,080	Up	$-656	05-08 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 10:27:21	sol updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xba1ef2…
06-15 10:27:18	sol updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x14e6e3…
06-15 10:27:15	eth updown 5m 1781519100	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x7a3bd3…
06-15 10:26:55	sol updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2a2751…
06-15 10:26:42	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x2a1166…
06-15 10:26:40	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0x4594f6…
06-15 10:26:39	btc updown 5m 1781519100	Up	BUY	145	63¢	$91	0xc6d25b…
06-15 10:26:39	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	38	71¢	$27	0x6adb6e…
06-15 10:26:37	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xe343f9…
06-15 10:26:37	sol updown 5m 1781519100	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x63b99f…
06-15 10:26:36	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0xa21ef7…
06-15 10:26:36	eth updown 5m 1781519100	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x4d160a…
06-15 10:26:34	btc updown 5m 1781519100	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6f80be…
06-15 10:26:33	btc updown 5m 1781519100	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xa899a2…
06-15 10:26:33	btc updown 4h 1781510400	Up	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x8f5d99…
06-15 10:26:33	btc updown 5m 1781519100	Up	BUY	35	59¢	$20	0x7af39b…
06-15 10:26:31	eth updown 5m 1781519100	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xca7a08…
06-15 10:26:31	eth updown 5m 1781519100	Up	BUY	66	58¢	$38	0x5f35c1…
06-15 10:26:28	sol updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x10ab2a…
06-15 10:25:19	eth updown 5m 1781519100	Down	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x47c5af…
06-15 10:25:18	eth updown 5m 1781519100	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x6fd820…
06-15 10:24:28	sol updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa6b170…
06-15 10:24:10	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	183	52¢	$95	0xafcb01…
06-15 10:24:04	btc updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	153	87¢	$133	0x91565a…
06-15 10:24:03	btc updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	131	91¢	$119	0x5c8eea…
06-15 10:23:57	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x7cb3fa…
06-15 10:23:54	sol updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x51c025…
06-15 10:23:52	sol updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x93f18e…
06-15 10:23:45	sol updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xaa2915…
06-15 10:23:45	xrp updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x637bea…
06-15 10:23:45	btc updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	202	47¢	$95	0x4b55de…
06-15 10:23:45	sol updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x1f38f8…
06-15 10:23:45	btc updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x03d31d…
06-15 10:23:43	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	55	67¢	$37	0xeb8ada…
06-15 10:23:42	eth updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x7f8600…
06-15 10:23:37	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	170	85¢	$144	0x6d0d2b…
06-15 10:23:34	xrp updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x2d76f8…
06-15 10:23:33	xrp updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x9337df…
06-15 10:23:28	eth updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xcbd43b…
06-15 10:23:28	sol updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x0a99cb…
06-15 10:23:27	xrp updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x2c6474…
06-15 10:23:16	btc updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	81	24¢	$19	0xc43cbb…
06-15 10:23:16	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	57	64¢	$37	0x7efb02…
06-15 10:23:15	eth updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x4e2fa3…
06-15 10:23:13	btc updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xf38046…
06-15 10:23:13	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xdca174…
06-15 10:23:12	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x5fdd84…
06-15 10:23:09	eth updown 5m 1781518800	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xc59380…
06-15 10:22:37	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x45a549…
06-15 10:22:27	bitcoin above 65800 on june 15 2026 7am et	No	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x39f77e…
06-15 10:22:22	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x0da636…
06-15 10:22:07	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x350085…
06-15 10:22:01	btc updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	161	54¢	$87	0xecb5fd…
06-15 10:21:39	eth updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xa153a1…
06-15 10:21:37	eth updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3a6b2a…
06-15 10:21:33	eth updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x3bd3b5…
06-15 10:21:31	eth updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x8bf338…
06-15 10:21:24	eth updown 5m 1781518800	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x14830b…
06-15 10:19:55	eth updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf454f8…
06-15 10:19:46	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	157	1¢	$2	0x0d7585…
06-15 10:19:34	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xbb0be9…
06-15 10:19:33	eth updown 4h 1781510400	Up	BUY	140	81¢	$113	0xd63f92…
06-15 10:19:33	eth updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa35d17…
06-15 10:19:31	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xb5a343…
06-15 10:19:31	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x5d1bd0…
06-15 10:19:13	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0xc450b2…
06-15 10:19:13	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x1639bf…
06-15 10:19:09	sol updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xf288d1…
06-15 10:19:09	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	74	71¢	$52	0xd9be6a…
06-15 10:19:07	sol updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x3652d8…
06-15 10:19:07	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	34	70¢	$24	0x227b94…
06-15 10:18:52	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2e0f49…
06-15 10:18:48	xrp updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xc0d897…
06-15 10:18:46	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xf79d40…
06-15 10:18:46	xrp updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x236b5c…
06-15 10:18:40	eth updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x601d9a…
06-15 10:18:36	btc updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xf3f97b…
06-15 10:18:36	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x07335f…
06-15 10:18:34	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x6d94f8…
06-15 10:18:16	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6f4978…
06-15 10:18:13	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	44	67¢	$29	0xf0a5e2…
06-15 10:18:13	eth updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5c9227…
06-15 10:18:10	btc updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xa4970d…
06-15 10:17:58	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xa93eee…
06-15 10:17:55	btc updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0xae7e1c…
06-15 10:17:54	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x21f5a7…
06-15 10:17:24	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xb10c7f…
06-15 10:17:24	eth updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x9bb772…
06-15 10:17:24	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	59	79¢	$47	0x8addae…
06-15 10:17:22	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x68c347…
06-15 10:17:21	btc updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x57572c…
06-15 10:17:18	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x359222…
06-15 10:17:00	eth updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xf250cb…
06-15 10:17:00	eth updown 15m 1781518500	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7063b1…
06-15 10:16:37	eth updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xe8c56d…
06-15 10:15:16	sol updown 5m 1781518500	Up	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x479e0c…
06-15 10:13:36	btc updown 5m 1781518200	Down	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x19bb23…
06-15 10:13:34	btc updown 5m 1781518200	Down	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xda03c5…
06-15 10:13:28	sol updown 5m 1781518200	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcec061…
06-15 10:13:24	sol updown 5m 1781518200	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x6173fa…