Lively-Authenticity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

7,644

Trades

2,096,794

lifetime

Volume

$37.5M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-08 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$138,349

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 44973 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	154	$30.7K	72,091	+72,091	open	—	05-04 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET	323	$19.7K	36,058	+36,058	open	—	05-01 15:58
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11am et	149	$18.2K	37,167	+37,167	open	—	07-01 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	284	$15.8K	27,324	+27,324	Down	$-1,976	05-09 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	279	$15.1K	26,495	+26,495	Up	$-243	05-13 07:59
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	205	$15.1K	25,084	+25,084	open	—	06-06 15:59
btc updown 4h 1781193600	387	$14.2K	27,646	+27,646	open	—	06-11 19:45
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 9am et	500	$14.1K	35,688	+35,688	open	—	06-10 13:47
bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 9am et	274	$13.9K	27,901	+27,901	open	—	07-10 13:58
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 5pm et	313	$13.8K	24,544	+24,544	open	—	07-24 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	205	$13.7K	22,350	+22,350	Up	+$323	05-06 23:52
bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	480	$13.7K	29,219	+29,219	open	—	07-30 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	248	$13.2K	24,236	+24,236	open	—	05-04 16:59
btc updown 15m 1781016300	160	$12.5K	20,835	+20,835	open	—	06-09 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	243	$12.2K	22,128	+22,128	Up	$-1,467	05-11 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	177	$11.9K	21,236	+21,236	Up	$-1,301	05-11 07:59
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	117	$11.9K	21,156	+21,156	open	—	06-06 14:59
bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 6pm et	208	$11.8K	18,329	+18,329	open	—	07-31 22:59
btc updown 15m 1784655000	85	$11.6K	18,817	+18,817	open	—	07-21 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	446	$11.6K	24,854	+24,854	open	—	05-15 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	149	$11.3K	20,113	+20,113	Down	+$548	05-06 23:58
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 8pm et	246	$11.2K	21,787	+21,787	open	—	07-13 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	170	$11.2K	21,626	+21,626	Up	+$793	05-06 09:59
bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 9am et	318	$11.1K	24,701	+24,701	open	—	07-27 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3AM ET	152	$11.1K	21,367	+21,367	open	—	05-01 07:56
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 9am et	323	$11.0K	28,563	+28,563	open	—	06-22 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	134	$11.0K	18,683	+18,683	Up	+$976	05-07 04:49
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 6pm et	305	$10.9K	18,410	+18,410	open	—	06-05 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	266	$10.9K	19,399	+19,399	open	—	05-19 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	422	$10.9K	28,730	+28,730	open	—	05-26 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 11:21:22	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7f4184…
08-08 11:21:13	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xef87d2…
08-08 11:21:12	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2040b3…
08-08 11:20:57	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc00ab1…
08-08 11:20:22	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x2dc1f7…
08-08 11:20:21	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xf9a38c…
08-08 11:20:21	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x43dabb…
08-08 11:20:12	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc5262d…
08-08 11:19:45	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xc9e048…
08-08 11:19:36	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x36c8aa…
08-08 11:19:24	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0x90747c…
08-08 11:19:22	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x87f480…
08-08 11:19:22	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x85c674…
08-08 11:19:07	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0x7f09c0…
08-08 11:19:04	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3237e8…
08-08 11:19:01	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf0ad7e…
08-08 11:19:01	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	72	57¢	$41	0xe189c0…
08-08 11:19:01	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0x3daf6e…
08-08 11:18:55	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0xfd6df6…
08-08 11:18:55	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xba27b6…
08-08 11:18:51	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xd78c12…
08-08 11:18:49	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3a590b…
08-08 11:18:37	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x8b5dd9…
08-08 11:18:34	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x037007…
08-08 11:18:24	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e9e4d…
08-08 11:18:09	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x803065…
08-08 11:18:03	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xfa46e9…
08-08 11:17:57	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x07c6d0…
08-08 11:17:55	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdebcc8…
08-08 11:17:54	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x0848ee…
08-08 11:17:49	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xad1f10…
08-08 11:17:48	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x154451…
08-08 11:17:46	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	140	48¢	$67	0x8e5d28…
08-08 11:17:42	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x53042e…
08-08 11:17:42	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3adb62…
08-08 11:17:37	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x2f07a7…
08-08 11:17:37	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0401e1…
08-08 11:17:33	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	169	2¢	$3	0xd4e040…
08-08 11:17:31	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x42cebe…
08-08 11:17:18	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xcc12c9…
08-08 11:17:13	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x67a844…
08-08 11:17:10	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf58bbf…
08-08 11:17:09	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0xcb72a1…
08-08 11:16:57	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x5ddcf7…
08-08 11:16:55	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0xf2847a…
08-08 11:16:55	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x805136…
08-08 11:16:55	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x55597b…
08-08 11:16:49	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xc52fa9…
08-08 11:16:49	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x4324cd…
08-08 11:16:48	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x167c93…
08-08 11:16:46	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x093672…
08-08 11:16:42	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xecb6d8…
08-08 11:16:42	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6aeecb…
08-08 11:16:36	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9ee509…
08-08 11:16:33	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2e86de…
08-08 11:16:27	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbb355a…
08-08 11:16:27	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1a31a2…
08-08 11:16:25	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	67	63¢	$42	0xdda608…
08-08 11:16:25	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x8f408e…
08-08 11:16:24	xrp updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xe197f3…
08-08 11:16:22	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xeb9b5d…
08-08 11:16:22	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	65	64¢	$42	0x33d1c0…
08-08 11:16:21	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	228	63¢	$143	0x8f1216…
08-08 11:16:19	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0xd12411…
08-08 11:16:19	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xc083a5…
08-08 11:16:18	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x6ae5c9…
08-08 11:16:18	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0x49d0b8…
08-08 11:16:07	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0xbd5520…
08-08 11:16:07	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x9c39cc…
08-08 11:16:07	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x89a74c…
08-08 11:16:06	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x4f0436…
08-08 11:16:04	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x970fdc…
08-08 11:16:03	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf64d53…
08-08 11:16:00	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x59b278…
08-08 11:16:00	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x4b8f2f…
08-08 11:16:00	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x0922c0…
08-08 11:15:45	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x9fa7ad…
08-08 11:15:42	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf8bb9a…
08-08 11:14:40	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0xe1709a…
08-08 11:14:21	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x69dbfd…
08-08 11:14:03	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x949b6a…
08-08 11:14:03	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x013b8e…
08-08 11:14:00	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x02d17e…
08-08 11:13:48	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa65f91…
08-08 11:13:36	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xcb11e9…
08-08 11:13:25	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x0154f6…
08-08 11:13:22	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe21368…
08-08 11:13:22	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xadb88d…
08-08 11:13:22	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa6e70c…
08-08 11:13:22	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x201553…
08-08 11:13:22	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0d7def…
08-08 11:13:18	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x132c77…
08-08 11:13:15	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb84d2b…
08-08 11:13:12	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x61d4d3…
08-08 11:13:07	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x84ea88…
08-08 11:13:06	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3fd4a9…
08-08 11:13:06	eth updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x131123…
08-08 11:12:57	solana up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x118035…
08-08 11:12:46	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x04695a…
08-08 11:12:45	sol updown 4h 1786176000	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9c5f6c…