Oval-Market — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

701

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-18 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

83% 29% +$42

Politics

16% 0% —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	17	$119	160	185	-25	open	—	05-15 08:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	5	$107	300	100	+200	Down	+$1	05-06 12:30
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?	13	$102	219	100	+119	open	—	04-28 19:00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 Week of May 11 2026?	5	$100	129	129	+0	open	—	05-15 13:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	7	$99	250	100	+150	Up	+$1	05-07 13:30
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 29?	4	$83	106	106	+0	open	—	04-29 20:20
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 27?	9	$71	208	106	+102	open	—	04-27 16:37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	14	$61	511	585	-74	open	—	04-30 18:51
Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.9B in Q2?	4	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	05-09 14:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	9	$55	400	500	-100	Up	+$31	05-04 16:29
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?	5	$50	154	54	+100	open	—	04-30 17:57
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$46	60	60	+0	No	+$36	05-05 10:43
Will Trump's remarks not air?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 21:18
Will Trump's remarks not air?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-04 15:52
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	12	$36	106	106	+0	Yes	$-2	05-11 02:34
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 13?	8	$34	112	61	+50	Up	$-0	05-13 15:04
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 24?	13	$30	237	233	+4	open	—	04-24 20:21
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 29?	6	$29	103	103	-0	open	—	04-29 19:38
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	3	$25	208	208	+0	open	—	05-02 17:11
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026?	5	$25	41	41	+0	open	—	05-16 17:35
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	4	$24	64	14	+50	Up	$-1	05-11 18:57
spx up or down on april 23 2026	9	$24	169	162	+6	open	—	04-23 18:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$24	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 16:39
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	16	$24	519	519	+0	open	—	05-01 18:12
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	9	$19	169	169	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 18:57
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	9	$19	159	159	+0	open	—	05-18 06:03
xagusd up or down on april 23 2026	11	$17	221	116	+105	open	—	04-23 20:51
xauusd up or down on april 23 2026	2	$16	52	50	+2	open	—	04-23 16:35
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	9	$16	186	186	+0	open	—	05-18 04:42
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$14	201	201	+0	open	—	04-24 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 21:18:08	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x880713…
05-18 18:36:47	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4f5b1a…
05-18 18:14:58	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xcf4ac9…
05-18 18:10:18	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x58e3ac…
05-18 17:31:24	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x15bcd6…
05-18 17:12:14	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3b2cc1…
05-18 17:05:40	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4c433f…
05-18 06:03:39	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0xfc3545…
05-18 04:42:25	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0xfe62d6…
05-18 03:38:24	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xc464ba…
05-18 03:15:11	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x40464a…
05-18 03:13:19	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xf0c703…
05-17 23:17:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x83149d…
05-17 23:17:35	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x45781f…
05-17 22:47:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x996805…
05-17 22:02:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf5cba7…
05-17 20:11:53	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf26206…
05-17 15:43:42	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6e92e9…
05-17 04:19:32	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x0c2dee…
05-17 03:14:26	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xf2b4c7…
05-16 17:35:32	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xe579e9…
05-16 12:16:29	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x631827…
05-16 11:47:26	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x92d823…
05-16 11:46:05	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xab3531…
05-16 11:06:43	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x015ee6…
05-16 10:30:17	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xe6138e…
05-16 10:27:41	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xf36caf…
05-16 06:51:23	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x750bd7…
05-16 06:43:48	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x674c10…
05-16 06:40:41	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2f3dcf…
05-16 06:33:36	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa29e18…
05-16 06:18:22	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4febd2…
05-16 06:17:49	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xb73d79…
05-16 04:37:41	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8bf694…
05-16 01:51:12	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x32898b…
05-15 23:23:44	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5abb27…
05-15 19:43:46	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x02dd5d…
05-15 19:27:01	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xca36d4…
05-15 19:22:02	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x812a38…
05-15 18:25:34	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xaac0db…
05-15 18:10:54	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xab3834…
05-15 18:03:45	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xba1abc…
05-15 17:29:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xda6523…
05-15 17:28:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x7f2112…
05-15 13:43:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x3040c0…
05-15 13:43:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xcffcec…
05-15 13:26:59	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xd6adc1…
05-15 13:21:06	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x74904a…
05-15 12:07:59	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x65cb98…
05-15 10:33:11	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x130d34…
05-15 10:26:44	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x16c92a…
05-15 10:19:04	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x557d03…
05-15 10:18:31	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xe7e943…
05-15 10:18:01	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x657e85…
05-15 09:50:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xfa8205…
05-15 09:20:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xe5a874…
05-15 08:10:04	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0x1c4db0…
05-15 08:03:07	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x50b50b…
05-15 08:02:53	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x46147f…
05-15 08:02:43	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1b2a23…
05-15 08:02:32	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x115cc1…
05-15 08:02:24	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x63828e…
05-15 08:00:44	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x665db8…
05-15 08:00:35	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x596262…
05-15 08:00:09	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8233eb…
05-15 07:59:13	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0075c4…
05-15 07:57:42	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc45966…
05-15 07:57:19	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x80fcee…
05-15 07:56:02	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb2c8cf…
05-15 07:53:18	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb147d1…
05-15 07:51:26	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xa9baeb…
05-15 07:49:21	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x664fea…
05-15 07:48:11	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xfcf430…
05-15 07:47:01	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xeeb055…
05-15 07:46:37	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x10ced0…
05-15 07:46:14	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc86c77…
05-15 07:45:15	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x02d838…
05-15 07:44:13	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1df399…
05-15 07:44:05	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfa4e1b…
05-15 07:44:05	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3518b7…
05-15 07:43:56	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3ba508…
05-15 07:43:24	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x4cf17e…
05-15 07:42:23	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x307cdf…
05-15 07:42:11	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x91a43c…
05-15 07:42:07	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x24a727…
05-15 07:41:52	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x17067e…
05-15 07:41:41	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0x9e989f…
05-15 07:41:17	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3c2388…
05-15 07:31:57	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xcd0857…
05-15 07:29:58	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd09c30…
05-15 07:29:31	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5c99c2…
05-15 07:28:16	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x2087b5…
05-15 07:28:06	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb7a749…
05-15 07:28:06	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb7a749…
05-15 07:27:43	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5d8db9…
05-15 07:27:39	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x97c116…
05-15 07:27:34	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x967645…
05-15 07:27:08	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5532d0…
05-15 07:26:35	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x601cef…
05-15 07:26:31	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9775bb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	134	$1.39M	3,315	06-01 01:47
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	117	$8.10K	420	05-18 15:35
Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43	101	$137.7K	2,198	05-29 15:04
(anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b	45	$1.24K	226	05-17 09:17
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	44	$10.7K	236	05-21 01:27
Crazy-Spinach 0xb6ae…ebf4	44	$4.52K	199	05-18 12:46
Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d	42	$59.0K	91	06-01 06:06
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	41	$2.51K	254	05-29 20:34