Inexperienced-Grandfather 0xa99b41…bd1211
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.38K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.23K
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
1,154
Trades
10,208
lifetime
Volume
$378.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$5.09K
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-30 08:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Politics
47% 43% -$2,982
Other
43% 31% -$2,707
Crypto
4% 64% -$84
Pop-Culture
3% 23% -$408
Tech
2% 37% -$242
Sports
1% 38% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1,300 -$311 97¢ $-1264 -$953 06-04 14:21
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -702 -$369 100¢ $-701 -$332 04-28 15:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +685 $500 83¢ $570 +$70 04-29 19:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,632 $500 20¢ $513 +$13 04-29 17:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,285 $500 39¢ $506 +$6 04-29 17:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +617 $500 80¢ $496 -$4 04-29 17:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +817 $500 61¢ $495 -$5 04-29 17:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,859 $500 17¢ $311 -$189 04-29 19:35
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +232 $146 21¢ $49 -$97 05-01 09:31
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -50 -$29 95¢ $-47 -$18 04-28 15:05
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No -50 -$38 92¢ $-46 -$8 04-29 08:20
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -200 -$156 18¢ $-37 +$119 04-28 15:05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +50 $41 30¢ $15 -$26 05-20 17:16
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +674 $24 2¢ $11 -$13 10-26 13:47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +50 $38 20¢ $10 -$27 05-20 19:45
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -300 -$225 3¢ $-8 +$217 06-04 14:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +100 $56 4¢ $4 -$52 05-28 14:09
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -50 -$12 6¢ $-3 +$8 04-29 08:20
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 05-04 06:17
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +206 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 10-26 11:54
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 04-29 06:17
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -22 -$6 2¢ $-0 +$6 04-29 08:20
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -101 -$55 0¢ $-0 +$54 05-06 04:57
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -1 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 05-04 06:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $0 05-13 13:51