Realized P&L
-$216
Unrealized P&L
-$151
Hit rate
49.4%
Resolved
82
Trades
3,896
lifetime
Volume
$199.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$1.63K
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-09 15:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
55% 48% $-69
Other
35% 15% $-152
Crypto
7%
Tech
2% 33% $-4
Sports
1% 100% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -800 $-191 64¢ $-515 $-324 05-29 00:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes -400 $-294 60¢ $-242 +$52 06-04 13:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -580 $-309 38¢ $-218 +$91 06-04 15:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-164 90¢ $-179 $-15 05-28 19:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-166 84¢ $-167 $-1 06-07 05:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-136 64¢ $-127 +$9 06-07 10:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -135 $-68 36¢ $-49 +$19 06-04 15:35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes -200 $-58 20¢ $-41 +$17 06-07 11:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -200 $-72 16¢ $-33 +$39 06-07 16:16
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +400 $64 $26 $-38 05-30 12:43
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No -32 $-14 65¢ $-21 $-6 06-08 15:11
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? No -20 $-16 67¢ $-13 +$2 06-05 08:56
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -20 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-09 15:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -0 $-2 80¢ $-0 +$2 06-01 17:35