Realized P&L
-$195
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
4.4%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,354
lifetime
Volume
$10.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$44
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-30 21:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
39% 0% $-38
Other
38% 10% $-155
Crypto
21% 0% $-2
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +199 $7 $18 +$11 06-07 22:51
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +145 $4 $7 +$2 06-02 19:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +13 $9 30¢ $4 $-5 06-19 10:02
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +116 $5 $4 $-1 05-28 18:37
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +85 $3 $3 +$1 06-09 14:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -244 $-80 $-2 +$78 06-15 04:17
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +715 $-8 $1 +$9 06-28 16:00
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +174 $0 $1 +$1 06-28 18:50
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +102 $7 $1 $-6 06-02 22:03
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +434 $3 $1 $-2 06-22 08:11
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +520 $5 $1 $-4 06-13 11:20
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +15 $0 $0 $-0 06-30 08:49
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes +103 $3 $0 $-3 05-29 07:42
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +82 $2 $0 $-1 06-20 18:15
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? Yes +226 $0 $0 $-0 06-26 17:53
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +225 $4 $0 $-4 06-21 04:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +169 $3 $0 $-3 05-31 09:58
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30? Yes +74 $1 $0 $-0 06-21 03:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +148 $2 $0 $-2 06-18 03:43
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? Yes +103 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 06:01
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? Yes +90 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 23:14
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +70 $0 $0 $-0 06-05 15:36
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 21:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +11 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 08:16
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-27 09:04
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 12:35
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-16 00:51
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-24 12:46