Small-Freckle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,949

lifetime

Volume

$119.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-30 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

69% 43% $-1,442

Politics

27% 75% $-62

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	27	$6.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$7	04-22 00:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	24	$4.3K	3,041	1,400	+1,641	open	—	02-10 11:25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	32	$3.4K	3,274	3,274	+0	open	—	05-01 18:46
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	31	$2.6K	1,337	1,337	+0	open	—	03-30 23:54
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	22	$2.4K	4,084	4,084	+0	open	—	03-17 00:01
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	8	$2.2K	2,292	0	+2,292	open	—	03-08 21:43
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	21	$2.1K	3,015	726	+2,289	open	—	02-04 19:39
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	30	$2.0K	2,296	1,767	+529	open	—	05-03 18:23
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	41	$2.0K	2,305	2,265	+40	open	—	04-07 22:50
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	34	$1.8K	3,626	1,003	+2,622	open	—	04-07 12:17
val spe 555 2026 03 21	14	$1.7K	3,269	11	+3,259	open	—	03-21 14:40
val navi1 tl1 2026 04 24	3	$1.6K	1,300	500	+800	open	—	04-22 21:14
will matthias bluebaum win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$1.6K	806	806	+0	open	—	03-29 20:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	22	$1.6K	3,300	3,276	+24	open	—	05-15 18:22
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	18	$1.5K	671	865	-194	open	—	03-08 22:24
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	9	$1.4K	1,280	1,280	+0	open	—	02-09 02:43
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	13	$1.4K	874	674	+200	open	—	03-08 21:39
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	19	$1.4K	1,273	1,272	+1	open	—	04-28 21:18
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	15	$1.3K	3,563	771	+2,793	open	—	02-27 01:08
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	31	$1.2K	749	849	-100	open	—	02-08 19:01
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	12	$1.1K	1,025	1,025	+0	open	—	03-27 14:00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	21	$1.1K	850	850	+0	open	—	01-30 11:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.0K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	05-04 17:06
val alt lev 2026 02 23	12	$1.0K	1,599	0	+1,599	open	—	02-23 21:35
val cls1 ful1 2026 02 18	15	$975	612	800	-188	open	—	02-20 01:45
val fur bbl1 2026 03 08	6	$966	617	617	+0	open	—	03-08 21:42
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$950	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-30 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	7	$949	692	279	+413	open	—	04-01 02:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$940	500	500	+0	Yes	+$4	04-23 17:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	19	$919	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	04-24 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 15:28:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	48¢	$480	0x2fd456…
06-28 03:39:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0xe2cf32…
06-18 17:11:34	val srb adg 2026 06 18	Azure Dragon Gaming	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xd11cda…
05-28 17:01:11	Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Division One	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x4299ca…
05-28 14:38:35	Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Division One	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x92c568…
05-28 11:23:23	Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Division One	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x2d9a7c…
05-28 11:20:43	Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Division One	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0x8a24ad…
05-27 14:44:30	Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs	REBORN	BUY	135	51¢	$69	0x39ddb8…
05-27 14:35:03	Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs	REBORN	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xa35b84…
05-27 14:33:44	Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs	REBORN	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8e9a8b…
05-27 14:33:30	Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs	REBORN	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xd07252…
05-24 08:13:43	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$89	0x73ff5e…
05-19 08:47:52	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x8dded8…
05-19 07:31:34	Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1	Sentinels	BUY	51	60¢	$31	0x2dab03…
05-19 05:08:11	Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1	Sentinels	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0xe5be86…
05-19 05:08:10	Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1	Sentinels	BUY	48	60¢	$28	0x622ea9…
05-19 03:43:59	Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1	VARREL	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0xed54a3…
05-19 01:19:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x7c407c…
05-19 01:08:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x393ec4…
05-19 01:07:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9bd4e9…
05-19 01:06:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0xdeb933…
05-18 23:33:32	Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	BBL Esports	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xa9a5c5…
05-18 23:17:57	Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1	VARREL	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x490e5f…
05-18 22:37:41	Valorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season	ShindeN	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xd6a22d…
05-18 20:56:47	Valorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season	ShindeN	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x0bba20…
05-18 17:29:23	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x7c5148…
05-18 17:29:20	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x3bc8e3…
05-18 17:29:09	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9a725f…
05-18 17:29:09	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x18954b…
05-18 17:28:48	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x2c8168…
05-18 17:28:43	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x4d1056…
05-18 17:28:43	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x294a4b…
05-18 17:28:41	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf68bfd…
05-18 17:28:39	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	56	33¢	$18	0xf14866…
05-18 17:28:39	Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group B	REBORN	BUY	101	33¢	$33	0x647592…
05-18 15:13:11	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	627	4¢	$26	0xac2b9d…
05-18 06:36:01	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	373	4¢	$15	0x39f57a…
05-15 18:22:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	540	1¢	$5	0x2720bd…
05-15 17:58:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x4e40f8…
05-15 17:46:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0x2e81a0…
05-15 17:46:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xe7c773…
05-15 17:36:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	260	2¢	$5	0x5a9a13…
05-15 17:09:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	No	BUY	340	96¢	$327	0x718ff1…
05-15 17:09:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	No	BUY	225	96¢	$216	0x6dc6c9…
05-15 16:14:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	113	11¢	$12	0xce8b0a…
05-15 15:56:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	245	4¢	$10	0x29e3d3…
05-15 15:55:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xaec296…
05-15 15:49:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xfa4928…
05-15 14:26:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	225	4¢	$9	0x759b13…
05-15 13:09:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x8c8627…
05-15 12:53:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x252803…
05-15 12:43:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	105	18¢	$19	0xce780f…
05-15 12:41:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	112	18¢	$20	0x49a0e9…
05-15 12:40:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	182	18¢	$33	0x497685…
05-15 12:38:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xb465e6…
05-15 12:38:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x751cbd…
05-15 12:34:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	300	27¢	$80	0x743f1f…
05-15 12:33:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xa16efa…
05-15 12:30:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	700	16¢	$114	0x8a7b5f…
05-15 10:16:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x2cdf87…
05-15 09:29:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	39¢	$488	0x7a1c84…
05-15 09:06:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	250	39¢	$98	0x062ff7…
05-15 09:06:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0xec35a7…
05-15 09:05:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	35¢	$350	0xe878be…
05-15 09:02:37	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	122	19¢	$23	0x4f5593…
05-15 08:50:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0xae3c8c…
05-15 00:52:46	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x04757e…
05-14 21:17:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xbfe095…
05-14 16:31:48	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	SELL	772	0¢	$4	0x7ba9a5…
05-14 12:34:39	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	150	94¢	$142	0x0ab2b0…
05-14 12:31:37	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x715fa4…
05-14 12:14:28	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	35¢	$56	0x34d100…
05-14 12:09:06	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	34¢	$55	0x7f423f…
05-14 11:26:31	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xa230d3…
05-14 11:24:28	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0xcc477b…
05-14 10:42:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x2700ff…
05-14 08:33:32	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x522dab…
05-14 00:31:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x864026…
05-13 20:25:53	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	450	16¢	$72	0x14571e…
05-13 20:18:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x29e6f7…
05-13 20:15:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xb3330a…
05-13 20:01:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd27629…
05-13 19:41:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0xad5bf2…
05-13 19:15:49	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa90e14…
05-13 16:48:19	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	89	53¢	$47	0x9ec5b3…
05-13 16:47:41	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xddc501…
05-13 16:22:41	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x90dd59…
05-13 16:06:44	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x8ec70f…
05-13 10:47:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x44e58d…
05-13 07:09:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	275	45¢	$124	0xdb908c…
05-12 16:46:02	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x3c6589…
05-12 13:40:07	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0x5db923…
05-12 13:26:13	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x961abf…
05-12 12:44:00	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5eb566…
05-12 12:13:21	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	174	2¢	$4	0xdce483…
05-12 11:03:23	Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs MIR (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs	MIR	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xd20e3a…
05-12 11:01:15	Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs MIR (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs	MIR	BUY	18	31¢	$5	0x4a5dbb…
05-12 08:28:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xe361d2…
05-12 07:15:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xf29e2b…
05-12 07:15:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	160	31¢	$50	0xaf740b…