Accomplished-Uncle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$639

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,471

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.48K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-22 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 73% +$1

Other

47% 62% +$12

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+2,874	$2,119	52¢	$1.5K	$-639	07-15 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	34	$2.7K	3,226	352	+2,874	open	—	07-15 20:01
btc updown 4h 1781798400	4	$544	435	435	+0	open	—	06-18 16:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	4	$275	231	75	+156	open	—	05-26 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	8	$217	170	170	+0	open	—	05-25 15:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	10	$202	181	181	+0	open	—	05-21 14:21
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	7	$198	150	232	-81	open	—	05-22 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	17	$194	236	229	+7	Up	$-8	05-05 14:54
btc updown 15m 1781640000	3	$191	124	124	+0	open	—	06-16 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	12	$168	197	197	+0	open	—	05-20 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	13	$162	275	92	+183	open	—	05-25 14:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	6	$160	137	137	+0	open	—	06-01 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	6	$154	146	146	+0	open	—	05-28 20:19
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	12	$145	206	0	+206	open	—	05-16 20:11
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	2	$141	135	135	+0	open	—	06-24 09:22
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$138	12	133	-121	open	—	05-28 04:53
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	15	$132	159	80	+79	open	—	05-27 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	13	$127	108	108	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 10:54
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	4	$125	70	70	+0	open	—	05-20 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	37	$120	216	18	+198	Up	+$3	05-05 18:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$119	125	125	+0	open	—	02-28 13:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	8	$118	102	99	+2	open	—	05-18 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	13	$111	118	101	+18	open	—	05-03 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	8	$110	119	98	+21	open	—	05-20 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	13	$110	125	125	+0	open	—	05-03 21:43
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	5	$104	129	29	+100	Up	+$10	05-11 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	7	$104	229	0	+229	open	—	05-04 08:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	5	$103	118	118	+0	open	—	06-01 03:56
spy up or down on june 24 2026	6	$101	99	99	+0	open	—	06-24 17:38
spy up or down on june 4 2026	2	$101	76	76	+0	open	—	06-04 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$98	112	112	+0	Down	+$8	05-05 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 20:06:37	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7ea73b…
07-22 19:43:51	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x5b3c27…
07-22 19:43:46	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2b70e6…
07-22 19:42:04	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc98b21…
07-22 19:41:49	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x9c2247…
07-22 19:41:07	btc updown 15m 1784748600	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x87a4d9…
07-22 19:25:46	btc updown 15m 1784748600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xca12b3…
07-22 19:25:43	btc updown 15m 1784748600	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xce79cc…
07-22 19:21:27	btc updown 15m 1784747700	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xabd265…
07-22 15:36:13	btc updown 15m 1784734200	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3c3f4d…
07-22 14:48:36	btc updown 15m 1784731500	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdbc227…
07-22 07:06:45	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xa7c53a…
07-21 19:44:48	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8821eb…
07-21 03:56:55	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xf255a7…
07-20 19:17:22	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x67de17…
07-19 08:41:51	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x694f45…
07-16 14:45:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7c90d0…
07-15 20:10:14	btc updown 15m 1784145600	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcb3ab0…
07-15 20:01:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	593	59¢	$350	0xfd2941…
07-11 22:17:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xff0f20…
07-11 22:16:56	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Down	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xf02a80…
07-11 16:16:28	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x58f2b8…
07-10 21:15:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	69	65¢	$45	0x705a29…
07-10 17:41:59	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x09881f…
07-10 17:37:47	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xc0043b…
07-10 17:37:44	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x9053b6…
07-10 17:37:25	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe87fa8…
07-10 17:36:04	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x556f12…
07-10 17:20:16	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x031b71…
07-10 17:00:28	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5ddc66…
07-10 15:05:01	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xf08e4c…
07-10 14:17:04	bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x600562…
07-10 13:47:13	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xee17c4…
07-10 13:47:13	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x99c0e4…
07-10 13:12:13	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x295500…
06-29 11:52:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	84¢	$31	0x9cb94f…
06-29 11:52:28	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	38	82¢	$31	0x3114d6…
06-29 10:12:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x92f9b4…
06-29 10:12:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x300fe3…
06-28 22:05:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9707a7…
06-28 22:04:52	bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xcbedb1…
06-28 16:47:05	bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x306424…
06-28 16:46:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xa2b26e…
06-27 20:54:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x90e57f…
06-27 16:16:49	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x3022b3…
06-26 22:16:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xd1eab4…
06-26 22:15:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0xfc9b7d…
06-26 22:03:31	dota2 4ancho the 2026 06 26	4 Anchors and Ilmeria	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0xec0880…
06-26 21:14:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x89bbbc…
06-26 21:06:25	dota2 4ancho the 2026 06 26 game1	4 Anchors and Ilmeria	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x15c34c…
06-26 21:05:34	dota2 4ancho the 2026 06 26	4 Anchors and Ilmeria	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xdffe0b…
06-26 21:04:52	btc updown 4h 1782504000	Up	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x3ca94a…
06-26 20:38:44	dota2 4ancho the 2026 06 26	4 Anchors and Ilmeria	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb043bd…
06-26 20:28:41	dota2 4ancho the 2026 06 26 game1	4 Anchors and Ilmeria	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xba5444…
06-26 20:28:25	dota2 4ancho the 2026 06 26 game1	4 Anchors and Ilmeria	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x98c53b…
06-26 20:28:16	dota2 4ancho the 2026 06 26 game1	4 Anchors and Ilmeria	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x30be21…
06-26 20:22:29	btc updown 4h 1782504000	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xecd0a6…
06-25 21:35:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4f86d9…
06-25 21:10:58	cs2 sashi ice 2026 06 25	Inner Circle Esports	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x91bc50…
06-25 20:50:07	cs2 sashi ice 2026 06 25	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7781bd…
06-25 12:27:28	dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 06 25 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5a0a2e…
06-25 12:26:43	dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 06 25 game1 kill over 50pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe57726…
06-25 11:02:26	dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 06 25	Team Spirit	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6d7b65…
06-25 10:54:58	dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 06 25 game1 kill over 50pt5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1dc171…
06-25 10:54:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x5c45e5…
06-24 17:39:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xd8af56…
06-24 17:38:05	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0x0b3014…
06-24 17:21:04	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x61d8e7…
06-24 16:10:23	btc updown 4h 1782316800	Up	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x61062d…
06-24 16:10:22	btc updown 4h 1782316800	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x0cf753…
06-24 16:09:32	btc updown 4h 1782316800	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x565841…
06-24 15:51:31	btc updown 4h 1782316800	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x5b7371…
06-24 15:49:58	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x3d3b0a…
06-24 15:25:14	btc updown 15m 1782314100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x17b624…
06-24 15:25:07	btc updown 15m 1782314100	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8f7432…
06-24 15:24:25	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x286c09…
06-24 09:51:20	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xda78af…
06-24 09:50:55	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x6e044b…
06-24 09:34:19	btc updown 15m 1782293400	Up	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x0c8acc…
06-24 09:29:19	btc updown 15m 1782293400	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb7c44c…
06-24 09:22:29	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	135	38¢	$51	0x1dc9e7…
06-20 08:53:01	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	135	67¢	$90	0x31ce2f…
06-20 08:29:31	btc updown 15m 1781944200	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xc46818…
06-19 21:02:17	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x10935e…
06-19 20:59:31	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xde2b6d…
06-19 20:13:34	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x9fc155…
06-19 20:08:04	btc updown 15m 1781899200	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x447ce7…
06-19 19:59:58	btc updown 15m 1781899200	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5e6132…
06-19 19:49:13	btc updown 15m 1781898300	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x212ddd…
06-19 09:09:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xec445d…
06-18 21:00:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	211	90¢	$190	0xe7536d…
06-18 20:46:41	btc updown 15m 1781815500	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x3f614f…
06-18 20:45:14	btc updown 15m 1781815500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf7f2f5…
06-18 20:43:59	btc updown 15m 1781814600	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x04b0fa…
06-18 20:16:50	btc updown 15m 1781813700	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe6243d…
06-18 20:14:59	btc updown 15m 1781813700	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa105e0…
06-18 16:33:35	btc updown 15m 1781800200	Up	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x53e698…
06-18 16:29:46	btc updown 15m 1781800200	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf8e6ed…
06-18 16:28:29	btc updown 15m 1781799300	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x10b349…
06-18 16:23:34	btc updown 4h 1781798400	Up	SELL	428	71¢	$304	0x043d46…