Quirky-Dramaturge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$286

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.3%

Resolved

280

Trades

17,094

lifetime

Volume

$26.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-20 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 10% $-86

Other

8% 17% $-160

Politics

2% 0% $-40

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$404	1,349	674	+675	open	—	05-12 18:11
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	02-07 11:26
si hit 150 high jan 2026	4	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	01-30 17:52
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	03-02 11:52
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$177	110	110	+0	open	—	02-10 12:57
btc updown 15m 1770119100	2	$156	100	99	+1	open	—	02-03 11:58
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	2	$102	106	106	+0	open	—	01-29 14:55
will manchester city advance to the round of 16	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	01-28 17:37
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	01-28 19:00
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	2	$78	200	0	+200	open	—	01-31 23:11
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	2	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	02-03 15:58
btc updown 5m 1772830500	60	$76	1,091	0	+1,091	open	—	03-06 21:00
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$75	45	45	+0	Yes	+$15	05-09 12:11
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	6	$62	300	0	+300	open	—	02-11 20:23
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	2	$51	167	295	-128	Yes	+$31	05-08 16:21
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$46	105	105	+0	open	—	03-01 14:51
btc updown 5m 1776692400	8	$41	58	0	+58	open	—	04-20 13:44
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	01-30 17:52
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$39	29	29	+0	No	+$19	05-11 22:13
btc updown 5m 1772829900	32	$38	550	0	+550	open	—	03-06 20:49
btc updown 5m 1772829300	42	$38	550	0	+550	open	—	03-06 20:39
epl ast bre 2026 02 01 ast	2	$38	80	0	+80	open	—	02-01 15:17
btc updown 5m 1772829600	16	$37	528	0	+528	open	—	03-06 20:43
btc updown 5m 1772830200	8	$35	503	0	+503	open	—	03-06 20:54
btc updown 5m 1772829000	1	$35	500	0	+500	open	—	03-06 20:35
btc updown 5m 1773226800	9	$35	500	0	+500	open	—	03-11 11:05
btc updown 5m 1772830800	26	$35	500	0	+500	open	—	03-06 21:04
btc updown 5m 1773238200	20	$35	500	0	+500	open	—	03-11 14:15
btc updown 5m 1776792300	2	$33	34	32	+2	open	—	04-21 17:30
si above 85 jan 2026	2	$33	100	0	+100	open	—	01-30 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 17:30:22	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	SELL	164	0¢	$1	0xf105c0…
06-20 17:30:17	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xaa64c3…
06-20 17:30:11	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x0c82db…
06-20 17:30:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	4¢	$5	0xfac1bd…
06-20 17:29:59	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	11¢	$7	0x1c71b0…
06-20 17:29:50	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,204	1¢	$8	0x8cd1d4…
05-25 10:45:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xce2f10…
05-24 12:23:09	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x154ce4…
05-24 12:22:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0x518c85…
05-14 07:52:59	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x07df71…
05-12 18:11:12	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x3ef440…
05-12 18:11:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xca56eb…
05-12 17:25:07	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 12?	No	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x0cac3e…
05-12 17:24:55	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	231	4¢	$10	0x97a37a…
05-12 17:22:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	282	4¢	$10	0xdfa97e…
05-12 11:07:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	532	9¢	$50	0x00709c…
05-12 08:52:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xcac1b2…
05-12 08:50:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	674	27¢	$184	0x972da2…
05-11 22:13:28	Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x85d5bd…
05-11 22:12:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	27¢	$50	0x45f5c2…
05-11 20:00:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	386	26¢	$100	0xc28309…
05-11 12:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x29670a…
05-11 12:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x664e70…
05-11 11:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4eec15…
05-11 11:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x592faa…
05-11 11:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x065bd5…
05-11 11:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x04a538…
05-11 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xfc367d…
05-11 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfac9b3…
05-11 11:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x9e86b3…
05-11 11:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x4fc859…
05-11 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x397e09…
05-11 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x14f3cc…
05-11 11:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x96397a…
05-11 11:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfda971…
05-11 10:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x8da216…
05-11 10:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x686afa…
05-11 10:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x9a852e…
05-11 10:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x96ee61…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xdabfc0…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xb2ed59…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x9a34a3…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7a0b8e…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x64acdc…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x596140…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x55d695…
05-11 10:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5dc7cf…
05-11 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xd6e02a…
05-11 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x9ffd86…
05-11 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0ea5bd…
05-11 10:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xca2ac1…
05-11 10:11:43	Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x9ed364…
05-11 10:11:30	Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x31fc1c…
05-11 10:11:18	Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x1b6b8f…
05-11 10:11:08	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x7cfffa…
05-11 10:10:59	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2e0cf1…
05-11 10:10:41	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0xa13919…
05-11 10:08:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x54bbe6…
05-11 10:07:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x7d1385…
05-11 10:07:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x16123d…
05-11 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x68eca7…
05-10 21:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x637a1d…
05-10 20:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x464309…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xef6693…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xbc8593…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa71678…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7082e5…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x55e462…
05-10 20:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5e8b55…
05-10 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xcf4479…
05-10 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x737090…
05-10 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x21dabf…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xeaeaa7…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xe78562…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xab6f1b…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x64c131…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x457f7e…
05-10 20:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x73aacd…
05-10 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x819325…
05-10 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x2dd28b…
05-10 20:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9aa3f0…
05-10 20:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcbacc9…
05-10 20:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x0abb57…
05-10 19:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x9077d7…
05-10 19:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x62fdf0…
05-10 19:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x86769f…
05-10 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe554d9…
05-10 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb17714…
05-10 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xac76e5…
05-10 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x88616f…
05-10 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x1c1a3b…
05-10 19:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xae937c…
05-10 19:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x978ff3…
05-10 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xacd4fc…
05-10 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x9486db…
05-10 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x703c21…
05-10 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x6461a4…
05-10 19:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x75a3a7…
05-10 19:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x0f5ad3…
05-10 19:00:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0xf22f58…