Quirky-Dramaturge — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

17,186 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$29.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-24 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 8% -$820

Other

17% 27% -$83

Politics

2% 30% -$237

Sports

1% 44% -$67

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	4	$668	1,131	1,131	+0	Yes	+$268	05-10 17:28
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	3	$416	864	714	+150	No	+$156	05-03 16:12
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$404	1,349	674	+675	No	-$36	05-12 18:11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	2	$353	294	294	+0	No	+$153	05-04 20:36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	3	$243	994	671	+323	No	+$102	05-03 16:12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$226	127	127	+0	Yes	+$26	05-03 17:26
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$195	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	02-07 11:26
si hit 150 high jan 2026	4	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$6	01-30 17:52
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$178	100	100	+0	Down	+$16	03-02 11:52
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$177	110	110	+0	No	+$1	02-10 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 11:45 UTC	2	$156	100	99	+1	Down	+$37	02-03 11:58
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$150	141	141	+0	Yes	+$30	05-17 13:02
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	3	$118	1,204	1,204	+0	No	-$102	06-20 17:29
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	2	$102	106	106	+0	Down	-$98	01-29 14:55
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	1	$100	769	0	+769	No	-$100	05-03 18:30
will manchester city advance to the round of 16	1	$100	104	0	+104	Yes	+$4	01-28 17:37
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$87	100	0	+100	Yes	-$87	01-28 19:00
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	2	$78	200	0	+200	Yes	-$78	01-31 23:11
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	2	$77	50	50	+0	No	+$6	02-03 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:55 UTC	60	$76	1,091	0	+1,091	Down	+$474	03-06 21:00
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$75	45	45	+0	Yes	+$15	05-09 12:11
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	6	$62	300	0	+300	No	-$62	02-11 20:23
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	3	$61	295	295	+0	Yes	+$21	05-08 16:21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$61	62	62	+0	No	+$21	05-09 12:42
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$57	53	53	+0	No	+$37	05-10 14:50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	1	$50	625	0	+625	Yes	-$50	05-18 20:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$46	105	105	+0	No	+$6	03-01 14:51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$42	25	25	+0	Yes	+$2	05-17 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:40 UTC	8	$41	58	0	+58	Down	+$17	04-20 13:44
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	01-30 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 19:33:49	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xc76e44…
06-20 17:30:49	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x7d5fd9…
06-20 17:30:22	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	SELL	164	0¢	$1	0xf105c0…
06-20 17:30:17	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xaa64c3…
06-20 17:30:11	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x0c82db…
06-20 17:30:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	4¢	$5	0xfac1bd…
06-20 17:29:59	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	11¢	$7	0x1c71b0…
06-20 17:29:53	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	10¢	$10	0x005080…
06-20 17:29:50	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,204	1¢	$8	0x8cd1d4…
05-25 10:45:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xce2f10…
05-24 21:25:53	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x2398ab…
05-24 20:12:58	Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	862	3¢	$30	0x194d2e…
05-24 15:34:03	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x10bab0…
05-24 15:33:28	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x78927c…
05-24 12:38:28	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x542730…
05-24 12:23:09	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x154ce4…
05-24 12:22:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0x518c85…
05-19 20:40:42	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xe051bc…
05-18 20:24:23	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x45bf96…
05-17 13:17:13	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0xe36146…
05-17 13:02:37	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x999f4a…
05-17 13:02:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	65¢	$72	0x589d16…
05-14 07:52:59	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x07df71…
05-13 19:53:28	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	No	BUY	588	3¢	$20	0x55325f…
05-12 18:11:26	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x24318c…
05-12 18:11:12	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x3ef440…
05-12 18:11:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xca56eb…
05-12 17:25:07	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 12?	No	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x0cac3e…
05-12 17:24:55	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	231	4¢	$10	0x97a37a…
05-12 17:22:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	282	4¢	$10	0xdfa97e…
05-12 11:07:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	532	9¢	$50	0x00709c…
05-12 08:52:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xcac1b2…
05-12 08:50:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	674	27¢	$184	0x972da2…
05-11 22:13:56	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$9	0x143c2e…
05-11 22:13:28	Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x85d5bd…
05-11 22:12:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	27¢	$50	0x45f5c2…
05-11 20:00:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	386	26¢	$100	0xc28309…
05-11 19:59:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0xb55884…
05-11 13:38:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xcc0350…
05-11 12:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x29670a…
05-11 12:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x664e70…
05-11 11:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4eec15…
05-11 11:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x592faa…
05-11 11:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x065bd5…
05-11 11:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x04a538…
05-11 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xfc367d…
05-11 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfac9b3…
05-11 11:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x9e86b3…
05-11 11:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x4fc859…
05-11 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x397e09…
05-11 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x14f3cc…
05-11 11:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x96397a…
05-11 11:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfda971…
05-11 10:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x8da216…
05-11 10:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x686afa…
05-11 10:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x9a852e…
05-11 10:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x96ee61…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xdabfc0…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xb2ed59…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x9a34a3…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7a0b8e…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x64acdc…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x596140…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x55d695…
05-11 10:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5dc7cf…
05-11 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xd6e02a…
05-11 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x9ffd86…
05-11 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0ea5bd…
05-11 10:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xca2ac1…
05-11 10:11:43	Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x9ed364…
05-11 10:11:30	Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x31fc1c…
05-11 10:11:18	Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x1b6b8f…
05-11 10:11:08	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x7cfffa…
05-11 10:10:59	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2e0cf1…
05-11 10:10:41	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0xa13919…
05-11 10:08:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x54bbe6…
05-11 10:07:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x7d1385…
05-11 10:07:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x16123d…
05-11 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x68eca7…
05-10 23:09:18	Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe0cc1e…
05-10 21:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x637a1d…
05-10 20:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x464309…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xef6693…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xbc8593…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa71678…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7082e5…
05-10 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x55e462…
05-10 20:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5e8b55…
05-10 20:26:53	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x863c4c…
05-10 20:26:39	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	232	4¢	$10	0x198711…
05-10 20:26:28	Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb5084f…
05-10 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xcf4479…
05-10 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x737090…
05-10 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x21dabf…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xeaeaa7…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xe78562…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xab6f1b…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x64c131…
05-10 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x457f7e…
05-10 20:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x73aacd…