Unlined-Pole 0x49f206…0bd7b4
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$58.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.07K
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
1,493
Trades
17,717
lifetime
Volume
$4.47M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$252
Open exposure
$107.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-26 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
68% 53% -$18,333
Sports
18% 51% +$2,962
Politics
12% 65% -$45,327
Tech
1% 67% +$2,035
Crypto
0% 75% -$97
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$236
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 420 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +23,106 $15,009 94¢ $21.6K +$6,595 10-21 09:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -23,101 -$15,023 93¢ $-21484 -$6,461 10-01 08:42
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +6,433 $4,929 95¢ $6.1K +$1,195 10-26 22:16
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +8,697 $6,436 66¢ $5.7K -$740 10-25 19:42
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +4,030 $3,817 98¢ $4.0K +$151 10-26 09:23
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No — +5,005 $3,604 78¢ $3.9K +$325 09-22 07:14
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +3,860 $3,481 95¢ $3.7K +$187 10-26 21:27
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +4,000 $2,494 91¢ $3.6K +$1,146 10-23 14:47
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +3,993 $3,386 85¢ $3.4K +$8 10-21 15:39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,900 $3,277 78¢ $3.0K -$240 09-14 11:55
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -3,890 -$3,503 74¢ $-2859 +$644 09-28 07:36
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +3,840 $2,901 70¢ $2.7K -$194 10-21 20:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,055 $3,016 25¢ $2.5K -$502 10-24 19:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,010 $3,035 45¢ $2.2K -$793 09-30 18:56
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,903 -$3,089 44¢ $-2182 +$907 09-17 08:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -9,995 -$2,584 22¢ $-2149 +$435 10-16 17:13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes -2,535 -$1,047 71¢ $-1796 -$749 10-24 12:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3,005 $1,582 59¢ $1.8K +$191 10-25 06:15
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +2,043 $598 74¢ $1.5K +$914 10-01 11:16
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +5,300 $1,983 26¢ $1.4K -$605 10-13 18:30
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +6,020 $1,695 23¢ $1.4K -$320 09-11 16:47
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1,472 $1,326 89¢ $1.3K -$16 10-19 15:07
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +1,251 $801 98¢ $1.2K +$427 09-29 18:56
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,369 $1,171 90¢ $1.2K +$55 10-26 21:37
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,244 $1,106 80¢ $989 -$117 10-05 21:00
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +2,506 $1,088 36¢ $915 -$173 10-23 11:05
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +2,077 $1,166 40¢ $820 -$346 10-15 06:07
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +1,549 $748 47¢ $724 -$24 10-25 17:45
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +1,003 $612 70¢ $697 +$85 08-24 20:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +736 $611 94¢ $696 +$84 05-25 22:46