Unlined-Pole 0x49f206…0bd7b4
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.35K
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved (30d)
335
Trades (30d)
3,579
18,568 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$607.8K
$4.61M lifetime
Avg / trade
$248
Open exposure
$69.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-30 06:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
67% 54% -$17,308
Sports
17% 51% +$2,961
Politics
13% 65% -$44,205
Tech
2% 67% +$2,035
Crypto
0% 75% -$97
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$236
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 420 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +6,957 $6,676 97¢ $6.7K +$48 10-30 00:45
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +8,697 $6,436 72¢ $6.2K -$218 10-25 19:42
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,005 $3,604 80¢ $4.0K +$425 09-22 07:14
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +4,000 $2,494 88¢ $3.5K +$1,026 10-23 14:47
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3,338 $3,141 94¢ $3.1K -$13 10-27 02:20
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,900 $3,277 78¢ $3.0K -$237 09-14 11:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,010 $2,378 60¢ $3.0K +$653 10-29 22:55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,010 $3,035 59¢ $3.0K -$59 09-30 18:56
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,903 -$3,089 60¢ $-2917 +$172 09-17 08:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -3,890 -$3,503 72¢ $-2801 +$702 09-28 07:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,060 $3,018 28¢ $2.8K -$251 10-29 23:38
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +3,005 $2,526 88¢ $2.6K +$118 10-29 17:26
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +3,840 $2,901 68¢ $2.6K -$310 10-21 20:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -9,990 -$2,583 24¢ $-2448 +$135 10-29 23:38
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +12,918 $1,349 14¢ $1.7K +$395 10-30 07:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,000 $1,651 84¢ $1.7K +$29 10-29 00:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,010 $1,439 33¢ $1.7K +$224 10-29 17:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2,232 $1,394 72¢ $1.6K +$202 10-29 17:50
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +2,048 $1,536 74¢ $1.5K -$10 10-29 17:33
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +2,043 $598 74¢ $1.5K +$904 10-01 11:16
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +3,745 $1,645 39¢ $1.5K -$185 10-29 14:17
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +5,300 $1,983 26¢ $1.4K -$578 10-13 18:30
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1,472 $1,326 87¢ $1.3K -$50 10-19 15:07
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,244 $1,106 79¢ $983 -$123 10-05 21:00
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,005 $1,351 20¢ $976 -$375 09-22 07:12
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $838 94¢ $935 +$97 10-27 03:50
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$900 93¢ $-930 -$30 10-27 07:36
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,003 $903 90¢ $908 +$5 10-29 17:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +2,077 $1,166 40¢ $820 -$346 10-15 06:07
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +1,549 $748 48¢ $750 +$2 10-25 17:45