Unlined-Pole 0x49f206…0bd7b4
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.79K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.20K
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved (7d)
140
Trades (7d)
1,295
18,273 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$152.5K
$4.54M lifetime
Avg / trade
$248
Open exposure
$66.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-29 01:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
68% 54% -$17,410
Sports
18% 51% +$2,962
Politics
13% 65% -$44,201
Tech
2% 67% +$2,035
Crypto
0% 75% -$97
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$236
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 420 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +8,697 $6,436 67¢ $5.8K -$609 10-25 19:42
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,005 $3,604 79¢ $4.0K +$350 09-22 07:14
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +4,000 $2,494 88¢ $3.5K +$1,026 10-23 14:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +3,515 $3,309 98¢ $3.5K +$153 10-28 08:01
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3,338 $3,141 95¢ $3.2K +$25 10-27 02:20
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +3,531 $2,984 86¢ $3.1K +$71 10-29 01:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,900 $3,277 77¢ $3.0K -$287 09-14 11:55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,010 $3,035 57¢ $2.8K -$187 09-30 18:56
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,903 -$3,089 56¢ $-2770 +$319 09-17 08:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -3,890 -$3,503 71¢ $-2762 +$741 09-28 07:36
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +3,840 $2,901 70¢ $2.7K -$194 10-21 20:54
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +17,741 $2,025 14¢ $2.4K +$370 10-29 02:57
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) LOS +5,005 $2,352 46¢ $2.3K -$75 10-28 20:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,055 $3,016 22¢ $2.3K -$754 10-24 19:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,005 $1,923 56¢ $2.2K +$300 10-28 20:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,232 $2,074 66¢ $2.1K +$43 10-28 17:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,807 $2,251 26¢ $2.0K -$240 10-28 16:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -9,995 -$2,584 20¢ $-1949 +$635 10-16 17:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,000 $1,651 86¢ $1.7K +$79 10-29 00:48
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +2,043 $598 78¢ $1.6K +$1,006 10-01 11:16
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +2,094 $1,374 67¢ $1.4K +$29 10-28 13:23
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1,472 $1,326 87¢ $1.3K -$48 10-19 15:07
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +5,300 $1,983 22¢ $1.1K -$843 10-13 18:30
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,005 $1,351 22¢ $1.1K -$250 09-22 07:12
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,244 $1,106 78¢ $977 -$130 10-05 21:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +2,077 $1,166 46¢ $945 -$221 10-15 06:07
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $838 92¢ $915 +$77 10-27 03:50
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$900 92¢ $-915 -$15 10-27 07:36
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +2,506 $1,088 36¢ $915 -$173 10-23 11:05
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +1,549 $748 48¢ $750 +$3 10-25 17:45