Unlined-Pole 0x49f206…0bd7b4
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$11.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.71K
Hit rate
69.6%
Resolved (90d)
661
Trades (90d)
6,263
18,140 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.33M
$4.62M lifetime
Avg / trade
$255
Open exposure
$69.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-31 01:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
67% 53% -$17,310
Sports
17% 51% +$2,961
Politics
13% 65% -$44,205
Tech
2% 67% +$2,035
Crypto
0% 75% -$97
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$236
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 420 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +8,697 $6,436 70¢ $6.0K -$392 10-25 19:42
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,005 $3,604 86¢ $4.3K +$676 09-22 07:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +4,000 $3,791 98¢ $3.9K +$111 10-30 21:58
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +4,000 $2,494 88¢ $3.5K +$1,026 10-23 14:47
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,900 $3,277 77¢ $3.0K -$281 09-14 11:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,060 $3,018 30¢ $3.0K -$50 10-29 23:38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,010 $3,035 59¢ $2.9K -$94 09-30 18:56
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +3,364 $2,888 87¢ $2.9K +$46 10-30 16:25
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,820 96¢ $2.9K +$61 10-31 00:46
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,903 -$3,089 58¢ $-2868 +$221 09-17 08:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,010 $2,378 57¢ $2.9K +$478 10-29 22:55
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -3,890 -$3,503 72¢ $-2781 +$722 09-28 07:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -9,990 -$2,583 28¢ $-2747 -$164 10-29 23:38
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +3,005 $2,526 88¢ $2.6K +$103 10-29 17:26
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,279 $2,479 80¢ $2.6K +$140 10-31 01:54
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +3,840 $2,901 66¢ $2.6K -$348 10-21 20:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,000 $1,651 83¢ $1.7K +$9 10-29 00:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,810 $1,370 33¢ $1.6K +$231 10-30 17:41
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +2,054 $1,659 74¢ $1.5K -$131 10-30 10:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2,375 $1,490 64¢ $1.5K +$30 10-31 00:58
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +2,043 $598 72¢ $1.5K +$884 10-01 11:16
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +3,745 $1,645 39¢ $1.5K -$185 10-29 14:17
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +5,300 $1,983 28¢ $1.5K -$525 10-13 18:30
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +10,538 $1,016 14¢ $1.4K +$406 10-31 01:14
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1,472 $1,326 86¢ $1.3K -$57 10-19 15:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +2,077 $1,166 48¢ $997 -$169 10-15 06:07
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,244 $1,106 80¢ $989 -$117 10-05 21:00
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $838 94¢ $935 +$97 10-27 03:50
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$900 92¢ $-925 -$25 10-27 07:36
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,003 $903 91¢ $913 +$10 10-29 17:16