Unlined-Pole 0x49f206…0bd7b4
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$11.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.42K
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved (90d)
702
Trades (90d)
6,575
18,455 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.38M
$4.67M lifetime
Avg / trade
$253
Open exposure
$74.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 11-01 06:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
67% 53% -$16,892
Sports
17% 51% +$2,961
Politics
14% 64% -$44,207
Tech
2% 64% +$2,014
Crypto
0% 75% -$97
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$236
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 420 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +11,819 $8,407 70¢ $8.2K -$193 10-31 15:48
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +8,697 $6,436 70¢ $6.0K -$392 10-25 19:42
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,005 $4,195 42¢ $4.2K -$43 11-01 03:56
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,005 $3,604 82¢ $4.1K +$475 09-22 07:14
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +4,000 $2,494 88¢ $3.5K +$1,046 10-23 14:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,010 $2,378 61¢ $3.1K +$678 10-29 22:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,060 $3,018 30¢ $3.0K -$50 10-29 23:38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,900 $3,277 75¢ $2.9K -$350 09-14 11:55
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,820 96¢ $2.9K +$60 10-31 00:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,010 $3,035 57¢ $2.9K -$182 09-30 18:56
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,903 -$3,089 56¢ $-2770 +$319 09-17 08:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -9,990 -$2,583 28¢ $-2747 -$164 10-29 23:38
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -3,890 -$3,503 70¢ $-2742 +$760 09-28 07:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4,047 $2,560 66¢ $2.7K +$131 10-31 10:23
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +3,005 $2,526 88¢ $2.6K +$118 10-29 17:26
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +4,116 $2,676 57¢ $2.3K -$329 10-31 10:08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,000 $1,843 98¢ $2.0K +$110 10-31 15:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,000 $1,651 84¢ $1.7K +$19 10-29 00:48
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +5,300 $1,983 29¢ $1.5K -$472 10-13 18:30
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +2,054 $1,659 73¢ $1.5K -$164 10-30 10:18
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +3,745 $1,645 40¢ $1.5K -$166 10-29 14:17
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +2,043 $598 72¢ $1.5K +$863 10-01 11:16
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1,472 $1,326 86¢ $1.3K -$57 10-19 15:07
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +10,010 $942 11¢ $1.1K +$109 10-31 03:26
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,244 $1,106 80¢ $989 -$117 10-05 21:00
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +5,005 $1,351 20¢ $976 -$375 09-22 07:12
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +1,453 $958 64¢ $937 -$21 10-31 18:17
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $838 93¢ $930 +$92 10-27 03:50
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$900 93¢ $-930 -$30 10-27 07:36
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +2,077 $1,166 44¢ $914 -$252 10-15 06:07