Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,455
Trades
138
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$12,734
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-16 14:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $96
vs crowd: 4% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $4 | $977 | $973 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $20 | $483 | $464 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $2 | $281 | $279 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $58 | $189 | $131 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $96 | $96 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $15 | $239 | $224 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $334 | $332 |
| Median | 13 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Below median | 9 | $1 | $475 | $474 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $7 | $68 | $61 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $382 | $382 |
| unranked | 9 | $58 | $287 | $229 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +526 | $7 | $22 | 6 | 08-16 10:42 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +286 | $276 | $276 | 3 | 07-17 00:54 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +156 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 07-17 00:56 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +144 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 01:28 |
| Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | +136 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-12 16:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x78bd…a2eb | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-16 10:42 |
| Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 07-17 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-17 00:54 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-17 00:54 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +69 | $68 | $68 | 5 | 08-04 22:51 |
| Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | +65 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-16 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xaaae…30aa | No | +42 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 08-12 16:46 |
| False-Console 0x20e9…691d | No | +32 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 08-02 09:26 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 01:28 |
| Alienated-Constellation 0x4639…be4b | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-01 13:29 |
| Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 07-31 04:48 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 04:48 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 12:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 14:33:06 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf95d82… |
| 08-16 14:33:06 | Giant-Innocence 0x89f0…1e62 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf95d82… |
| 08-16 10:42:36 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x4571b6… |
| 08-16 10:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x78bd…a2eb | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x4571b6… |
| 08-12 16:46:36 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x1b9953… |
| 08-12 16:46:36 | (anonymous) 0xaaae…30aa | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x1b9953… |
| 08-12 16:46:36 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1b9953… |
| 08-04 22:51:11 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $28 | 0x2c1b5b… |
| 08-04 22:51:11 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | BUY | 28 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2c1b5b… |
| 08-03 06:44:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x35d2d2… |
| 08-03 06:44:35 | Sick-Sundial 0xb9e2…f41a | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x35d2d2… |
| 08-02 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd6c14a… |
| 08-02 15:22:18 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd6c14a… |
| 08-02 09:26:03 | False-Console 0x20e9…691d | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x420950… |
| 08-02 09:26:03 | Impractical-Metric 0x2786…8ece | No | SELL | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x420950… |
| 08-02 09:26:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x420950… |
| 08-02 09:26:03 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x420950… |
| 08-01 13:29:41 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7af0f0… |
| 08-01 13:29:41 | Alienated-Constellation 0x4639…be4b | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x7af0f0… |
| 08-01 10:49:14 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x7ee61a… |
| 08-01 10:49:14 | False-Console 0x20e9…691d | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x7ee61a… |
| 08-01 10:49:14 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7ee61a… |
| 08-01 00:05:23 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0xef925a… |
| 08-01 00:05:23 | Impractical-Metric 0x2786…8ece | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0xef925a… |
| 07-31 22:12:05 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x584563… |
| 07-31 22:12:05 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x584563… |
| 07-31 04:48:42 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x789aa4… |
| 07-31 04:48:42 | Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x789aa4… |
| 07-30 22:47:21 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x36f1be… |
| 07-30 22:47:21 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x36f1be… |
| 07-30 08:00:51 | Sick-Sundial 0xb9e2…f41a | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x7ec399… |
| 07-30 08:00:51 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x7ec399… |
| 07-30 01:30:45 | Outlying-Foot 0x4f95…db68 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd20ad5… |
| 07-30 01:30:45 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd20ad5… |
| 07-30 01:30:08 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf553c7… |
| 07-30 01:30:08 | Spiteful-Mark 0x8000…2a9f | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf553c7… |
| 07-30 01:29:57 | Old-Waterbed 0x81b8…46bb | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x01b1a4… |
| 07-30 01:29:57 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x01b1a4… |
| 07-30 01:29:57 | Gummy-Orchid 0x895b…1d97 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x191102… |
| 07-30 01:29:57 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x191102… |
| 07-30 01:29:38 | Glaring-Blight 0x8cc5…7be5 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb016f3… |
| 07-30 01:29:38 | Criminal-Corporation 0xd895…4736 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd22ec4… |
| 07-30 01:29:38 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb016f3… |
| 07-30 01:29:38 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd22ec4… |
| 07-30 01:29:26 | Shy-Disdain 0xe487…32e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb3f682… |
| 07-30 01:29:26 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb3f682… |
| 07-30 01:29:23 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe85d84… |
| 07-30 01:29:23 | Gifted-Hide 0x7308…ad3c | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe85d84… |
| 07-30 01:29:05 | Artistic-Fatigues 0xdd4e…0519 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x084ce7… |
| 07-30 01:29:05 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x084ce7… |
| 07-30 01:28:54 | Known-Check 0x2779…a5ab | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb30d42… |
| 07-30 01:28:54 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb30d42… |
| 07-30 01:16:54 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5ed1be… |
| 07-30 01:16:54 | Outlying-Foot 0x4f95…db68 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5ed1be… |
| 07-30 01:16:39 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe80c68… |
| 07-30 01:16:39 | Spiteful-Mark 0x8000…2a9f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe80c68… |
| 07-30 01:16:23 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x175052… |
| 07-30 01:16:23 | Old-Waterbed 0x81b8…46bb | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x175052… |
| 07-30 01:16:17 | Gummy-Orchid 0x895b…1d97 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5eee2d… |
| 07-30 01:16:17 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5eee2d… |
| 07-30 01:16:12 | Glaring-Blight 0x8cc5…7be5 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x43bad3… |
| 07-30 01:16:12 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x43bad3… |
| 07-30 01:16:09 | Criminal-Corporation 0xd895…4736 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb0dc6a… |
| 07-30 01:16:09 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb0dc6a… |
| 07-30 01:16:02 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5cb6b4… |
| 07-30 01:16:02 | Shy-Disdain 0xe487…32e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5cb6b4… |
| 07-30 01:15:54 | Gifted-Hide 0x7308…ad3c | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdb2bde… |
| 07-30 01:15:54 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdb2bde… |
| 07-30 01:15:53 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe8d1e8… |
| 07-30 01:15:53 | Artistic-Fatigues 0xdd4e…0519 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe8d1e8… |
| 07-30 01:15:35 | Known-Check 0x2779…a5ab | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5bbc33… |
| 07-30 01:15:35 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5bbc33… |
| 07-20 14:48:18 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0e2de7… |
| 07-20 14:48:18 | Showy-Secretary 0x272d…9e36 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0e2de7… |
| 07-18 23:51:45 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x99173f… |
| 07-18 23:51:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 182 | 98¢ | $178 | 0x99173f… |
| 07-18 23:51:45 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0x99173f… |
| 07-18 23:51:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x99173f… |
| 07-18 06:36:00 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x8e7e11… |
| 07-18 06:36:00 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8e7e11… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 847 | 2¢ | $14 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 144 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x1c06…c338 | Yes | SELL | 1,151 | 2¢ | $22 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 00:56:32 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 156 | 95¢ | $148 | 0x485bfa… |
| 07-17 00:56:32 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 250 | 95¢ | $238 | 0x485bfa… |
| 07-17 00:56:32 | Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | BUY | 94 | 95¢ | $89 | 0x485bfa… |
| 07-17 00:54:46 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | SELL | 244 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x679dbe… |
| 07-17 00:54:46 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 250 | 95¢ | $238 | 0x679dbe… |
| 07-17 00:54:46 | Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x679dbe… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x1c06…c338 | Yes | BUY | 1,151 | 4¢ | $50 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 250 | 96¢ | $239 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 143 | 96¢ | $137 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 283 | 96¢ | $270 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 250 | 96¢ | $239 | 0x64ff1c… |