Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,091
Trades
66
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$12,734
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-20 14:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $96
vs crowd: 4% YES on $1.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $1 | $777 | $777 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $23 | $610 | $587 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $239 | $238 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $52 | $96 | $44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $96 | $96 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $15 | $239 | $224 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $334 | $332 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $433 | $433 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $377 | $377 |
| unranked | 4 | $52 | $244 | $192 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +765 | $13 | $16 | 2 | 07-18 23:51 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +286 | $276 | $276 | 3 | 07-17 00:54 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +156 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 07-17 00:56 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +144 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-17 01:28 |
| Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 07-17 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-17 00:54 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-17 00:54 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 07-18 23:51 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 01:28 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +20 | $0 | $3 | 7 | 07-20 14:48 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 04:48 |
| Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-01 04:48 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 12:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 14:48:18 | Showy-Secretary 0x272d…9e36 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0e2de7… |
| 07-20 14:48:18 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0e2de7… |
| 07-18 23:51:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 182 | 98¢ | $178 | 0x99173f… |
| 07-18 23:51:45 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x99173f… |
| 07-18 23:51:45 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0x99173f… |
| 07-18 23:51:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x99173f… |
| 07-18 06:36:00 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x8e7e11… |
| 07-18 06:36:00 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8e7e11… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 847 | 2¢ | $14 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 144 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 01:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x1c06…c338 | Yes | SELL | 1,151 | 2¢ | $22 | 0xea08aa… |
| 07-17 00:56:32 | Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | BUY | 94 | 95¢ | $89 | 0x485bfa… |
| 07-17 00:56:32 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 156 | 95¢ | $148 | 0x485bfa… |
| 07-17 00:56:32 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 250 | 95¢ | $238 | 0x485bfa… |
| 07-17 00:54:46 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | SELL | 244 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x679dbe… |
| 07-17 00:54:46 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 250 | 95¢ | $238 | 0x679dbe… |
| 07-17 00:54:46 | Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x679dbe… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x1c06…c338 | Yes | BUY | 1,151 | 4¢ | $50 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 283 | 96¢ | $270 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 143 | 96¢ | $137 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 250 | 96¢ | $239 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-17 00:54:32 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 250 | 96¢ | $239 | 0x64ff1c… |
| 07-12 04:11:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x14b97a… |
| 07-12 04:11:04 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x14b97a… |
| 07-12 04:11:04 | Frequent-Basis 0xdf43…1330 | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x14b97a… |
| 07-01 04:48:38 | Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x912741… |
| 07-01 04:48:38 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x912741… |
| 06-26 09:35:44 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b691c… |
| 06-26 09:35:44 | Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9b691c… |
| 06-24 17:10:44 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x168580… |
| 06-24 17:10:44 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x168580… |
| 06-24 17:10:44 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x168580… |
| 06-24 12:41:28 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x897257… |
| 06-24 12:41:28 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x897257… |
| 06-11 01:05:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1e522f… |
| 06-11 01:05:16 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x1e522f… |
| 06-08 14:17:39 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xdd366a… |
| 06-08 14:17:39 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdd366a… |
| 06-05 19:27:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb6b82b… |
| 06-05 19:27:36 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xb6b82b… |
| 06-05 19:27:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xb6b82b… |
| 06-05 19:27:36 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb6b82b… |
| 06-05 19:27:36 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0xb6b82b… |
| 06-02 22:15:50 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x01ff86… |
| 06-02 22:15:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x01ff86… |
| 06-02 22:15:50 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x01ff86… |
| 06-02 22:15:50 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x01ff86… |
| 06-02 22:15:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x01ff86… |
| 06-01 12:48:19 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 129 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xfe077a… |
| 06-01 12:48:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfe077a… |
| 06-01 12:48:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfe077a… |
| 06-01 12:48:19 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 79 | 98¢ | $77 | 0xfe077a… |
| 05-30 12:47:51 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4d2df0… |
| 05-30 12:47:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4d2df0… |
| 05-30 12:47:51 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 129 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x4d2df0… |
| 05-30 12:47:51 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | SELL | 79 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x4d2df0… |
| 05-30 12:47:51 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4d2df0… |
| 05-28 22:00:58 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xd21f19… |
| 05-28 22:00:58 | Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd21f19… |