Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$52

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-30 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 50% $-20

Other

38% 100% +$1

Tech

6% — —

Sports

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+34	$28	88¢	$29	+$1	06-30 20:48
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	+22	$19	90¢	$20	+$1	06-23 04:55
Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	+4	$3	87¢	$3	+$0	06-11 13:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	4	$333	200	200	+0	No	$-21	05-07 14:35
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	03-21 14:31
ethereum above 2200 on april 16	10	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	04-16 15:05
btc updown 15m 1774259100	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 09:59
ethereum up or down march 23 2026 12am et	3	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	03-23 04:55
nhl buf chi 2026 04 13	3	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	04-14 02:53
btc updown 15m 1774083600	4	$171	86	86	+0	open	—	03-21 09:14
chi tie jin 2026 03 21 tie	3	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-21 09:32
ethereum above 2000 on april 6	3	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	04-06 15:12
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-23 12:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	04-21 15:27
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	4	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	04-21 15:27
ethereum up or down march 22 2026 1am et	2	$153	78	78	+0	open	—	03-22 06:06
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	5	$148	77	77	+0	open	—	03-21 07:08
btc updown 15m 1774170000	4	$147	90	80	+10	open	—	03-22 09:14
bitcoin above 70k on april 12	2	$141	71	71	+0	open	—	04-12 15:50
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	3	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	03-23 03:55
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 5am et	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-19 10:05
ethereum up or down march 22 2026 6am et	2	$136	69	69	+0	open	—	03-22 10:58
cs2 unity g2a 2026 03 21	5	$134	70	70	+0	open	—	03-21 11:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	3	$126	66	66	+0	open	—	04-04 02:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 16c	2	$125	63	63	+0	open	—	04-23 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	5	$123	62	62	+0	open	—	05-23 18:02
btc updown 15m 1774414800	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-25 05:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$119	62	62	+0	open	—	04-19 14:36
ethereum up or down march 19 2026 11pm et	3	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	03-20 03:59
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	05-11 06:56
nhl tb edm 2026 03 21	5	$118	66	66	+0	open	—	03-22 04:17
sol updown 15m 1774081800	4	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 08:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:48:52	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	34	85¢	$28	0x164d8b…
06-29 06:35:49	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x1c9f33…
06-24 20:01:26	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	65	78¢	$51	0x3ad38d…
06-23 06:34:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0x3b9514…
06-23 04:55:49	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x02f675…
06-12 01:32:43	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc0178b…
06-12 00:50:01	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xd38f2c…
06-11 13:36:37	Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x7b46ed…
06-10 14:15:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xa1ce28…
06-09 16:41:27	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x09a871…
06-09 16:19:49	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xced200…
06-09 10:44:22	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0xe4cb51…
06-09 08:22:28	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x29e9a7…
06-08 16:59:52	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0xd281b0…
06-05 22:12:57	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x1afc3a…
06-03 20:14:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x79f5ca…
05-30 08:37:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x539b90…
05-27 05:59:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xd2cd2f…
05-26 04:09:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5b08d7…
05-26 04:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xdbcfcb…
05-25 12:42:58	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xe72573…
05-25 11:07:23	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xa25d3a…
05-23 18:02:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x6f4c73…
05-21 12:39:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x438bbe…
05-20 08:40:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xad7cb6…
05-20 08:40:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1d028a…
05-19 03:11:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5a097e…
05-18 02:28:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xfb50d4…
05-17 18:36:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6bf18d…
05-17 17:54:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa51063…
05-17 17:19:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84a0d4…
05-16 05:59:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xb247c9…
05-12 10:29:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xdf655b…
05-11 06:56:21	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x3b3895…
05-11 05:46:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6be9da…
05-11 05:45:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd11c55…
05-11 05:24:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xa94b6d…
05-09 08:09:51	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xa6570b…
05-07 14:35:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x83a895…
05-07 11:07:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xe3fc6c…
05-07 11:02:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xe8c7fc…
05-07 05:11:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x316dd1…
05-05 17:27:06	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	23	82¢	$19	0x3ad899…
05-05 15:53:08	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xbbab9d…
05-05 15:43:20	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x42283d…
05-01 05:52:16	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$31	0x432e78…
05-01 05:45:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x6e6423…
04-29 09:58:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x0e1c15…
04-28 06:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x0a29b7…
04-27 17:54:42	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xa5bbc8…
04-26 12:36:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x94dd2c…
04-24 09:56:34	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x24923d…
04-24 09:56:32	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x102bd0…
04-24 09:56:30	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x29180e…
04-24 09:52:02	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x1b489c…
04-24 05:09:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xbaff70…
04-24 05:08:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xe6a605…
04-23 02:00:26	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 16c	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xbffbaa…
04-22 04:01:46	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0x4e571a…
04-22 04:00:46	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x25ede2…
04-21 15:27:30	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x1b87ff…
04-21 15:27:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x9f3ca3…
04-21 14:38:20	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x514cd8…
04-21 14:37:04	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x826587…
04-21 14:37:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x4c6cb7…
04-21 13:40:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	SELL	23	65¢	$15	0xd87fd7…
04-21 13:39:46	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	SELL	32	65¢	$21	0x9cb3c8…
04-21 13:37:30	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x005ce5…
04-21 03:19:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xd0e19e…
04-20 16:25:44	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x95328a…
04-20 14:58:02	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8e1ef7…
04-20 14:57:42	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7d0e85…
04-20 14:55:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xae56b4…
04-20 14:48:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x95094f…
04-20 14:37:30	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9984cc…
04-20 14:33:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6c6ade…
04-20 07:22:04	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe1ce12…
04-20 07:21:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe40669…
04-19 14:36:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0xa71f6d…
04-19 05:00:56	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc04ae6…
04-19 05:00:42	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x5c798c…
04-18 05:46:38	j1100 san vva 2026 04 18 san	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xb04052…
04-18 05:45:30	j1100 san vva 2026 04 18 san	Yes	SELL	39	87¢	$34	0x2003bd…
04-18 05:44:26	j1100 san vva 2026 04 18 san	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x5a37df…
04-18 05:44:26	j1100 san vva 2026 04 18 san	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x19a09e…
04-18 05:44:10	j1100 san vva 2026 04 18 san	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x656a79…
04-18 05:27:58	j1100 san vva 2026 04 18 san	Yes	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x1708bc…
04-17 06:55:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x2343f9…
04-16 15:05:48	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x414874…
04-16 09:11:40	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd2650b…
04-16 09:09:54	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1a6c0c…
04-16 09:08:10	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa5bfa3…
04-16 09:06:24	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x360f63…
04-16 09:04:38	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x928925…
04-16 09:02:54	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x122167…
04-16 09:01:36	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x991c2d…
04-16 09:01:28	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xafbc43…
04-16 08:50:24	ethereum above 2200 on april 16	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x553f30…
04-16 08:23:30	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa1f29f…
04-15 20:51:56	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x04f1c0…