Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

-$85

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

203

Trades

651

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$151

11 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 11-09 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

41% 80% -$8

Crypto

31% 82% +$69

Politics

11% 91% +$6

Tech

10% 81% +$31

Sports

8% 77% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+36	$35	98¢	$35	$0	11-03 20:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	+30	$29	97¢	$29	$0	11-08 07:48
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+25	$25	100¢	$25	+$0	11-01 10:05
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+25	$24	98¢	$25	+$0	11-09 08:31
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+14	$14	98¢	$14	+$0	11-06 09:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+45	$21	24¢	$11	-$11	10-30 00:50
Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	+4	$3	92¢	$4	+$0	06-11 13:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+150	$39	2¢	$3	-$36	07-31 13:25
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+500	$17	1¢	$3	-$14	08-27 15:39
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+300	$27	1¢	$2	-$25	08-12 12:42
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	10-10 03:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	4	$333	200	200	+0	No	-$21	05-07 14:35
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	2	$280	140	140	+0	Yes	+$0	03-21 14:31
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$264	134	134	+0	open	—	10-07 14:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	15	$219	244	243	+0	Yes	+$39	07-31 08:27
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$216	109	109	+0	No	+$0	10-11 22:03
ethereum above 2200 on april 16	10	$209	105	105	+0	Yes	+$1	04-16 15:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 09:45 UTC	2	$200	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	03-23 09:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$187	97	97	+0	No	+$1	08-31 01:17
ethereum up or down march 23 2026 12am et	3	$179	90	90	+0	Up	+$1	03-23 04:55
nhl buf chi 2026 04 13	3	$176	88	88	+0	Sabres	+$0	04-14 02:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 09:00 UTC	4	$171	86	86	+0	Up	+$1	03-21 09:14
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$167	86	86	+0	No	+$1	07-26 11:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	7	$165	141	96	+45	open	—	10-30 00:50
chi tie jin 2026 03 21 tie	3	$160	80	80	+0	Yes	+$0	03-21 09:32
ethereum above 2000 on april 6	3	$159	80	80	+0	Yes	+$1	04-06 15:12
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 8am et	2	$159	80	80	+0	Up	+$1	03-23 12:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	2	$159	80	80	+0	No	+$1	04-21 15:27
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	4	$158	80	80	+0	Yes	+$2	04-21 15:27
ethereum up or down march 22 2026 1am et	2	$153	78	78	+0	Down	+$3	03-22 06:06
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	5	$148	77	77	+0	Yes	+$0	03-21 07:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 09:00 UTC	4	$147	90	80	+10	Up	-$5	03-22 09:14
bitcoin above 70k on april 12	2	$141	71	71	+0	Yes	+$1	04-12 15:50
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	8	$141	84	84	+0	open	—	07-01 09:23
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	3	$140	71	71	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$1	03-23 03:55
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 5am et	2	$139	70	70	+0	Up	+$1	03-19 10:05
ethereum up or down march 22 2026 6am et	2	$136	69	69	+0	Down	+$1	03-22 10:58
cs2 unity g2a 2026 03 21	5	$134	70	70	+0	UNiTY esports	+$3	03-21 11:03
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	11	$128	66	66	+0	Yes	+$2	07-06 15:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	3	$126	66	66	+0	No	$0	04-04 02:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 16c	2	$125	63	63	+0	No	+$0	04-23 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:31:06	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xb155ae…
11-08 18:01:54	Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xbbd003…
11-08 07:48:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x6123bb…
11-08 03:51:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3e5013…
11-06 10:22:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xebdbe5…
11-06 09:37:28	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xd36028…
11-05 18:31:46	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x41798b…
11-05 07:04:42	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xa0b946…
11-04 07:35:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xf26ce3…
11-03 20:35:45	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x3d3dd1…
11-03 13:20:57	Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcfedc5…
11-03 10:54:10	Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xdfc5a3…
11-03 06:11:58	Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77922a…
11-02 01:33:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0xbb7b4b…
11-01 10:05:16	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf38408…
10-31 14:19:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x6524c3…
10-30 00:50:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xed9bce…
10-30 00:49:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x4783d2…
10-30 00:49:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x08fcef…
10-29 17:50:31	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x7c36cf…
10-29 13:53:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x219901…
10-27 13:23:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x0bef8b…
10-24 14:00:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa397b7…
10-24 12:26:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x2f9a8f…
10-24 10:10:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x13bc3e…
10-24 09:25:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbe615d…
10-24 01:49:17	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x247a02…
10-22 10:17:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x0a8652…
10-21 06:18:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x67cab0…
10-20 07:55:26	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	42	94¢	$40	0x698e11…
10-18 04:40:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x0a197f…
10-18 01:10:27	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5ad5ef…
10-17 22:57:56	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xfa517b…
10-17 15:38:48	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x12eb28…
10-15 03:26:28	will wti reach 130 in october 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x816a99…
10-13 18:02:09	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x11ffed…
10-12 14:05:59	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xd9d23b…
10-12 01:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x3e3f33…
10-12 01:19:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe108fa…
10-11 22:03:45	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xfc01ee…
10-11 06:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe605b0…
10-10 12:44:57	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x025ad8…
10-10 06:57:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5590ba…
10-10 03:05:45	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x341cde…
10-10 02:59:24	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x87eac0…
10-10 02:41:17	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x0f1fa0…
10-10 02:34:57	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x67ebad…
10-10 02:23:51	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x5cf1ba…
10-10 02:07:50	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x40133a…
10-10 01:44:52	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x8a092c…
10-08 03:45:44	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xc78214…
10-07 14:33:01	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x2bc1e6…
10-07 09:51:15	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x1b8e75…
10-05 06:46:16	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x6bb5a9…
10-04 16:13:17	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x9c4c3f…
10-04 07:01:01	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xae99bb…
10-03 08:51:44	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x989b41…
10-01 18:35:33	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x7d98d1…
10-01 15:13:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	41	81¢	$33	0xab4f41…
10-01 13:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6dc2f2…
09-29 16:37:39	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xee09df…
09-29 02:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x581b87…
09-28 17:48:08	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x7e8a7a…
09-28 12:29:29	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x73e534…
09-26 02:15:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0e502b…
09-24 18:23:48	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x7db9aa…
09-24 16:55:06	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x80f96b…
09-23 10:52:47	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x0ad777…
09-23 04:15:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x51d2dd…
09-23 00:43:53	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x6fceed…
09-21 12:40:21	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xe299d5…
09-21 02:44:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x2a9f22…
09-20 21:05:31	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x87ff17…
09-20 20:59:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x7f69e7…
09-19 09:11:07	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x03e12a…
09-18 10:11:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xe953e1…
09-17 22:44:21	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa0439b…
09-17 10:48:01	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x9ed091…
09-16 01:50:30	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdb8e19…
09-14 17:14:58	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x32f1ba…
09-14 17:10:28	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81f6bd…
09-14 12:40:15	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xb19f8f…
09-13 17:24:40	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xb4858f…
09-13 13:52:58	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x66b141…
09-13 10:51:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xd623f7…
09-13 07:49:19	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x36fbc6…
09-13 06:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb2c2a1…
09-12 09:29:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x63c4a8…
09-12 07:44:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x09183f…
09-12 07:38:27	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x89f11a…
09-11 05:30:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x7a0aba…
09-08 08:57:06	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xcd95a7…
09-08 08:44:46	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xa1d746…
09-08 08:29:46	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1468b7…
09-08 06:23:52	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb653d3…
09-08 04:57:00	Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa2fa65…
09-07 12:30:43	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x4bbbaf…
09-06 15:08:06	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa3b843…
09-06 09:17:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x11c548…
09-06 08:57:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x7e1e39…