Old-Waterbed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$376

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-24 02:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Politics

27% 50% $-0

Crypto

24% 0% $-0

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-21 01:36
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-02 01:05
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 02:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 09:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 01:48
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 00:52
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 00:50
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:20
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 04:26
will mike white be voted off survivor season 50 this week 931	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 01:02
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-08 07:39
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-30 00:40
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by 9 or more 953	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 06:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 01:21
Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:03
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-13 01:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 01:10
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-07 01:51
btc updown 15m 1773103500	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 00:55
will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 00:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 00:58
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 01:33
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 01:24
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 01:43
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 01:03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 02:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 01:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 01:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 03:24
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 02:01:24	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7ff86e…
07-24 01:45:27	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xffd3b5…
07-24 01:42:37	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869 558 982	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xabade5…
07-24 01:33:10	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869 558 982	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbb5b0f…
07-23 01:48:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe8cb86…
07-23 01:38:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x482dd7…
07-23 01:33:37	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa1b4f4…
07-23 01:26:04	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca16e3…
07-22 01:41:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x81d71e…
07-22 01:36:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbb17f5…
07-22 01:32:21	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0f1458…
07-22 01:23:19	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x720e5d…
07-21 01:13:21	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba8aea…
07-20 02:23:55	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70e7cb…
07-20 02:17:13	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x634f1b…
07-18 01:25:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc0727f…
07-18 01:13:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x371fe1…
07-17 01:22:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x8c446b…
07-17 01:12:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x168006…
07-16 01:22:40	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5d80de…
07-16 01:13:19	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ebe7e…
07-15 01:36:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3517de…
07-15 01:25:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4aede0…
07-15 01:21:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x086f53…
07-15 01:15:20	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x172bd9…
07-14 01:56:43	over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x41a413…
07-14 01:34:25	over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xba1b05…
07-11 01:39:13	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1142d8…
07-11 01:29:16	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbe59f5…
07-10 02:02:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa583f2…
07-10 01:57:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3b6284…
07-10 01:26:58	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x344e75…
07-10 01:20:10	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x468784…
07-08 01:34:02	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6c7577…
07-08 01:25:58	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e1fd0…
07-08 01:20:58	will yal braun pivet advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x95c7a9…
07-08 00:59:14	will yal braun pivet advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5157d…
07-07 01:51:52	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa8b521…
07-07 01:41:40	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x492a9c…
07-03 02:41:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x21fa76…
07-03 02:25:50	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0851bc…
07-03 02:15:52	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6052e0…
07-03 02:02:40	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xce5d70…
07-02 01:40:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9e230a…
07-02 01:22:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4e656a…
07-01 01:15:11	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9a2b27…
07-01 01:13:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xca3aec…
07-01 01:01:31	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1f3e4c…
07-01 00:52:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe7330d…
06-30 01:21:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3457d3…
06-30 01:18:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6b91de…
06-30 01:09:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x488245…
06-30 00:59:56	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x408364…
06-29 02:16:55	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7945fa…
06-29 01:36:49	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x958051…
06-27 01:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x79ab5b…
06-27 01:04:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x66b47c…
06-26 01:46:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xae1fba…
06-26 01:45:11	Deel IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbac88a…
06-26 01:36:13	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcaa4db…
06-26 01:30:17	Deel IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2ea207…
06-25 02:10:14	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3e593e…
06-25 01:52:13	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x800c9c…
06-23 01:26:56	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x96350e…
06-23 01:09:38	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a55bb…
06-22 01:43:19	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa43226…
06-22 01:26:14	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x077047…
06-21 01:36:56	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x47e992…
06-21 01:18:17	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x246bfb…
06-18 01:37:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x189895…
06-18 01:30:53	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x92cee1…
06-18 01:17:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xde239e…
06-18 01:11:08	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x320214…
06-17 01:25:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3b5b21…
06-17 01:24:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd40f2a…
06-17 01:09:16	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe1411c…
06-17 01:03:17	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5e4e30…
06-16 01:18:58	will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x7d88bc…
06-16 01:16:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xabd8f9…
06-16 01:03:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc037a4…
06-15 01:17:48	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in june	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc88b8…
06-15 01:16:36	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x212c4d…
06-15 01:13:28	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in june	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c3671…
06-15 01:10:28	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x487db2…
06-13 01:58:48	Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x657b96…
06-13 01:56:39	will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbf3f20…
06-13 01:31:21	Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbe438a…
06-13 01:19:49	will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b47c1…
06-12 02:23:52	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x5f1f63…
06-12 02:22:16	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6101f0…
06-12 02:15:13	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x240ec5…
06-12 01:20:54	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x072d2c…
06-10 01:06:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x91d5a3…
06-10 00:59:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8fbd2f…
06-09 00:47:45	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeea9b9…
06-09 00:45:03	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ca953…
06-09 00:42:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc43107…
06-09 00:38:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf57daf…
06-08 00:43:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x7a070e…
06-08 00:42:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe27012…