Showy-Secretary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.8%

Resolved

Trades

11,571

lifetime

Volume

$1.32M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-10

Politics

32% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	79	$60.4K	30,800	30,147	+653	open	—	02-06 19:07
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	139	$56.8K	28,906	29,981	-1,076	open	—	02-09 21:10
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	36	$47.2K	26,400	21,201	+5,199	open	—	02-17 00:20
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	128	$44.7K	24,912	20,683	+4,228	open	—	02-01 03:08
si hit 150 high jan 2026	88	$39.8K	20,024	20,400	-377	open	—	01-29 19:14
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	39	$32.2K	15,790	16,623	-833	open	—	05-19 16:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	227	$31.2K	16,369	16,198	+171	open	—	02-19 19:27
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	141	$27.4K	14,236	13,908	+328	open	—	02-12 19:23
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	110	$27.0K	13,670	13,995	-325	open	—	02-12 15:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	110	$24.5K	12,306	12,290	+16	open	—	04-24 20:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	46	$22.2K	10,973	11,473	-500	open	—	04-30 05:35
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	61	$20.0K	10,671	9,577	+1,094	open	—	02-14 08:44
Will the US strike Iran next?	50	$18.0K	41,719	32,646	+9,073	open	—	02-19 21:11
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	120	$16.3K	8,362	8,263	+99	open	—	02-14 09:11
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$16.1K	8,092	8,104	-11	open	—	01-02 17:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	37	$16.0K	8,331	8,331	+0	open	—	03-15 15:10
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	104	$15.6K	7,161	8,544	-1,382	open	—	03-14 13:38
Will the US strike Yemen next?	103	$15.0K	4,528	10,582	-6,055	open	—	03-01 18:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	46	$14.9K	9,030	7,240	+1,790	open	—	04-01 13:12
highest temperature in ankara on march 26 2026 8corbelow	110	$13.8K	6,922	6,922	+0	open	—	03-26 10:52
Will the US strike Iran next?	29	$12.9K	7,561	5,358	+2,203	open	—	02-04 22:59
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	85	$12.5K	6,534	6,258	+276	open	—	02-14 12:48
Will the US strike Somalia next?	50	$12.3K	7,213	5,524	+1,690	open	—	02-04 17:38
us strikes iraq by march 7	48	$12.0K	5,000	7,000	-2,000	open	—	03-11 11:19
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	106	$11.7K	3,695	8,070	-4,375	open	—	02-03 17:53
will the us not strike another country before 2027 952	83	$11.3K	5,759	5,658	+100	open	—	01-23 19:48
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	26	$10.7K	10,782	10,782	+0	open	—	04-11 20:49
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	12	$10.4K	5,250	5,250	+0	open	—	03-02 19:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	51	$10.2K	4,990	5,471	-482	open	—	04-27 23:26
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 240plus	55	$10.0K	5,551	4,541	+1,010	open	—	02-13 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:50:03	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xf11261…
08-10 13:02:46	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x85e45b…
08-10 13:02:42	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x3b241f…
08-08 01:33:15	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd689fc…
08-07 11:43:22	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x4b4781…
08-05 23:37:24	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x85e0d0…
08-05 20:22:35	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0xf5091b…
08-05 20:22:35	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xf5091b…
08-05 10:31:38	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xae8021…
07-28 10:18:50	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3cb703…
07-26 01:49:31	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x389fe8…
07-24 09:18:54	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x156a05…
07-23 18:03:10	will jason de puy be evicted in big brother season 28 week 2 20260716150200048	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb6b8d7…
07-23 17:25:00	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x78e092…
07-23 15:36:24	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x6838be…
07-23 12:24:00	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 30 2026 20260721160333086	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x1041bf…
07-23 10:19:48	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xd7d872…
07-23 09:36:34	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 9 2026 20260721160426367	No	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x12ef69…
07-23 09:30:30	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 9 2026 20260721160426367	No	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xcb85ce…
07-22 20:19:42	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 6 2026 20260721160433827	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xef006a…
07-22 07:07:52	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf03a13…
07-22 07:05:06	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 9 2026 20260721160426367	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x429438…
07-22 07:04:45	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 6 2026 20260721160433827	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe920ae…
07-22 07:03:40	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 30 2026 20260721160333086	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xf69a3a…
07-22 06:40:58	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xd94a0b…
07-20 14:48:18	Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0e2de7…
07-15 23:36:01	will michelle yeoh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553824	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x110bd2…
07-15 12:39:41	will michelle yeoh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553824	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa7413e…
06-30 14:09:07	Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xac9074…
06-23 08:36:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0b3b1c…
06-23 07:26:29	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x41e2ce…
06-23 07:02:50	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x35ea27…
06-23 06:36:43	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xe09d97…
06-23 06:26:08	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xb01c3c…
06-23 06:19:04	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x478375…
06-17 15:35:32	nelson semedo 20260609175357514	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x89fa47…
06-17 06:18:02	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x9ae344…
06-16 15:53:43	francisco conceicao 20260609175357538	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xdecdcd…
06-16 15:52:55	lautaro martinez 20260609174518105	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0280a9…
06-16 09:35:48	bernardo silva 20260609175357522	No	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xc95eb3…
06-15 15:10:51	charles de ketelaere 20260609173850410	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xbafa6e…
06-15 12:18:25	will moiss caicedo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xee9405…
06-15 06:01:54	romelu lukaku 20260609173850402	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x8386ad…
06-15 06:00:51	will lionel messi score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833282	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa8a8e2…
06-14 22:42:25	will moiss caicedo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x318a62…
06-14 21:58:51	charles de ketelaere 20260609173850410	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x432823…
06-14 20:50:52	lamine yamal 20260609173616772	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x37490e…
06-14 19:19:06	rafael leao 20260609175357529	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x287786…
06-14 17:39:00	will moiss caicedo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xa8fb30…
06-14 16:36:25	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xb3ee8b…
06-14 16:35:36	cristian romero 20260609174518096	No	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x06cc9e…
06-14 15:07:51	rafael leao 20260609175357529	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x3402b7…
06-14 14:34:18	rafael leao 20260609175357529	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x6f3785…
06-14 12:38:00	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6f5f81…
06-14 09:23:40	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0xb03239…
06-14 06:17:57	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	38	51¢	$19	0x2328ed…
06-14 06:05:15	charles de ketelaere 20260609173850410	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x93943e…
06-14 05:45:55	will morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622436	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x53d1e0…
06-14 05:44:48	adrien rabiot 20260609174813079	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb11178…
06-14 05:38:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x9e3501…
06-14 05:28:54	romelu lukaku 20260609173850402	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x50f21e…
06-14 01:10:48	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0xf36cd7…
06-14 00:24:27	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x8de23b…
06-14 00:09:22	bukayo saka 20260609175104685	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x31b701…
06-13 21:56:09	romelu lukaku 20260609173850402	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xc67ce0…
06-13 21:28:43	will granit xhaka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x84700e…
06-13 20:15:31	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xabf8c4…
06-13 19:27:45	will lamine yamal score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932025	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xe0a0e2…
06-13 18:59:22	will dan ndoye score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc92b4b…
06-13 18:59:12	ezri konsa 20260609175104680	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x40cb8e…
06-13 18:43:30	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x543687…
06-13 18:27:00	maxim de cuyper 20260609173850398	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5d4a17…
06-13 18:25:22	igor thiago 20260609165807841	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x04993e…
06-13 18:18:45	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1deb03…
06-13 18:18:16	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xfe55b8…
06-13 18:17:10	timothy castagne 20260609173850414	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xe5a6a2…
06-13 18:17:10	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x7ed5c1…
06-13 18:15:40	marcus rashford 20260609175104689	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x30982c…
06-13 18:13:34	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x35c8bc…
06-13 18:13:30	bradley barcola 20260609174813077	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x2f5f90…
06-13 18:12:25	bradley barcola 20260609174813077	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x60c147…
06-13 18:06:40	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x44a4d1…
06-13 18:05:49	romelu lukaku 20260609173850402	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0ecf6c…
06-13 18:05:48	ko itakura 20260609171501486	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x95ec74…
06-13 18:01:10	juan musso 20260609174518085	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe44472…
06-13 18:01:06	timothy castagne 20260609173850414	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc81c9c…
06-13 18:01:01	will moiss caicedo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x97c3b0…
06-13 17:40:52	will granit xhaka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xb7190a…
06-13 17:36:07	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	No	SELL	43	59¢	$26	0x4d9e05…
06-13 17:36:07	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x462320…
06-13 17:35:52	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0xbd1f9d…
06-13 17:30:48	matheus cunha 20260609165807843	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x498f04…
06-13 17:24:00	endrick 20260609165807839	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xe2c83d…
06-13 17:23:18	ko itakura 20260609171501486	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x930563…
06-13 17:02:49	lautaro martinez 20260609174518105	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xc780c5…
06-13 17:02:19	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	No	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0xebf81b…
06-13 16:55:31	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x3ebf17…
06-13 16:41:33	julian alvarez 20260609174518092	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x12f046…
06-13 16:37:10	will dan ndoye score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9fcbe9…
06-13 16:27:49	joao felix 20260609175357523	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x03393c…