Cumbersome-Butler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

995

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-29 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

51% 67% +$24

Crypto

28% 67% +$2

Politics

20% 100% +$4

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	8	$2.8K	1,485	1,445	+40	Down	$-47	05-12 20:10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	10	$2.2K	1,679	1,679	+0	Down	$-14	05-13 20:54
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$1.6K	880	880	+0	Up	+$66	05-11 19:54
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	7	$1.2K	1,600	800	+800	No	+$5	05-08 21:01
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	2	$1.0K	512	504	+8	open	—	02-16 06:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$994	605	434	+170	open	—	02-22 16:24
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	2	$858	432	432	+0	No	+$4	05-11 02:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	3	$830	418	418	+0	No	+$4	05-09 03:30
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	2	$649	353	353	+0	open	—	06-22 17:12
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$646	647	0	+647	open	—	02-03 20:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$605	304	304	+0	open	—	04-25 00:08
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	6	$539	332	332	+0	open	—	06-21 03:10
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	2	$498	380	120	+260	open	—	02-16 21:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	6	$431	495	495	+0	open	—	06-01 21:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$418	220	220	+0	open	—	06-07 04:15
will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	1	$415	416	0	+416	open	—	06-07 21:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	03-02 17:06
coin up or down on february 10 2026	3	$384	211	200	+11	open	—	02-10 19:57
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$334	199	199	+0	open	—	03-15 19:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	8	$313	367	367	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 19:31
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$307	186	186	+0	open	—	03-23 19:59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	2	$268	204	204	+0	open	—	05-13 21:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$260	132	132	+0	open	—	04-08 03:40
will silver si hit high 115 by end of march	2	$249	130	130	+0	open	—	03-23 19:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$249	135	135	+1	open	—	04-21 20:03
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$221	122	122	+0	open	—	02-28 21:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$216	118	118	+0	open	—	03-30 07:28
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$210	112	112	+0	open	—	03-31 13:16
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	3	$209	109	109	+0	open	—	01-31 23:38
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	01-30 22:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 15:49:23	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x26fcc0…
06-22 17:12:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	353	99¢	$349	0x15e667…
06-21 03:10:13	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	263	97¢	$255	0xf2a6a0…
06-21 01:39:40	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xc02a5d…
06-21 00:05:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa5b7c2…
06-20 22:54:11	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5197e4…
06-16 08:13:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x0ddc77…
06-15 21:52:18	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xb4683b…
06-08 17:18:07	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	167	52¢	$87	0x1fc134…
06-07 21:01:13	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	416	100¢	$415	0x551f1d…
06-07 04:15:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0xcd3fde…
06-05 18:52:18	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	332	65¢	$217	0xeb2758…
06-05 18:49:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	198	98¢	$194	0x34ac65…
06-04 18:03:48	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x02dab1…
06-04 18:01:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0xd20c31…
06-02 21:35:02	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x566db6…
06-02 21:34:14	UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Iwo Baraniewski	BUY	197	76¢	$150	0xe552c2…
06-01 21:12:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	59	44¢	$26	0xb440cf…
06-01 21:12:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x9f118b…
06-01 21:04:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0x11a6bd…
06-01 20:51:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	114	44¢	$50	0x18d798…
06-01 20:40:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x7a367a…
06-01 20:34:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	495	43¢	$213	0xc3a15e…
06-01 20:28:38	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	500	12¢	$59	0x02c077…
06-01 20:27:00	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$66	0x2abbed…
06-01 20:17:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xe3e792…
05-28 19:50:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xea33d7…
05-27 23:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x0f76fa…
05-27 23:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x332925…
05-27 23:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x25fbeb…
05-27 23:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0xbeb026…
05-27 23:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xb8c28f…
05-27 23:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x276d35…
05-27 23:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xc73749…
05-27 23:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xbee143…
05-27 23:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f9a58…
05-27 23:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x5423ef…
05-27 23:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x93c393…
05-27 23:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x3f898c…
05-27 23:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd06faf…
05-27 23:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xcfa016…
05-27 23:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x89225c…
05-27 23:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x890131…
05-27 23:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x500939…
05-27 23:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x46eba5…
05-27 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xfc2557…
05-27 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe780aa…
05-27 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x6da847…
05-27 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x145521…
05-27 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x05b04a…
05-27 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x43bc1f…
05-27 23:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x013a67…
05-27 22:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1bf9ea…
05-27 22:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x1bc130…
05-27 22:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x3f4b7c…
05-27 22:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0x35f33a…
05-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd5a5f4…
05-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x13c46e…
05-27 22:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x2e545e…
05-27 22:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0xf8a137…
05-27 22:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x275e33…
05-27 22:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xb6fdc6…
05-27 22:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x60c58b…
05-27 22:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x25c75d…
05-27 22:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x207e5c…
05-27 22:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x1f1109…
05-27 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xf09083…
05-27 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x87ce05…
05-27 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x7d5bcd…
05-27 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x333d21…
05-27 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x0abf3e…
05-27 22:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x1eaf08…
05-27 22:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x9a662d…
05-27 22:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x649826…
05-27 22:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2de4a0…
05-27 22:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x207dca…
05-27 22:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x080e9e…
05-27 22:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x3c215c…
05-27 22:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x8ac56f…
05-27 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x9efbdd…
05-27 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x32fd15…
05-27 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x0b6685…
05-27 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe90683…
05-27 22:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x1d9549…
05-27 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x02ef30…
05-27 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x0c29b5…
05-27 21:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x126980…
05-27 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe65619…
05-27 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x764afa…
05-27 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x39de3a…
05-27 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x397000…
05-27 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1fb687…
05-27 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x07fe3d…
05-27 21:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf30ae2…
05-27 21:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x2d9bad…
05-27 21:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x41c221…
05-27 21:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd07e95…
05-27 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe999a5…
05-27 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x06a303…
05-27 21:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x59e1e0…