Extra-Small-Scrambled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

1,314

Trades

1,851

lifetime

Volume

$36.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-24 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Other

72% 86% +$407

Crypto

23% 85% -$367

Politics

4% 76% -$151

Tech

1% 100% +$16

Sports

0% 43% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
googl up or down on march 10 2026	9	$146	147	23	+124	Up	+$23	03-10 19:59
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	4	$126	92	45	+47	Up	+$10	05-20 17:56
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	3	$87	46	46	+0	Yes	+$4	05-27 00:25
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	3	$84	63	31	+32	Up	+$9	04-24 18:08
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 28?	3	$83	44	44	+0	Up	+$4	05-28 19:57
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 22?	2	$83	44	44	+0	Up	+$5	05-22 19:59
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$80	43	43	+0	Up	+$4	05-28 17:12
spx up or down on march 25 2026	2	$79	42	42	+0	Up	+$4	03-25 19:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	2	$79	42	42	+0	Up	+$4	06-01 14:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	2	$78	42	42	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 15:49
tsla close above 380 on march 24 2026	2	$78	42	42	+0	Yes	+$4	03-24 19:25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	3	$78	42	42	+0	Yes	+$5	05-18 15:51
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $425?	2	$78	42	42	+0	Yes	+$5	05-22 20:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	2	$78	41	41	+0	Up	+$4	05-20 18:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	3	$77	41	41	+0	Yes	+$4	05-02 14:59
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 21?	2	$76	41	41	+0	Up	+$4	05-21 17:30
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	2	$76	44	44	+0	Yes	-$2	03-19 03:29
ndx up or down on march 16 2026	3	$74	40	40	+0	Up	+$4	03-16 17:47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	2	$74	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	04-25 15:19
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	3	$74	40	40	+0	Up	+$6	05-18 19:00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	2	$74	39	39	+0	Yes	+$4	05-06 18:37
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	2	$74	39	39	+0	Yes	+$4	05-11 16:02
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 18?	3	$73	39	39	+0	Up	+$4	05-18 20:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$72	39	39	+0	Up	+$5	05-28 17:00
tsla up or down on march 24 2026	4	$72	39	39	+0	Up	+$4	03-24 19:32
tsla up or down on march 16 2026	6	$72	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	03-16 19:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	2	$72	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 13:22
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 28?	4	$71	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	05-28 19:39
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	2	$71	38	38	+0	Yes	+$4	05-08 15:57
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-27?	2	$70	38	38	+0	Yes	+$4	05-27 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 17:33:17	aapl up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	28	85¢	$23	0x0442c4…
06-24 03:43:29	Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xb7d987…
06-23 19:39:02	amzn up or down on june 23 2026	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x787914…
06-23 15:13:11	aapl up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	25	86¢	$21	0xbead2b…
06-23 15:01:19	amzn up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xa2900f…
06-23 05:32:29	Portugal to score first vs. Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x4dcbc6…
06-23 05:32:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xea225d…
06-23 03:59:26	Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x1fd737…
06-22 16:53:11	aapl up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x6290f9…
06-22 16:40:50	aapl up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x52a31b…
06-22 15:21:29	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0xfca8b1…
06-22 12:07:59	Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x4e3f8a…
06-22 11:33:35	France to score first vs. Iraq?	Yes	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0x33650a…
06-22 08:32:07	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xc3b3fa…
06-22 07:30:43	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x6f55e5…
06-22 01:36:20	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0xc865fb…
06-21 21:59:16	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x5673d2…
06-21 21:47:26	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x70a8d5…
06-21 21:33:01	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x9e1a2b…
06-21 07:52:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x85abab…
06-21 06:29:08	Spain to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x8f979b…
06-21 04:03:28	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x0e494a…
06-21 02:16:23	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x2ce372…
06-20 14:13:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x73ab44…
06-20 12:01:01	Ecuador to score first vs. Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x40734f…
06-20 12:00:26	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x3bb33b…
06-20 08:50:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xc42a76…
06-19 12:37:19	Brazil to score first vs. Haiti?	Yes	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xc8bc52…
06-19 12:36:50	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x715d44…
06-19 00:23:28	Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe66001…
06-18 19:33:47	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0xe095c0…
06-18 08:14:41	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xb98fe1…
06-17 18:33:38	Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x1c06c4…
06-17 14:55:52	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xfaa6fb…
06-17 06:17:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x076949…
06-17 05:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x0959f7…
06-17 03:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?	Yes	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x86094e…
06-16 20:00:02	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x0a8f6c…
06-16 15:45:02	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	35	87¢	$31	0xf16ba7…
06-15 18:54:28	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x201b5c…
06-15 18:28:18	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x885ac9…
06-15 12:23:39	spy closes above 745 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	31	86¢	$26	0x932693…
06-15 09:40:18	Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	38	89¢	$33	0x70c6fe…
06-14 23:08:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	32	86¢	$27	0x461adb…
06-14 12:06:45	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	31	85¢	$27	0x2f9634…
06-13 17:17:45	will trump announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 13 2026 20260611220122298	Yes	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x416cf7…
06-13 10:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0xaf1625…
06-13 07:53:34	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x8a53f2…
06-12 20:56:09	xauusd up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xff88a8…
06-12 20:00:03	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12?	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xaea999…
06-12 19:59:07	tsla above 400 on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x504008…
06-12 19:49:40	spy up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x4f5b84…
06-12 19:36:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x68c12c…
06-12 19:30:03	tsla above 395 on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1b362b…
06-12 19:26:16	aapl above 290 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xa26dea…
06-12 19:16:27	tsla above 400 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$21	0x36556e…
06-12 19:05:03	djia up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xa6a7a4…
06-12 18:49:39	xauusd up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xe989ac…
06-12 18:34:00	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0x4387b5…
06-12 18:27:39	tsla above 395 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xa6e009…
06-12 18:11:06	googl above 355 on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x43a133…
06-12 17:14:25	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0xf628a3…
06-12 16:37:00	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 12?	Up	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0xe87e74…
06-12 15:56:10	hood up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x2c48f5…
06-12 15:48:36	googl up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x2df3cc…
06-12 15:35:54	spy up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0xaaf70b…
06-12 15:27:51	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xea5e7d…
06-12 15:26:31	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2d79eb…
06-12 15:26:28	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xdd0e83…
06-12 15:25:37	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x977838…
06-12 12:04:33	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x9bca43…
06-12 12:04:33	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x8f1647…
06-12 09:31:06	googl above 355 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xf30a25…
06-11 18:16:43	spy up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xe4f3e1…
06-11 17:48:39	xauusd up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x639795…
06-11 16:22:10	xauusd up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x31d11f…
06-11 16:15:01	spy up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x58411d…
06-10 19:55:34	aapl up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x7df9cf…
06-10 19:38:51	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x36e290…
06-10 16:47:43	aapl up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xbcc4b1…
06-10 15:15:13	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$26	0x5371d9…
06-10 15:08:40	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x55baed…
06-10 08:05:42	Will England win on 2026-06-10?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xe92b55…
06-10 00:46:06	Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf1bb01…
06-09 19:57:18	djia up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x449c12…
06-09 19:21:48	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x977b9d…
06-09 18:01:51	Will France win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x75d4d4…
06-09 17:03:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x2b5f76…
06-09 17:03:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x77392d…
06-09 16:35:18	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xec6e59…
06-09 16:34:15	Russia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x67dd9d…
06-09 15:24:18	meta up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd572c9…
06-09 15:14:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x22d1b9…
06-09 15:02:58	meta up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	18	87¢	$15	0x733c24…
06-09 14:44:49	djia up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x151bde…
06-09 14:05:51	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x382c05…
06-09 13:40:27	Hungary leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xca5457…
06-09 13:34:40	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x0df80b…
06-09 13:34:10	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb79626…
06-09 12:16:13	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x63c625…