Realized P&L
-$7.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.59K
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
2,565
Trades
19,630
lifetime
Volume
$2.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$35.8K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 13:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Other
98% 68% -$7,847
Politics
1% 33% +$247
Crypto
1% 90% +$199
Sports
0% 50% +$43
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +34,081 $28,712 89¢ $30.2K +$1,484 10-27 13:25
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -42,177 -$970 4¢ $-1497 -$527 08-13 17:57
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -74,963 -$900 2¢ $-1387 -$487 08-13 18:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -13,400 -$657 5¢ $-663 -$7 08-13 17:55
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -14,113 -$282 2¢ $-346 -$64 08-13 17:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,800 -$414 18¢ $-325 +$89 08-13 18:05
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -34,092 -$170 1¢ $-256 -$85 08-13 18:00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,205 -$205 16¢ $-199 +$6 08-13 18:07
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -31,883 -$319 1¢ $-175 +$143 08-13 17:59
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +2,576 $910 6¢ $166 -$744 10-22 13:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -147 -$135 94¢ $-138 -$2 08-13 18:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,400 -$172 10¢ $-135 +$37 08-13 18:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +120 $102 95¢ $114 +$12 10-22 15:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +160 $105 66¢ $105 +$0 10-22 15:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -200 -$18 11¢ $-21 -$3 08-13 18:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? Yes +3,166 $1,041 1¢ $19 -$1,022 10-09 12:51
will wti dip to 90 in october 2026 from october 12 Yes +510 $337 3¢ $14 -$323 10-14 10:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? Yes +150 $94 1¢ $1 -$93 10-09 11:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 10-21 16:33