Perky-Buggy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

999

Trades

9,014

lifetime

Volume

$301.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$3.80K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-28 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Other

84% 69% +$36,968

Crypto

15% 59% +$1,398

Politics

1% 12% -$177

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 519 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No		+2,941	$693	80¢	$2.4K	+$1,675	10-16 11:44
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes		+7,327	$3,094	20¢	$1.4K	-$1,666	10-23 21:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	54	$14.4K	19,872	9,604	+10,268	open	—	10-23 21:24
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	24	$12.8K	9,530	9,530	+0	Yes	+$621	08-06 01:23
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	130	$10.1K	18,576	7,291	+11,286	open	—	10-16 13:09
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 23?	114	$8.7K	11,150	457	+10,693	No	+$436	08-23 15:59
Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	160	$6.0K	5,100	3,866	+1,234	No	+$137	10-04 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?	19	$4.9K	2,463	2,463	+0	No	+$22	07-29 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	2	$4.3K	2,174	2,174	+0	No	+$20	08-22 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 26?	16	$3.9K	2,024	1,890	+133	No	+$28	07-26 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?	14	$3.7K	2,779	2,779	+0	No	+$1,822	06-11 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 26?	11	$3.6K	3,023	2,687	+337	Yes	+$508	07-26 08:07
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	16	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$238	02-27 01:51
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	14	$3.4K	1,856	1,816	+40	Yes	+$121	10-19 22:05
Will Champi peak as a Strong typhoon?	27	$3.4K	2,712	1,796	+916	No	+$187	10-16 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	5	$3.0K	1,555	1,555	+0	No	+$73	08-12 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	29	$3.0K	1,894	1,359	+535	Yes	+$106	04-28 02:01
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	11	$2.9K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$21	02-02 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?	9	$2.9K	2,082	2,082	+0	Yes	+$1,033	06-07 07:46
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	4	$2.8K	1,412	1,412	+0	Yes	+$68	02-06 03:50
will bitcoin reach 78k february 2 8	2	$2.5K	1,256	1,256	+0	Yes	+$0	02-02 14:20
Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?	116	$2.3K	2,595	2,517	+78	No	+$53	10-10 08:02
highest temperature in ankara on february 10 2026 4c	5	$2.3K	1,952	404	+1,548	No	+$19	02-10 07:19
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	25	$2.3K	4,437	4,437	+0	No	+$1,328	09-01 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 23?	18	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$8	07-23 07:51
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	15	$2.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$187	01-25 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	6	$2.0K	0	1,965	-1,965	Yes	-$5	07-25 15:24
bitcoin up or down february 1 6pm et	24	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$49	02-02 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	9	$1.9K	1,485	1,485	+0	No	+$94	07-10 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?	2	$1.9K	957	957	+0	No	+$1	07-29 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?	12	$1.9K	991	991	+0	No	+$80	07-07 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?	8	$1.9K	2,170	2,170	+0	Yes	+$1,713	05-30 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:15:13	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x252891…
10-28 09:04:47	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x14601d…
10-28 07:04:53	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xb65f05…
10-28 07:01:19	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xedad10…
10-28 07:01:17	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	Yes	BUY	110	70¢	$77	0xc647ee…
10-23 21:24:56	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x79aab8…
10-23 21:24:48	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	34¢	$43	0x97c3c3…
10-23 21:24:44	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	32¢	$72	0xdc4709…
10-22 10:17:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x50da62…
10-21 17:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 21?	Yes	SELL	423	1¢	$3	0xbca0d8…
10-21 17:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x362f0d…
10-21 17:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$2	0x9c6963…
10-21 17:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$2	0xffa100…
10-21 15:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	SELL	1,111	20¢	$224	0x15d4cb…
10-21 14:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x224908…
10-21 12:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x6a78c1…
10-21 12:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	SELL	95	60¢	$57	0xba7475…
10-21 11:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5b09f5…
10-21 07:17:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 20?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x5b733f…
10-21 07:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	SELL	38	46¢	$17	0x5ce772…
10-21 07:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xa60f05…
10-21 07:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x6023e7…
10-21 07:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x1992bf…
10-21 06:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x225da0…
10-21 06:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x6066b2…
10-21 06:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	87	9¢	$8	0x403f69…
10-21 06:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x252576…
10-21 00:11:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd8c935…
10-20 23:51:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4b3d8…
10-20 23:03:06	Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x3ae96e…
10-20 22:52:33	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	32¢	$84	0xc4c7e8…
10-20 22:20:38	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x8608d8…
10-20 16:40:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x984017…
10-20 13:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	1,111	50¢	$556	0xebceb6…
10-19 22:05:34	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	SELL	1,723	99¢	$1,705	0xf28dd5…
10-19 08:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	124	0¢	$0	0x6320f8…
10-19 08:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x086606…
10-19 08:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd590c1…
10-19 08:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x03007f…
10-19 08:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$0	0x0bb9b6…
10-19 06:45:12	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$34	0xf9f60b…
10-19 06:44:29	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xd20a4b…
10-19 06:44:29	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	834	89¢	$741	0x61dd23…
10-19 06:44:29	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x186292…
10-19 06:44:27	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	295	94¢	$277	0xa2a569…
10-19 06:44:27	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	157	94¢	$148	0x22acac…
10-18 23:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0xbff646…
10-18 23:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x930ce9…
10-18 23:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	95	50¢	$48	0xc36dca…
10-18 22:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa79369…
10-18 22:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x94165b…
10-18 22:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	110	55¢	$60	0x79d8ed…
10-18 22:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0x6c6923…
10-18 22:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	429	55¢	$235	0x54bd3b…
10-18 16:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	1,200	15¢	$180	0x60d8c8…
10-18 14:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	1,000	12¢	$120	0x5a8e62…
10-18 12:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	2,652	5¢	$133	0x336cb1…
10-18 12:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	1,132	5¢	$57	0xdcdfd9…
10-18 12:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0xad8b3b…
10-18 12:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	1,078	5¢	$54	0xa5fcfc…
10-18 10:31:26	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0x27b125…
10-18 10:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9075cf…
10-18 10:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	214	11¢	$24	0xcf116f…
10-18 09:53:06	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	SELL	263	76¢	$199	0xdb13f9…
10-18 09:50:24	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	148	79¢	$117	0x8789e9…
10-18 09:47:20	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xf72139…
10-18 09:47:12	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	78	73¢	$58	0xbd090d…
10-18 04:12:41	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xa294da…
10-18 04:11:51	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xf3a318…
10-18 03:53:11	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	No	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x36e7ef…
10-18 03:52:59	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xe4048c…
10-17 09:57:00	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xae122a…
10-17 09:33:24	will champi peak as a violent typhoon	No	BUY	44	45¢	$19	0x4b8929…
10-17 09:31:14	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x075193…
10-16 13:09:45	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	510	34¢	$176	0x8543ea…
10-16 12:02:33	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe2daeb…
10-16 11:53:28	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x64a1ca…
10-16 11:44:37	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x6b9098…
10-16 08:13:58	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0xf7c25c…
10-16 08:13:58	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0x2daf67…
10-16 08:13:58	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x16e1ea…
10-16 08:13:57	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,157	37¢	$427	0x8e1637…
10-16 08:13:55	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x7e4644…
10-16 07:34:43	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4a404c…
10-16 07:34:40	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xee136a…
10-16 07:34:37	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xdb280c…
10-16 07:34:33	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x2999ac…
10-16 07:34:33	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	59¢	$69	0x0672f1…
10-16 07:32:36	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x634ab6…
10-16 07:29:12	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x201036…
10-16 02:18:49	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x771dda…
10-16 02:18:48	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x5e3583…
10-16 01:47:45	will champi peak as a strong typhoon	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf88866…
10-16 01:47:45	will champi peak as a strong typhoon	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xdc8658…
10-16 01:47:45	will champi peak as a strong typhoon	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xabb91a…
10-16 01:47:45	will champi peak as a strong typhoon	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x624e7e…
10-16 01:25:33	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xc8b54d…
10-16 01:12:28	will champi peak as a strong typhoon	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9e9045…
10-16 00:26:12	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,449	29¢	$715	0xf3fb28…
10-15 23:49:42	will champi peak as a strong typhoon	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x8ef8f3…