Kosher-Carriage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-29 09:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 87% -$31

Other

37% 92% +$4

Politics

11% 100% +$3

Tech

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No		+32	$26	96¢	$31	+$5	10-29 09:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	1	$70	71	0	+71	Down	+$1	05-04 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	1	$70	71	0	+71	Up	+$1	05-05 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	1	$64	70	0	+70	Down	+$6	05-04 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	1	$63	64	0	+64	Up	+$1	05-06 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$63	64	0	+64	Up	+$1	05-03 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	1	$63	63	0	+63	Up	+$0	05-06 06:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	04-25 15:35
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?	1	$61	63	0	+63	Yes	+$2	04-24 19:22
spy closes above 705 on april 23 2026	1	$61	61	0	+61	Yes	+$1	04-23 19:55
meta up or down on april 22 2026	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	04-22 19:46
nflx up or down on april 20 2026	1	$56	56	0	+56	Down	+$1	04-20 19:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	2	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$1	04-19 09:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	04-18 13:35
Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 2, 5PM ET?	1	$53	54	0	+54	Yes	+$1	05-02 20:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-16 11:32
meta above 680 on april 17 2026	3	$52	54	0	+54	Yes	+$2	04-17 19:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	04-15 07:18
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$1	04-13 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	4	$43	65	25	+40	Down	-$40	05-06 14:45
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	2	$41	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-23 13:20
Ethereum above 2,275 on May 3, 5PM ET?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-03 20:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	1	$34	34	0	+34	Up	+$0	05-10 10:59
will nflx dip to 100 by april 13 2026	2	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	04-17 13:34
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	1	$34	34	0	+34	Up	+$0	05-10 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1PM ET	1	$34	34	0	+34	Up	+$0	05-09 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	05-09 14:58
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	5	$33	38	10	+28	Yes	-$5	05-06 18:47
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	1	$32	33	0	+33	Down	+$1	05-09 12:54
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 8?	2	$31	32	0	+32	Yes	+$1	05-08 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:37:50	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	32	80¢	$26	0x51d333…
10-27 18:09:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xa3adf1…
09-20 08:59:42	Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x362f12…
09-20 08:54:39	Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf2c315…
07-04 21:38:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0x959c61…
06-23 14:58:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x4ff8d8…
06-23 13:25:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xe0d92e…
06-23 13:20:35	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa25f68…
06-14 18:18:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x99567d…
06-12 19:19:33	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xd61f3e…
06-12 19:04:55	Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0bbccb…
06-09 17:19:49	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xaeae07…
06-09 17:18:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2765fe…
06-05 17:40:39	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xe7a42a…
05-13 21:12:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6372e7…
05-13 21:09:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x6bf027…
05-13 06:59:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xe5c5d5…
05-13 00:00:18	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x1c7df1…
05-11 20:40:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x3121b4…
05-11 20:40:10	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3deb59…
05-11 20:34:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x41d2ce…
05-11 20:33:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x162ce5…
05-11 18:46:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe83202…
05-11 08:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xec5d3e…
05-11 06:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x9bbaa0…
05-10 19:56:45	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x3b72fd…
05-10 16:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x811a12…
05-10 16:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1cfcde…
05-10 14:45:39	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6927cc…
05-10 10:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0c8ac3…
05-10 06:59:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x65d537…
05-09 17:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x9b8ab7…
05-09 14:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xd63639…
05-09 12:54:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x32f48a…
05-09 10:57:49	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xd2d7c6…
05-08 18:16:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xc0e362…
05-08 18:03:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3495be…
05-08 13:57:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x0ed62c…
05-08 11:56:21	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x55c554…
05-08 10:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x77e7c9…
05-08 10:53:46	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb8b345…
05-08 09:56:27	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x71d2a9…
05-08 08:54:11	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe4697a…
05-08 06:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xc1131d…
05-07 19:31:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x4a0983…
05-07 17:57:43	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xb09f87…
05-07 07:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf32457…
05-06 18:47:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x271f86…
05-06 17:45:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x11c875…
05-06 17:44:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x119324…
05-06 17:13:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x344d02…
05-06 14:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xd893bc…
05-06 14:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x231749…
05-06 14:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xd2cbaf…
05-06 14:23:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x8a4786…
05-06 14:11:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x299f1b…
05-06 14:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x1a8a6c…
05-06 11:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xbf3ab1…
05-06 06:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0x03a885…
05-05 21:01:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x4eb7ae…
05-05 19:56:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x0b27c3…
05-05 19:53:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x019719…
05-05 12:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x2bfd2e…
05-04 19:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x3a6635…
05-04 11:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x16ad73…
05-03 20:59:12	Ethereum above 2,275 on May 3, 5PM ET?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x931ed2…
05-03 19:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x03e5c9…
05-02 20:51:44	Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 2, 5PM ET?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x97657d…
05-02 19:01:56	The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani	Inoue	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda7589…
04-25 15:35:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0x4fe1fa…
04-24 19:22:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$61	0xae932b…
04-23 19:55:32	spy closes above 705 on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x4a0173…
04-22 19:46:02	meta up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x8fdf93…
04-21 19:58:42	spy closes above 705 on april 21 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbc55c6…
04-21 19:52:48	spy closes above 705 on april 21 2026	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf47e1b…
04-21 19:13:04	spy closes above 700 on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xf3e93f…
04-20 19:08:36	nflx up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x5ba0b5…
04-19 09:13:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x55edd9…
04-19 08:51:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x17720e…
04-18 13:35:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x852d66…
04-17 19:43:12	meta above 680 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9d3281…
04-17 19:40:44	meta above 680 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xba659d…
04-17 19:22:20	meta above 680 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x594ffc…
04-17 13:34:30	will nflx dip to 100 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdb5f7a…
04-17 12:48:02	will nflx dip to 100 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1cf369…
04-16 11:32:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xabf6bb…
04-15 07:18:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x0bb9bb…
04-13 15:59:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xd95da8…
04-12 22:34:07	highest temperature in munich on april 13 2026 11corhigher	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xc21840…
04-12 20:11:39	highest temperature in munich on april 13 2026 11corhigher	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd4559…
04-12 19:31:35	highest temperature in munich on april 13 2026 11corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x03712d…
04-12 18:55:05	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x077381…
04-12 18:01:25	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa108c5…