Insubstantial-Tonight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.58K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

13,559

lifetime

Volume

$1.47M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-21 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

100% 69% +$7,580

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	144	$55.2K	62,747	38,161	+24,587	open	—	03-10 19:37
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	307	$45.6K	85,896	18,958	+66,938	open	—	04-06 13:24
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	330	$39.1K	97,786	18,638	+79,148	open	—	03-23 13:19
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	136	$35.4K	108,051	57,467	+50,584	open	—	04-07 13:30
spx up or down on february 11 2026	123	$33.3K	28,651	28,751	-100	open	—	02-11 21:05
spx up or down on july 1 2026	62	$28.6K	98,968	0	+98,968	open	—	07-01 19:49
spy up or down on june 12 2026	190	$27.3K	23,846	22,093	+1,753	open	—	06-12 14:45
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	224	$26.3K	27,516	24,254	+3,263	open	—	02-09 14:28
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	172	$25.7K	49,881	36,690	+13,191	open	—	02-13 20:47
spx up or down on july 2 2026	71	$24.7K	62,682	62	+62,620	open	—	07-02 20:08
spx up or down on july 8 2026	401	$23.8K	70,278	19,186	+51,092	open	—	07-08 19:57
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	183	$23.1K	83,788	6,728	+77,060	open	—	03-27 13:30
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	277	$23.0K	103,607	104,669	-1,061	open	—	03-02 11:29
spx up or down on february 13 2026	99	$21.8K	30,828	25,340	+5,487	open	—	02-13 21:00
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	255	$21.7K	48,807	29,380	+19,427	open	—	03-04 14:29
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	142	$21.3K	39,447	23,396	+16,051	open	—	03-19 13:21
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	60	$20.4K	20,225	10,058	+10,167	open	—	05-22 13:30
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	175	$20.2K	29,867	17,634	+12,233	open	—	03-30 12:52
spy up or down on july 13 2026	32	$20.0K	41,194	974	+40,220	open	—	07-13 19:45
spx up or down on july 16 2026	38	$18.0K	45,381	17,883	+27,498	open	—	07-16 18:22
spx up or down on june 29 2026	79	$17.7K	62,207	0	+62,207	open	—	06-29 15:24
spx opens up or down on february 6 2026	190	$16.2K	22,246	16,805	+5,441	open	—	02-06 13:40
spx up or down on february 10 2026	119	$15.5K	21,285	19,627	+1,658	open	—	02-10 20:52
spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	145	$15.4K	31,075	8,061	+23,014	open	—	03-24 13:10
spy up or down on july 2 2026	47	$15.1K	36,914	20	+36,894	open	—	07-02 20:01
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	92	$14.2K	22,429	1,868	+20,560	open	—	04-10 13:30
spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	90	$13.4K	22,205	9,759	+12,446	open	—	02-27 12:37
spx up or down on february 17 2026	150	$13.2K	34,591	11,747	+22,844	open	—	02-17 20:59
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	8	$13.2K	17,706	526	+17,180	open	—	05-26 13:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	77	$13.1K	66,130	63,402	+2,728	open	—	04-30 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 05:13:00	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	300	24¢	$72	0x556acd…
07-21 04:03:00	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x90f6f7…
07-21 03:50:48	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd6b392…
07-21 03:50:31	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x290ac6…
07-21 03:50:10	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7149a4…
07-21 03:49:52	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5c0125…
07-21 03:49:33	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb5a80b…
07-21 03:49:19	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0xae6751…
07-21 03:07:03	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x0f4803…
07-21 02:49:42	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0x566e9c…
07-21 02:49:28	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	614	32¢	$196	0xfc8209…
07-21 02:24:19	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	213	66¢	$141	0x966a8e…
07-21 01:57:07	spy closes above 750 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	180	90¢	$162	0x6dba54…
07-21 01:40:15	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	1,005	34¢	$342	0xdc0079…
07-21 01:37:15	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x9e03cf…
07-20 19:52:30	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x0baa30…
07-20 19:51:24	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5,013	10¢	$501	0x557265…
07-20 19:50:52	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	4,938	12¢	$593	0xabc7cc…
07-20 19:50:36	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	4,870	11¢	$536	0xf41dda…
07-20 19:28:01	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5,074	11¢	$558	0x92acf3…
07-20 19:23:45	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5,000	10¢	$500	0x6b20a2…
07-20 19:16:27	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	4,905	13¢	$638	0xa2041f…
07-20 19:15:33	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	4,807	11¢	$529	0x98e1b9…
07-20 18:56:24	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2,600	15¢	$390	0xf11dcd…
07-20 18:55:40	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc3c8c2…
07-20 18:55:30	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2,898	16¢	$464	0x6cea4a…
07-20 18:31:51	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2,530	33¢	$835	0xb70b9f…
07-20 17:28:45	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2,466	35¢	$863	0x093d26…
07-20 13:31:25	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	2,780	100¢	$2,777	0x09c902…
07-20 13:21:52	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf2a6a1…
07-20 13:19:40	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	780	100¢	$779	0x5f755a…
07-20 07:15:04	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x1aa9f2…
07-20 07:07:01	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	189	39¢	$74	0x939311…
07-20 05:59:03	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xeea6c3…
07-20 05:58:06	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xf84331…
07-20 05:57:52	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0x6e131b…
07-20 05:57:13	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	47	40¢	$19	0x74cc20…
07-20 05:56:42	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x602c68…
07-20 05:56:27	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x7e420b…
07-20 05:55:48	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe660a0…
07-20 05:55:13	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x8e2504…
07-20 05:52:40	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x89f42a…
07-20 05:50:13	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x4394da…
07-20 05:47:27	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x410ad9…
07-20 05:47:07	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x327d10…
07-20 05:46:51	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x85d602…
07-20 05:46:30	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x8b1ad8…
07-20 05:46:15	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x0e3c7e…
07-20 05:46:12	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x2a9a0b…
07-20 05:46:01	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x73e5f2…
07-20 05:45:45	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xe5356b…
07-20 05:45:28	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x285bc1…
07-20 05:45:01	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	120	58¢	$69	0xf7728d…
07-20 05:42:04	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	160	40¢	$64	0x4a495b…
07-20 05:38:52	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0x18399d…
07-20 05:16:43	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xb2b47a…
07-20 05:14:33	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0xc8943a…
07-20 05:14:31	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x805966…
07-20 05:14:31	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0x106d83…
07-20 05:14:30	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	194	64¢	$124	0xbd2fc0…
07-20 05:14:30	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0x7cbfa8…
07-20 05:14:30	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x520564…
07-20 05:14:30	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3b8701…
07-20 04:48:09	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	2,246	31¢	$701	0x6ce82a…
07-20 04:32:25	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	122	68¢	$83	0x21ed5c…
07-20 04:32:19	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	3,340	68¢	$2,269	0x108c46…
07-20 04:24:21	spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	640	44¢	$282	0xb21a99…
07-20 04:22:52	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	227	72¢	$163	0xbcfac2…
07-20 04:10:13	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	3,533	37¢	$1,296	0x91b654…
07-20 04:09:48	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xd49082…
07-20 03:28:57	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xa1f556…
07-20 03:22:09	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x87818d…
07-19 23:57:21	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x810cb1…
07-19 22:50:04	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x485848…
07-19 21:49:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	99	8¢	$8	0xb6e8a7…
07-19 21:49:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xe938fc…
07-19 21:49:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0xa86934…
07-19 21:49:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	53	8¢	$4	0x9f0372…
07-19 21:49:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x0f3622…
07-19 21:48:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x3957ee…
07-19 21:48:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	64	9¢	$6	0x820154…
07-19 21:14:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xec9597…
07-19 21:14:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x43f94d…
07-19 21:14:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x0d034f…
07-19 21:14:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x71c4c2…
07-19 21:14:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x2c586a…
07-19 21:14:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	681	25¢	$172	0x581e9f…
07-19 20:46:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	129	15¢	$19	0x8cc175…
07-19 20:16:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	230	30¢	$69	0x6f03ce…
07-18 19:34:00	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	257	49¢	$126	0x385045…
07-17 04:20:01	will spy dip to 745 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	181	79¢	$143	0xdaa5cf…
07-16 18:22:04	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x850809…
07-16 16:06:23	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	4,016	17¢	$683	0xbdafb3…
07-16 16:05:38	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	5,000	18¢	$900	0x99aa2e…
07-16 16:04:43	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	5,000	23¢	$1,150	0x891c24…
07-16 15:09:29	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	5,000	30¢	$1,500	0x502184…
07-16 14:59:04	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	147	41¢	$60	0x30e339…
07-16 14:46:50	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xb391fc…
07-16 14:46:49	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	150	46¢	$69	0xe553ab…
07-16 14:46:49	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	7,900	46¢	$3,661	0x99006c…