Horrible-Marimba — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

487

lifetime

Volume

$34.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-20 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$33

Other

33% 45% $-142

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on february 23	7	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-23 16:24
bitcoin above 62k on february 19	17	$1.6K	804	790	+14	open	—	02-19 14:47
will mrbeasts next video get between 24 and 28 million views on day 2	10	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	02-23 10:47
bitcoin above 70k on february 17	4	$1.3K	647	647	+0	open	—	02-17 16:29
bitcoin above 62k on march 1	18	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-01 07:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	13	$1.0K	820	772	+48	Up	+$16	05-06 14:01
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	16	$975	846	846	+0	open	—	02-20 07:01
bitcoin above 64k on february 20	2	$859	430	430	+0	open	—	02-20 16:02
bitcoin above 66k on february 20	2	$857	430	430	+0	open	—	02-20 16:25
bitcoin above 66k on february 15	3	$849	425	425	+0	open	—	02-15 15:49
xrp above 1pt3 on february 16	2	$849	425	425	+0	open	—	02-16 19:02
bitcoin above 66k on february 14	2	$848	425	425	+0	open	—	02-14 15:12
crint ind nld 2026 02 18	2	$837	420	420	+0	open	—	02-18 16:50
spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	4	$813	950	1,053	-103	open	—	02-26 06:40
bitcoin above 58k on february 25	2	$799	400	400	+0	open	—	02-25 12:32
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	2	$798	400	400	+0	open	—	02-25 16:49
bitcoin above 64k on february 17	6	$775	390	390	+0	open	—	02-17 15:23
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	5	$755	640	373	+267	open	—	02-28 05:32
bitcoin above 70k on february 10	14	$699	400	400	+0	open	—	02-10 16:57
bitcoin above 62k on february 25	3	$671	336	336	+0	open	—	02-25 14:26
will the price of bitcoin be less than 72000 on february 7	2	$597	299	299	+0	open	—	02-07 17:30
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	8	$564	295	295	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$11	05-05 17:22
bitcoin above 64k on february 12	2	$539	270	270	+0	open	—	02-12 17:03
crint ind nam 2026 02 12	2	$539	270	270	+0	open	—	02-12 16:41
will there be 1416 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	8	$519	321	321	+0	open	—	02-22 09:23
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	6	$492	300	300	+0	open	—	02-12 13:41
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$418	221	221	+0	open	—	03-05 16:27
bitcoin above 56k on march 3	3	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	03-02 09:12
bitcoin above 60k on march 3	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	03-03 15:31
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	4	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 17:22:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	783	2¢	$16	0x5b4a2c…
05-20 17:21:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x980fe8…
05-15 17:35:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	190	2¢	$5	0xbf6827…
05-15 17:18:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x0edb6e…
05-15 16:14:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0xedca57…
05-15 09:19:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x408989…
05-14 16:56:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	317	3¢	$9	0x3b8099…
05-14 16:54:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x3f4f2b…
05-14 16:47:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x354e57…
05-14 16:45:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	317	3¢	$10	0x847e4d…
05-14 16:43:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x2e8ec1…
05-14 16:09:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	895	2¢	$18	0xe5bb7a…
05-14 16:00:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf30c08…
05-12 19:51:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x06926d…
05-12 13:58:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x62ce07…
05-12 13:58:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x3ca555…
05-12 13:58:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x0c65fa…
05-12 13:57:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x9d1416…
05-12 13:56:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x4e1e74…
05-11 13:30:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x22426d…
05-11 13:13:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xb9f492…
05-11 13:00:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic	Mariano Navone	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb64bfd…
05-09 07:21:29	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1f9ec3…
05-08 13:07:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	No	SELL	250	52¢	$130	0xf985f0…
05-08 12:35:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	No	BUY	250	46¢	$115	0x447dfa…
05-08 12:17:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x48c93c…
05-08 12:13:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x6eb813…
05-08 12:12:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x261e9f…
05-08 12:09:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0xe29f48…
05-08 12:05:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8fd6d3…
05-08 12:03:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x650e9e…
05-08 10:56:35	Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x857a9b…
05-07 11:26:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xd0fed2…
05-07 11:16:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd07e74…
05-07 10:46:41	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb93029…
05-07 10:45:12	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9bba6c…
05-07 06:43:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0xaeda89…
05-07 06:43:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0xa865a1…
05-07 06:43:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xeb65d6…
05-07 06:43:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0xac5adb…
05-07 06:43:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xf698a3…
05-07 06:43:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xf53338…
05-07 06:43:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xb56bad…
05-07 06:43:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	82	58¢	$48	0xff44e9…
05-07 04:00:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x4549ac…
05-07 03:47:23	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa62b00…
05-07 03:44:54	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xffed49…
05-06 16:47:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	No	SELL	450	23¢	$104	0x9f268d…
05-06 16:16:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	No	BUY	450	24¢	$108	0x6b2c93…
05-06 15:09:36	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x72540f…
05-06 14:01:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	81	94¢	$76	0xb92cf9…
05-06 13:59:48	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x6cbcd7…
05-06 13:57:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	119	94¢	$112	0x356283…
05-06 13:50:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	193	92¢	$178	0x6b3cf7…
05-06 13:50:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x1c920f…
05-06 13:48:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xb23734…
05-06 13:47:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x735da3…
05-06 13:45:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	38	94¢	$35	0xa32ebd…
05-06 13:45:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x5b4a32…
05-06 13:41:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xc3ef40…
05-06 13:37:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	88	94¢	$82	0x09dce1…
05-06 12:15:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xdc2ae0…
05-06 11:33:24	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x212523…
05-06 04:12:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	320	24¢	$77	0x16f26b…
05-06 04:11:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	320	23¢	$74	0x7a83a3…
05-06 03:56:54	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xe14e97…
05-06 03:56:54	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x031b7e…
05-05 17:22:12	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	270	100¢	$269	0x285690…
05-05 17:01:06	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	270	96¢	$259	0x0b9dff…
05-05 16:36:10	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x1756fe…
05-05 16:31:52	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x77003c…
05-05 16:31:04	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6c469f…
05-05 16:31:00	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4eadb0…
05-05 16:31:00	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3ea6f5…
05-05 16:31:00	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x252eb7…
05-05 13:21:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	46	9¢	$4	0x303163…
05-05 09:39:06	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2cd975…
05-05 05:54:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	24	35¢	$9	0xc431ea…
05-05 05:35:58	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	70	34¢	$24	0xaaff80…
05-04 03:21:34	US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xa4362b…
05-04 03:20:10	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x890383…
05-02 16:23:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	220	33¢	$73	0xa86a21…
05-02 07:49:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	220	33¢	$73	0x5565cc…
04-04 12:53:19	mlb mil kc 2026 04 03	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xcb2037…
04-04 12:52:25	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xc01d56…
04-04 12:25:49	cricipl del mum 2026 04 04	Mumbai Indians	SELL	27	28¢	$7	0x606d6e…
04-04 10:50:11	cricipl del mum 2026 04 04	Mumbai Indians	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xab1575…
04-04 03:45:37	nba min phi 2026 04 03	76ers	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc00dcc…
04-03 07:42:27	nba min phi 2026 04 03	76ers	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x53719e…
03-08 11:01:41	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	23	32¢	$8	0x935e80…
03-08 10:59:59	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0x4b63b8…
03-08 05:40:49	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$39	0x297348…
03-08 03:37:33	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x4f1b9c…
03-07 08:28:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x18ac34…
03-06 16:10:07	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x892053…
03-06 16:09:27	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xbc86ed…
03-06 16:09:09	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xd5b4f9…
03-06 16:09:09	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6401b8…
03-06 16:08:55	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xc57ea4…
03-06 16:08:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb3be23…