Incomparable-Pacemaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$308

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$6.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-12 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

92% 67% $-260

Crypto

8% 33% $-47

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	7	$388	394	394	+0	Down	$-192	05-04 13:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$263	133	133	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 21:25
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	8	$246	130	130	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 20:02
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	6	$239	131	131	+0	open	—	04-30 20:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	5	$234	125	125	+0	Down	+$14	05-04 20:11
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	5	$221	121	121	+0	open	—	05-01 20:16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	6	$216	205	205	+0	open	—	05-01 20:16
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	10	$184	110	110	+0	open	—	05-22 21:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	6	$179	112	112	+0	open	—	04-29 21:19
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	13	$152	88	88	+0	open	—	05-21 20:40
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?	5	$146	74	74	+0	open	—	04-28 22:09
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$144	156	0	+156	Down	$-144	05-07 19:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	12	$142	79	79	+1	open	—	04-27 20:32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	4	$130	69	69	+0	open	—	04-30 20:25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	3	$126	76	76	+0	open	—	05-01 20:14
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	12	$126	73	73	+0	open	—	05-27 20:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	8	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	04-28 22:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	3	$116	66	66	+0	Up	+$16	05-05 20:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	5	$115	66	66	+0	open	—	05-19 19:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	04-30 20:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	3	$110	122	0	+122	Down	+$12	05-12 19:51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	5	$108	61	61	+0	open	—	05-19 21:10
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	2	$105	112	0	+112	Up	$-4	05-07 13:03
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	4	$104	56	56	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 21:06
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-29 21:18
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 29?	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-29 21:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	6	$98	57	57	+0	Up	$-8	05-13 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$85	66	35	+30	open	—	05-16 15:20
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$81	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 20:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	2	$80	41	41	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:08:45	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x239324…
06-12 05:58:43	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x65b769…
06-11 21:44:22	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7b279…
06-11 21:40:22	nik up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8f9d8c…
06-11 21:31:52	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x81b352…
06-11 21:23:52	xauusd up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3e53f1…
06-11 11:28:01	hood up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc91dcb…
06-11 11:26:25	xauusd up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xff586f…
06-11 10:18:19	spy up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x970db6…
06-10 09:39:49	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd2a219…
06-10 09:39:00	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x637c02…
06-10 05:21:36	ewy up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x81e1c0…
06-10 05:18:40	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x020086…
06-10 05:17:12	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc09c5c…
06-10 05:15:46	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x38dd84…
06-09 19:50:58	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x829d38…
06-09 19:45:12	djia up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc9cca6…
06-09 19:29:37	djia up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa5e31e…
06-09 18:36:55	djia up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x49b6f3…
06-09 18:30:39	djia up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xdf982f…
06-09 16:39:09	djia up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x04aa45…
06-09 16:38:00	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x58d7a9…
06-09 09:52:34	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xb4b21b…
06-09 05:59:28	wti up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbacd35…
06-08 22:03:16	btc updown 15m 1780956000	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe01ee6…
06-08 21:19:15	xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x10d589…
06-08 16:15:58	xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x96c97c…
06-07 16:54:33	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8f06ab…
06-07 15:57:00	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe937ad…
06-07 15:08:19	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x00e754…
06-07 15:07:19	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8d8578…
06-07 15:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2080f8…
06-07 14:57:51	btc updown 5m 1780844100	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x18da9e…
06-07 14:57:33	btc updown 5m 1780844100	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7032cf…
06-07 14:51:04	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3aded2…
06-06 18:16:33	itf osuigw liutova 2026 06 06	Whitney Osuigwe	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x13b47e…
06-06 18:08:51	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d53c6…
06-06 18:06:27	btc updown 5m 1780769100	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8ed32c…
06-04 16:37:45	btc updown 5m 1780590900	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6c7ae6…
06-04 16:29:09	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3c8e4f…
06-04 16:29:00	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6d8785…
06-04 16:28:43	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xffbcf8…
06-04 16:28:37	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9c9454…
06-04 16:28:28	btc updown 5m 1780590300	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x52a9ec…
06-04 15:45:18	itf lopatic mikovic 2026 06 03	Nik Mikovic	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xebe290…
06-04 12:16:00	itf reco montagu 2026 06 04	Carlos Lopez Montagud	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x7e572a…
06-04 12:11:12	itf reco montagu 2026 06 04	Carlos Lopez Montagud	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xf72bef…
06-04 12:04:07	itf noce mueller 2026 06 03	Calvin Mueller	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x377326…
06-04 08:37:30	itf lopatic mikovic 2026 06 03	Nik Mikovic	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xa2827f…
06-04 07:10:46	itf noce mueller 2026 06 03	Calvin Mueller	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xc7efd8…
06-03 18:50:52	ITF Luan: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Tsung Hao Huang	Tsung Hao Huang	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x295305…
06-03 14:16:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ae976…
06-02 16:27:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3e922e…
06-02 16:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf13af0…
06-02 16:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9abb31…
06-02 16:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0d7248…
06-02 16:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4b81d4…
06-01 15:48:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xde8d97…
06-01 15:48:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x01664f…
06-01 13:04:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xab9811…
05-31 19:37:50	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Jakub Mensik	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6a8fff…
05-29 16:58:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x348d18…
05-29 14:38:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf04483…
05-29 09:33:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xca8d8b…
05-28 21:08:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x31ec6f…
05-28 19:55:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x728d60…
05-28 18:22:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x436841…
05-27 20:06:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x546edd…
05-27 19:55:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xed6001…
05-27 19:51:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5e6cc0…
05-27 19:48:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x08e57c…
05-27 19:46:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa8baa1…
05-27 19:44:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xeb4281…
05-27 19:36:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7383ff…
05-27 19:32:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5ff08f…
05-27 19:30:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc136b5…
05-27 19:28:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb77590…
05-27 19:20:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6fb279…
05-27 18:32:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6c4e8c…
05-25 19:45:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xf8f5d8…
05-25 18:45:10	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0xf8ff48…
05-25 18:44:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xcd9095…
05-25 08:32:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4ffa62…
05-22 21:11:28	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xeae9bd…
05-22 21:09:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6eda27…
05-22 21:09:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xdc8f1e…
05-22 17:25:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x394828…
05-22 13:29:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd50cce…
05-22 13:29:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x389f2e…
05-22 11:07:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xffdb53…
05-22 11:07:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x63827f…
05-21 20:40:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x0c14ef…
05-21 19:49:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf8ddb9…
05-21 19:46:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc8f3ce…
05-21 19:44:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x399416…
05-21 19:43:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf719c8…
05-21 19:23:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x78919a…
05-21 19:04:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x6d7da9…
05-21 18:10:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe38c43…
05-21 18:09:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xc49f72…