Fixed-Zipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

471

Trades

2,717

lifetime

Volume

$946.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$348

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-14 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

88% 70% -$18,571

Crypto

8% 58% +$83

Sports

3% 82% +$133

Tech

1% 100% +$77

Politics

0% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes		+87	$41	8¢	$7	-$33	05-19 16:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$49.3K	25,015	25,015	+0	No	+$675	05-30 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	3	$39.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	Down	+$80	05-31 16:00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	5	$39.8K	20,000	20,000	+0	Yes	+$160	05-29 20:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	8	$33.6K	22,619	11,274	+11,345	Up	+$240	05-27 20:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	8	$25.6K	32,062	0	+32,062	Up	-$25,597	06-01 13:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	6	$24.6K	12,360	12,360	+0	Up	+$121	05-08 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	7	$24.4K	12,700	11,700	+1,000	Down	+$17	05-12 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	11	$24.2K	12,861	11,500	+1,361	Down	+$94	05-11 13:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	6	$24.1K	12,083	12,083	+0	Up	+$68	05-07 13:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	14	$23.6K	11,820	11,820	+0	Yes	+$12	05-22 15:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	4	$22.0K	11,653	10,408	+1,245	Up	+$56	05-27 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	5	$21.8K	11,176	11,176	+0	Up	+$121	05-18 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	12	$21.8K	11,153	10,646	+507	Up	+$16	05-06 13:30
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?	799	$21.4K	10,842	10,842	+0	Up	+$235	05-28 20:08
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	6	$21.2K	10,744	10,505	+238	Rajasthan Royals	+$35	05-27 17:26
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	6	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$90	05-28 20:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	10	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Up	+$90	05-14 13:30
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$19.5K	9,796	9,796	+0	Down	+$34	05-18 20:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	5	$19.1K	10,000	9,133	+867	Yes	+$11	05-06 20:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	8	$16.3K	8,200	8,200	+0	Down	+$73	04-29 20:08
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	16	$15.7K	13,060	3,061	+9,999	Yes	+$343	05-20 18:52
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $136-$138 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	3	$13.8K	7,149	7,148	+1	Yes	+$493	05-08 20:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	5	$13.5K	4,926	8,591	-3,665	Up	+$6	04-30 13:30
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	4	$10.9K	5,447	5,447	+0	Up	+$19	05-13 21:00
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 7?	7	$10.7K	5,402	5,402	+0	Up	+$109	05-07 20:12
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	8	$10.7K	5,406	5,406	+0	Up	+$124	04-21 13:30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$10.3K	5,237	5,237	+0	No	+$204	05-15 20:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	3	$10.1K	5,050	5,050	+0	Up	+$5	05-20 13:29
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 15?	3	$9.8K	4,909	4,909	+0	Yes	+$45	05-15 19:55
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	2	$9.6K	4,810	4,810	+0	Yes	+$11	05-23 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 05:00:47	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	348	100¢	$347	0x6437e3…
10-14 02:57:31	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x531f9e…
09-22 17:04:07	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	448	86¢	$387	0x138cec…
09-12 06:43:12	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xedcc14…
09-12 06:43:01	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	126	24¢	$30	0x3ad6f8…
09-12 06:42:48	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	321	7¢	$22	0x4d23d9…
09-11 19:57:27	will ewy dip to 188 by september 7 2026 from september 11	No	BUY	26	87¢	$22	0xfe63c0…
09-09 16:04:37	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x3cf672…
09-09 15:58:39	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	422	100¢	$421	0xcc149d…
09-08 23:20:46	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x61683a…
09-04 21:53:45	will openai reset codex weekly usage limit by september 7	Yes	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x26630f…
09-03 23:15:54	will openai reset codex weekly usage limit by september 7	Yes	BUY	115	95¢	$109	0xb70a13…
09-03 21:50:57	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$165	0x1c87cb…
09-03 20:39:42	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	422	90¢	$378	0x7a3d3d…
09-03 20:37:49	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xef44fb…
09-03 20:37:34	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	254	80¢	$203	0x540b61…
09-03 19:50:49	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	No	SELL	364	97¢	$353	0xc7eee8…
09-03 19:41:48	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf4b718…
09-03 19:41:43	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	356	75¢	$268	0xac40c6…
07-02 18:33:34	will david raya score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5bebb8…
06-30 07:24:08	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x933664…
06-11 20:45:04	will lennar q2 deliveries be above 17500	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb0b864…
06-11 20:05:04	will adobe q2 total arr be above 27pt5b	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3807d5…
06-11 20:05:04	will adobe q2 total arr be above 27pt5b	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x089aff…
06-11 20:05:03	will adobe q2 total arr be above 28pt0b	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x117e4f…
06-10 22:36:52	will adobe q2 total arr be above 28pt0b	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb6f6ed…
06-05 19:42:21	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x663bef…
06-02 04:21:11	Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x170c8b…
06-01 21:30:14	Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xf2aad8…
06-01 13:37:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5,007	5¢	$245	0x9caab8…
06-01 13:30:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1,200	29¢	$347	0x277f11…
06-01 13:30:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	855	15¢	$130	0x725842…
06-01 13:30:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	13,433	99¢	$13,366	0x72f3c7…
06-01 13:30:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,950	0xf19c5d…
06-01 13:30:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1,001	100¢	$996	0x3d4bff…
06-01 13:30:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	486	100¢	$483	0xde8763…
06-01 13:29:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x2a3d4f…
05-31 22:49:57	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x519e89…
05-31 21:59:17	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x24105d…
05-31 21:27:42	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3bf55b…
05-31 21:12:53	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x101176…
05-31 21:08:15	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4683af…
05-31 20:39:45	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf8d287…
05-31 19:55:01	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,352	98¢	$2,311	0x5081f3…
05-31 19:51:57	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,500	98¢	$1,471	0x717c84…
05-31 19:32:24	Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xb539fe…
05-31 17:28:46	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb900c3…
05-31 17:16:17	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xf2c67a…
05-31 16:46:27	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf6528c…
05-31 16:35:08	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	SELL	110	44¢	$48	0x2e37fe…
05-31 16:34:49	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	SELL	236	44¢	$104	0xc2933d…
05-31 16:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	SELL	4,208	100¢	$4,204	0xbf9b68…
05-31 16:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	SELL	15,792	100¢	$15,776	0x260c3a…
05-31 15:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,900	0x785ecf…
05-31 15:55:26	Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x68fd84…
05-31 15:51:30	Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0057e3…
05-31 15:43:50	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x9e4b34…
05-31 15:43:32	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	SELL	90	44¢	$40	0xd8ad35…
05-31 15:42:08	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xbaffcd…
05-31 15:42:08	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	169	63¢	$106	0x7d4623…
05-31 15:42:08	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x5d59ce…
05-31 15:41:42	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x14fb5c…
05-31 15:41:02	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xb0f0eb…
05-31 15:40:56	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x371a11…
05-31 15:40:51	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xac060d…
05-31 15:40:51	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x73bad7…
05-31 15:40:51	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	95	27¢	$26	0x3db8af…
05-31 15:40:44	Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?	Yes	BUY	95	16¢	$15	0xe259ae…
05-31 15:06:12	Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9672e0…
05-31 15:00:13	Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x12b601…
05-30 17:04:57	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x308e4d…
05-30 17:02:14	will lambdas valuation hit high 7pt75b by june 30	Yes	BUY	126	76¢	$96	0xd3d575…
05-30 17:00:33	Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	952	100¢	$951	0x82cdae…
05-30 14:43:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x138265…
05-30 00:53:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	25,015	100¢	$24,990	0xfc0c7c…
05-29 21:44:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7817a…
05-29 21:30:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9a9e22…
05-29 21:30:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21598a…
05-29 21:28:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa29319…
05-29 20:59:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,900	0xfa406d…
05-29 20:56:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	20,000	97¢	$19,400	0x25d12c…
05-29 20:22:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb09b0d…
05-29 20:00:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	11,185	100¢	$11,174	0x492fcb…
05-29 20:00:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x0d98d5…
05-29 20:00:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xa18575…
05-29 20:00:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc1b2ec…
05-29 20:00:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1ee769…
05-29 20:00:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5871b3…
05-29 19:59:47	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	BUY	229	98¢	$224	0x7bc80f…
05-29 19:59:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5,815	100¢	$5,809	0xf8c1d6…
05-29 19:58:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20,000	99¢	$19,820	0xb2b6d4…
05-29 19:42:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd36c2b…
05-29 17:00:07	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	434	96¢	$415	0xcc8ccf…
05-29 14:34:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0xf27c7f…
05-29 13:40:23	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x1b6cf7…
05-29 13:37:39	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	196	97¢	$191	0xe215da…
05-29 13:37:39	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xa00e57…
05-29 13:36:45	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 25 above $133?	Yes	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0x219758…
05-29 13:36:32	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 25 above $135?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x4fc1e1…
05-29 12:34:56	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x943612…