Competent-Tulip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

23,975

lifetime

Volume

$12.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$508

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

87% 100% +$65

Crypto

6% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	343	$246.2K	126,790	120,873	+5,917	open	—	05-12 23:06
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	21	$87.4K	58,346	29,186	+29,160	open	—	03-03 14:15
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	130	$63.1K	34,194	29,983	+4,211	open	—	02-28 07:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	66	$62.6K	32,523	30,653	+1,870	open	—	02-28 07:47
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	41	$59.4K	33,731	26,011	+7,720	open	—	03-10 20:33
highest temperature in seoul on january 14 neg 4corbelow	18	$54.7K	35,926	18,800	+17,126	open	—	01-14 04:39
highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 6corbelow	31	$53.2K	53,369	0	+53,369	open	—	03-27 01:03
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 7c	23	$52.8K	53,015	0	+53,015	open	—	03-26 00:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	512	$51.5K	26,595	27,586	-991	open	—	08-10 11:38
nik up or down on june 16 2026	42	$49.5K	24,800	24,800	+0	open	—	06-16 13:45
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings	42	$45.6K	60,000	61,000	-1,000	open	—	04-18 14:23
highest temperature in london on january 11 7c	10	$45.4K	45,449	0	+45,449	open	—	01-11 15:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	13	$44.5K	44,577	70	+44,507	open	—	06-03 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on february 12 2026 19c	24	$42.8K	42,829	0	+42,829	open	—	02-12 02:58
spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	1	$39.0K	39,058	0	+39,058	open	—	06-18 16:50
nik up or down on january 30 2026	13	$38.3K	38,301	0	+38,301	open	—	01-30 17:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	18	$36.7K	36,711	0	+36,711	open	—	05-19 17:25
hsi up or down on january 14 2026	4	$35.0K	34,996	0	+34,996	open	—	01-14 15:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 28 2026 19corbelow	16	$34.9K	34,949	19	+34,930	open	—	03-27 16:22
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	123	$34.5K	20,050	49,216	-29,166	open	—	06-11 03:23
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	70	$34.3K	2,989	39,585	-36,596	open	—	06-14 03:24
bitcoin above 88k on january 9	24	$34.3K	34,293	0	+34,293	open	—	01-09 17:10
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	69	$32.5K	32,576	0	+32,576	open	—	03-05 17:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	3	$32.5K	32,539	0	+32,539	Up	+$33	05-06 13:28
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	5	$31.8K	31,842	0	+31,842	open	—	07-05 22:00
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	12	$31.5K	31,569	0	+31,569	open	—	03-02 23:27
highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 16c	14	$31.2K	31,235	0	+31,235	open	—	04-04 03:48
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	44	$30.8K	14,192	16,697	-2,505	open	—	03-03 02:38
highest temperature in london on january 27 5c	3	$30.5K	30,535	0	+30,535	open	—	01-26 14:58
highest temperature in chicago on march 8 2026 68 69f	7	$30.5K	30,485	0	+30,485	open	—	03-09 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:38:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba1f41…
08-10 11:07:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x86e4b8…
08-10 10:35:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf706e3…
08-10 10:33:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc2b7ea…
08-10 10:29:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x509a4a…
08-10 06:59:40	nik up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0xd803b4…
08-10 03:43:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	391	96¢	$376	0xa46e68…
08-10 03:32:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec868e…
08-10 03:05:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf303d6…
08-10 02:59:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x3962b1…
08-10 02:53:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeba50d…
08-10 02:52:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf81f7e…
08-10 02:29:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6442e4…
08-10 02:21:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4cc32d…
08-10 02:18:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xca5b3d…
08-10 02:17:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xacb1a8…
08-10 02:06:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x04b59a…
08-10 02:04:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3f2f3b…
08-10 01:46:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x01d2c2…
08-10 01:43:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe005ff…
08-10 01:22:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2be97a…
08-10 01:06:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc327a0…
08-10 00:53:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x63c14b…
08-10 00:28:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x069463…
08-10 00:09:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x858ffa…
08-09 23:59:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8813d5…
08-09 23:43:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2742b5…
08-09 23:31:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc34bbd…
08-09 22:14:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x739473…
08-09 21:56:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc563c5…
08-09 21:52:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd2a3c7…
08-09 21:42:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb883ae…
08-09 21:28:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbec812…
08-09 21:28:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa3759a…
08-09 18:44:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,405	96¢	$1,353	0xeb691f…
08-09 18:03:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	204	96¢	$196	0x961a5f…
08-09 17:44:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,146	96¢	$2,067	0xf2a644…
08-09 14:41:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xadae74…
08-09 14:34:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc7457e…
08-09 14:34:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2a447f…
08-09 14:33:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf6828b…
08-09 14:25:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xad95d0…
08-09 14:17:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3be505…
08-09 14:08:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x77745d…
08-09 13:53:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf6b933…
08-09 13:35:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfee267…
08-09 13:29:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xed0ef6…
08-09 13:28:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc2b6b8…
08-09 13:16:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0492cf…
08-09 13:15:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xc93219…
08-09 13:15:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xdbbf13…
08-09 13:06:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x190525…
08-09 13:05:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7d118c…
08-09 12:58:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5aef06…
08-09 12:26:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1aa15b…
08-09 12:11:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb29ee7…
08-09 12:04:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7d46ec…
08-09 11:41:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4c6679…
08-09 11:39:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5f305d…
08-09 11:14:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x78a49d…
08-09 10:34:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xee6988…
08-09 10:22:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x81d449…
08-09 09:55:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	279	96¢	$269	0x0cfec5…
08-09 02:35:58	wnba sea por 2026 08 08	PortlandFire	BUY	1,245	100¢	$1,244	0x523def…
08-09 02:33:49	wnba sea por 2026 08 08	PortlandFire	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x2d99d1…
08-09 02:31:27	wnba sea por 2026 08 08 total 181pt5	Over	BUY	900	99¢	$891	0xede740…
08-09 02:31:15	wnba sea por 2026 08 08 total 181pt5	Over	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x3d0770…
08-09 02:25:46	wnba sea por 2026 08 08	PortlandFire	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xfe9cf5…
08-08 18:33:28	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x92858e…
08-08 10:27:37	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3e91ef…
08-08 06:56:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	96¢	$3,848	0x864980…
08-08 03:38:51	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x8956ca…
08-07 07:30:18	nik up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x083e21…
08-07 07:04:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	895	98¢	$877	0x02ada0…
08-07 07:00:51	nik up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xeef2b8…
08-07 06:53:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x688e88…
08-07 06:20:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x666957…
08-07 05:36:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa09619…
08-07 03:43:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbd2da4…
08-07 03:30:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d3d3e…
08-07 03:19:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5022c8…
08-07 03:15:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf4a85e…
08-07 03:10:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xa411b5…
08-07 03:00:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x363114…
08-07 02:54:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6ca458…
08-06 21:56:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1,393	98¢	$1,365	0xdd638c…
08-06 20:37:17	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x526d77…
08-06 19:55:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xed0f4a…
08-06 19:49:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa1e265…
08-06 19:47:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa1917d…
08-06 19:35:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	386	98¢	$379	0xa953a2…
08-06 18:46:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31bf9c…
08-06 18:09:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0e747…
08-06 18:09:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbbd8ca…
08-06 18:04:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb9c205…
08-06 18:01:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe7f61d…
08-06 17:54:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b26c1…
08-06 17:48:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0762c8…
08-06 17:48:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdaea0b…
08-06 17:43:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x63887e…