Realized P&L
-$467
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved
175
Trades
78,318
lifetime
Volume
$2.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$581
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 04:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
57% 42% +$741
Politics
19% 100% +$28
Sports
15% 25% $-415
Crypto
10% 23% $-821
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1405 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +389 $248 66¢ $259 +$11 06-26 00:50
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +300 $72 16¢ $46 $-26 06-12 18:36
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -562 $-73 $-42 +$31 06-17 14:31
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +270 $54 14¢ $36 $-18 06-01 10:14
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -138 $-27 20¢ $-28 $-1 06-20 01:53
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -53 $-23 52¢ $-28 $-5 06-04 04:42
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +28 $11 91¢ $25 +$14 06-12 17:02
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +262 $30 $20 $-10 05-29 11:12
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -118 $-14 16¢ $-19 $-5 06-06 12:08
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +19 $7 92¢ $18 +$10 06-01 14:37
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? Yes -171 $-9 $-13 $-4 06-25 07:36
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +77 $13 10¢ $7 $-6 06-17 15:18
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -72 $-8 10¢ $-7 +$1 06-22 10:03
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -18 $-7 32¢ $-6 +$2 06-22 06:01
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -39 $-29 14¢ $-5 +$24 06-02 07:51
Megaquake by June 30? Yes +299 $56 $5 $-51 06-08 01:47
Will Karrigan retire by June 30? Yes +300 $7 $4 $-3 06-18 16:15
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +23 $5 13¢ $3 $-2 06-27 15:38
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 06-01 21:09
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +8 $2 19¢ $2 $-0 06-01 19:32
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +5 $1 25¢ $1 +$0 06-21 17:35
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +25 $4 $1 $-3 06-29 11:13
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +14 $3 $1 $-2 06-11 17:47
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 18:40
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +4 $12 10¢ $0 $-12 06-08 17:29
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +0 $12 34¢ $0 $-12 06-24 23:35
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +1 $-6 $0 +$6 06-11 12:37
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +0 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-23 22:20
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? Yes +11 $0 $0 $-0 06-10 16:06