Realized P&L
-$16.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$330
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
5,762
Trades
111,821
lifetime
Volume
$2.81M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 288 days
Categories
Other
64% 39% -$19,703
Politics
16% 40% +$2,843
Sports
12% 44% -$456
Crypto
7% 34% +$423
Tech
1% 36% +$457
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 468 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -453 -$347 75¢ $-340 +$7 10-29 17:48
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,085 $173 28¢ $298 +$126 10-29 12:33
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +238 $145 52¢ $125 -$20 10-28 18:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +299 $101 25¢ $75 -$27 10-29 17:50
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $67 24¢ $73 +$6 10-28 02:17
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -53 -$23 88¢ $-47 -$24 06-04 04:42
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -1,250 -$34 3¢ $-32 +$2 10-28 16:42
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -703 -$84 3¢ $-24 +$60 07-01 15:14
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -151 -$31 14¢ $-20 +$11 09-26 01:05
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +19 $7 94¢ $18 +$11 06-01 14:37
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +308 $31 6¢ $17 -$14 09-15 19:28
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -322 -$16 5¢ $-16 $0 10-22 02:32
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 -$5 16¢ $15 +$21 09-17 19:16
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -304 -$33 4¢ $-13 +$20 07-24 11:05
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +222 $16 6¢ $12 -$3 08-05 19:41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -780 -$48 1¢ $-11 +$37 10-23 14:54
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -164 -$24 6¢ $-10 +$14 10-26 15:39
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 Yes +277 $9 4¢ $10 +$1 08-14 16:52
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -173 -$17 5¢ $-9 +$8 07-05 03:07
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -324 -$69 3¢ $-9 +$60 07-18 09:18
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -160 $17 5¢ $-8 -$24 10-01 04:02
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 -$3 86¢ $-4 -$2 06-01 21:09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes -265 -$3 1¢ $-4 -$1 07-31 23:51
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -118 -$14 3¢ $-3 +$11 06-06 12:08
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -3 -$27 96¢ $-3 +$24 07-23 14:15
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes -85 -$15 3¢ $-3 +$13 05-02 10:14
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +3 -$37 86¢ $3 +$40 08-19 19:53
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -19 $0 12¢ $-2 -$3 07-07 08:35
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes -16 $23 10¢ $-2 -$24 09-22 12:15
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -28 -$2 5¢ $-1 +$0 05-02 18:31