Realized P&L
-$467
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved
175
Trades
76,998
lifetime
Volume
$2.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$355
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
56% 42% +$741
Politics
19% 100% +$28
Sports
15% 25% $-415
Crypto
10% 23% $-821
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1728 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +97 $65 66¢ $64 $-1 06-09 16:51
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -171 $-56 34¢ $-59 $-3 06-09 16:48
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +270 $54 20¢ $55 +$1 06-01 10:14
Megaquake by June 30? Yes +299 $56 $22 $-34 06-08 01:47
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +262 $30 $22 $-8 05-29 11:12
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -53 $-23 40¢ $-21 +$2 06-04 04:42
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +194 $23 11¢ $20 $-2 05-30 22:29
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +19 $7 90¢ $17 +$10 06-01 14:37
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -118 $-14 12¢ $-14 $-0 06-06 12:08
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -69 $-13 20¢ $-14 $-1 06-08 19:01
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +75 $22 18¢ $14 $-9 06-06 11:47
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -27 $-9 33¢ $-9 $-0 06-08 06:04
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? Yes -172 $-9 $-9 +$0 06-02 19:54
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -39 $-29 18¢ $-7 +$22 06-02 07:51
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $2 67¢ $2 $-0 06-01 21:09
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes +2 $-46 82¢ $2 +$48 06-07 00:12
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +8 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 06-01 19:32
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +1 $-5 89¢ $1 +$6 06-09 20:49
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +4 $12 11¢ $0 $-12 06-08 17:29
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +1 $-2 11¢ $0 +$2 06-07 14:05
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -0 $2 24¢ $-0 $-2 06-04 21:41