Fond-Thaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

Trades

671

lifetime

Volume

$190.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$283

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-22 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

100% 81% +$257

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	6	$6.8K	3,625	3,625	+0	Up	+$478	05-08 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	5	$6.2K	3,099	3,099	-0	Up	+$35	05-06 13:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	14	$5.8K	3,002	3,002	+0	Down	+$177	05-04 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	11	$5.7K	3,678	3,678	+0	open	—	04-30 13:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	19	$5.7K	3,161	3,161	+0	Up	+$640	05-07 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	7	$5.2K	2,772	2,772	+0	open	—	05-01 13:30
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 5?	8	$5.1K	3,714	3,714	+0	Down	$-348	05-05 20:00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	7	$4.4K	2,431	2,431	+0	open	—	05-29 20:00
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 4?	9	$4.1K	2,313	2,313	+0	Up	+$496	05-04 20:00
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 28?	3	$3.3K	1,720	1,720	+0	open	—	05-28 20:00
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	7	$3.1K	1,630	1,630	+0	Up	+$201	05-07 20:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	4	$2.9K	1,612	1,612	+0	open	—	05-28 13:30
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	5	$2.7K	2,816	2,816	+0	open	—	06-02 17:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	2	$2.5K	1,269	1,269	+0	open	—	05-27 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	3	$2.4K	1,428	1,411	+17	open	—	04-28 13:29
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	5	$2.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	Up	+$216	05-08 20:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	8	$2.4K	1,235	1,235	+0	open	—	05-14 19:27
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	2	$2.4K	1,213	1,213	+0	open	—	05-26 20:57
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 27?	9	$2.3K	1,211	1,211	+0	open	—	05-27 19:49
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	14	$2.3K	1,728	1,728	+0	open	—	05-21 13:26
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 26?	6	$2.3K	1,161	1,161	+0	open	—	05-26 20:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	6	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	-0	Down	+$152	05-12 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$2.2K	1,260	1,260	+0	Down	+$237	05-11 13:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	3	$2.2K	1,203	1,203	+0	Up	$-48	05-13 13:06
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	3	$2.2K	1,140	1,140	+0	open	—	05-15 21:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	5	$2.2K	1,093	1,093	+0	open	—	05-26 13:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	5	$2.1K	1,128	1,128	-0	open	—	05-14 13:25
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 6?	5	$2.1K	1,160	1,160	+0	Up	+$240	05-06 20:00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	2	$2.1K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	05-20 19:53
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?	11	$2.1K	1,097	1,097	+0	Up	+$131	05-12 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 17:29:08	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0x26d5f3…
06-22 08:30:10	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	96	71¢	$68	0x796c1b…
06-22 08:23:46	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	67	71¢	$47	0x11120a…
06-22 08:23:40	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	36	71¢	$26	0x79ae83…
06-22 08:23:14	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	51	71¢	$36	0xb57c2d…
06-22 08:22:40	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe59d50…
06-22 08:22:01	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x9f8f40…
06-22 08:22:01	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4f4ce1…
06-18 19:36:46	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x1dd417…
06-18 14:38:43	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	172	95¢	$163	0x689385…
06-18 14:38:41	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x9d91e8…
06-18 13:17:07	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x08859b…
06-18 07:13:43	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf09bf5…
06-18 07:13:14	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	172	97¢	$167	0x8b9c05…
06-17 19:38:17	googl close above 365 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xfb963b…
06-17 19:38:14	googl close above 365 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x3cb755…
06-17 19:38:01	googl close above 365 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c2742…
06-17 19:30:40	googl close above 365 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xde0dc3…
06-17 18:43:55	spy closes above 740 on june 17 2026	Yes	SELL	187	99¢	$185	0x8837cf…
06-17 14:31:26	spy closes above 740 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	187	96¢	$180	0xdcc3e6…
06-17 14:01:14	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xb32f1e…
06-17 10:52:28	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x35ac60…
06-17 10:51:56	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xcb2c88…
06-17 10:50:37	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0x068330…
06-17 10:50:04	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0xd270a7…
06-17 10:02:44	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	232	63¢	$147	0x8eeb60…
06-17 09:26:41	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	232	79¢	$183	0x0a8aae…
06-16 19:32:43	meta close above 590 on june 16 2026	Yes	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xf01b95…
06-16 15:50:53	meta close above 590 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	185	85¢	$157	0x0616dc…
06-15 12:15:30	tsla up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	59	78¢	$46	0x659eaf…
06-15 12:09:13	tsla up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf9f0ea…
06-15 11:49:34	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd1035a…
06-15 11:36:21	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4da97b…
06-15 11:35:48	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb4a0b8…
06-12 19:49:31	dax up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x93356f…
06-12 12:53:52	dax up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	89	98¢	$88	0x70a36e…
06-12 12:53:09	dax up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x723287…
06-11 19:36:16	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xdc6426…
06-11 19:35:46	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xed0ae4…
06-11 19:35:45	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xa0ccd5…
06-11 19:35:42	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	38	70¢	$26	0xb4ba89…
06-11 19:35:42	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	129	68¢	$87	0x51b096…
06-11 18:55:37	googl close above 360 on june 12 2026	No	SELL	72	75¢	$54	0xdc060e…
06-11 18:51:12	googl close above 360 on june 12 2026	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xf495da…
06-11 16:49:55	googl close above 360 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	172	94¢	$162	0xd48feb…
06-11 12:26:15	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	170	96¢	$163	0x5f6e69…
06-11 08:57:09	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0x4cad32…
06-11 07:53:28	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x1cf4f0…
06-10 19:58:57	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x2fe73f…
06-10 17:23:45	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	159	92¢	$146	0x44a653…
06-10 12:24:12	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	148	99¢	$147	0x92fe5d…
06-10 08:27:40	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	148	82¢	$121	0xd6d1c2…
06-09 19:33:15	spy closes above 750 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbd3faa…
06-09 19:00:24	spy closes above 750 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x54f035…
06-09 16:03:39	spy closes above 750 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x16211f…
06-09 15:57:15	spy closes above 730 on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	51	45¢	$23	0x7b6117…
06-09 13:41:04	spy closes above 730 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x390c87…
06-09 13:24:55	spy closes above 750 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfc30fd…
06-09 13:02:07	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5f3ad8…
06-09 13:01:55	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x8e1a56…
06-09 08:21:03	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	96	86¢	$82	0x6a24d7…
06-08 20:58:00	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2010e…
06-08 20:56:58	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1b6883…
06-08 20:56:36	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcabe35…
06-08 20:56:09	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2f4d8b…
06-08 20:55:04	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x2cb35a…
06-08 20:40:54	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	84	86¢	$72	0x89cd2b…
06-08 20:02:21	googl close above 365 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x3ef805…
06-08 19:14:25	googl close above 365 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x9e07ef…
06-08 19:14:00	aapl close above 305 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	220	27¢	$59	0xf2f47f…
06-08 18:09:21	spy closes above 730 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x382751…
06-08 18:06:37	spy closes above 730 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x597b9f…
06-08 16:17:43	googl close above 365 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x321bae…
06-08 14:33:34	aapl close above 305 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5c7309…
06-08 14:33:34	aapl close above 305 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2ca48f…
06-08 14:33:33	aapl close above 305 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xaf6ac2…
06-08 14:19:10	spy closes above 730 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x030858…
06-08 14:11:24	googl close above 365 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x66f283…
06-08 13:18:48	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	257	100¢	$257	0x07da6c…
06-08 11:32:19	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xc89a04…
06-08 09:49:07	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	173	83¢	$144	0x7d275c…
06-05 20:00:03	googl close above 370 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xc5d348…
06-05 20:00:03	googl close above 370 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1eea2f…
06-05 19:59:37	abnb up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd28552…
06-05 19:59:06	abnb up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x7996be…
06-05 19:57:39	abnb up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xcd0067…
06-05 18:59:15	googl close above 370 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x71522b…
06-05 18:58:45	googl close above 370 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3d1a5f…
06-05 18:57:57	spy closes above 755 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x26dd9a…
06-05 18:57:57	spy closes above 755 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	32	92¢	$30	0x0d20f6…
06-05 18:53:10	googl close above 370 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x525424…
06-05 18:52:27	googl close above 370 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xad172c…
06-05 18:51:27	googl close above 370 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x96d041…
06-05 18:49:33	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x8beed8…
06-05 18:35:55	abnb up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xb546c6…
06-05 18:33:22	amzn close above 250 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	505	20¢	$101	0x05feb7…
06-05 13:58:37	amzn close above 250 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe9d1a1…
06-05 13:55:43	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xf7eb45…
06-05 13:53:33	amzn close above 250 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0xf780fc…
06-05 13:50:25	spy closes above 755 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	57	90¢	$51	0x4d705a…