Serious-Compass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$219

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

211

Trades

468

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-09 13:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 45% -$93

Other

43% 18% -$115

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 02:50 UTC	5	$123	78	77	+1	Up	+$24	02-22 02:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 03:45 UTC	15	$121	210	180	+30	Down	+$18	03-16 03:59
spx opens up or down on september 3 2026	2	$97	67	67	+0	Up	+$37	09-03 13:29
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	2	$89	61	61	+0	Yes	+$9	06-28 01:24
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	3	$82	52	52	+0	Yes	+$22	07-06 03:07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$78	68	68	+0	Yes	+$58	07-15 21:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 21:15 UTC	5	$67	81	49	+32	Up	-$23	03-11 21:29
spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	3	$58	53	53	+0	Down	+$48	06-22 20:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 21:45 UTC	5	$54	60	50	+10	Down	+$3	03-10 22:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 19:15 UTC	4	$53	31	30	+0	Up	+$3	03-11 19:30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	3	$53	82	82	+0	No	-$27	06-28 01:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 06:15 UTC	7	$48	34	34	+0	Up	+$11	03-22 06:29
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	5	$48	1,359	0	+1,359	No	-$48	07-01 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:40 UTC	3	$47	27	27	+0	Up	+$7	02-14 00:45
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	3	$41	48	17	+31	No	-$19	06-25 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 14:05 UTC	4	$38	33	33	+0	Down	-$1	03-07 14:09
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	2	$35	32	32	+0	Over	+$5	06-25 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 11:25 UTC	2	$33	19	19	+0	Up	+$4	02-13 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:25 UTC	2	$33	27	26	+0	Down	+$3	02-15 04:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 22:15 UTC	2	$31	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	03-16 22:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC	2	$31	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	02-26 23:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 21:00 UTC	5	$31	146	34	+112	Down	$0	03-11 21:13
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 220 239	2	$31	103	103	+0	No	+$1	02-08 20:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 21:30 UTC	5	$31	57	57	+1	Up	-$9	03-16 21:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 21:15 UTC	4	$28	146	24	+122	Down	$0	03-16 21:27
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	4	$27	217	109	+109	Spain	-$11	07-19 21:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 01:45 UTC	4	$25	17	16	+0	Up	+$4	02-08 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:40 UTC	2	$25	16	15	+0	Up	+$6	02-19 20:45
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	2	$25	24	24	+0	Up	+$23	03-10 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:05 UTC	2	$25	23	22	+0	Up	+$6	03-07 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 13:10:21	spx opens up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x33a149…
10-09 13:08:45	spx opens up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xfe885d…
10-06 13:00:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0xa0fe7c…
10-06 12:57:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x7603a3…
10-01 10:50:17	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x204e7b…
09-11 13:22:10	spx opens up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	261	0¢	$1	0xfd78a9…
09-09 13:13:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 9?	Up	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x4c9db0…
09-08 12:05:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb27a0f…
09-03 13:29:46	spx opens up or down on september 3 2026	Up	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x1e5d97…
09-03 12:18:00	spx opens up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x08c73e…
09-01 13:22:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9c5165…
08-24 13:16:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xdd0467…
08-20 11:22:07	spx opens up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x41a09c…
08-19 11:57:40	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x38cdc6…
08-17 13:26:09	spx opens up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x517856…
08-13 13:11:37	spx opens up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xa3f548…
07-20 13:24:40	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x9bf055…
07-19 21:54:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	109	8¢	$8	0x0d6ad9…
07-19 21:50:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0x8b517f…
07-19 21:48:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xcfd681…
07-19 21:48:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0xa426f0…
07-19 19:57:33	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xf30ade…
07-19 19:53:22	Argentina to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x2b53b8…
07-15 21:08:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x883292…
07-15 20:52:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0xf53f56…
07-15 13:25:07	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x21a98a…
07-13 13:03:31	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xfd63e0…
07-11 18:13:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0x62471f…
07-09 20:05:35	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb76261…
07-07 16:50:11	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xc7f260…
07-06 05:38:01	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x11185a…
07-06 03:07:05	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x57532f…
07-06 02:32:50	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x1ef05d…
07-06 01:56:13	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x8d2c69…
07-06 01:46:49	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x2ba818…
07-05 22:41:13	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x811b43…
07-05 22:40:58	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x920dce…
07-04 00:20:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x6c79bb…
07-03 23:21:50	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xa4c7c4…
07-03 18:23:23	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x55f42b…
07-02 12:38:25	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x55ec06…
07-01 17:43:08	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe8825a…
07-01 16:32:46	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x013762…
07-01 03:45:07	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbe36e7…
07-01 02:40:13	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x0c3c83…
07-01 02:23:11	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe887f9…
07-01 02:14:22	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x2cd5d6…
07-01 01:56:26	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xcc085c…
07-01 01:55:04	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xab635e…
06-30 23:39:35	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xee2523…
06-28 01:24:47	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	61	81¢	$49	0x4ca320…
06-28 01:18:40	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	82	16¢	$13	0x90a0d7…
06-28 01:16:32	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x48367d…
06-27 18:07:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1307bf…
06-27 16:54:17	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc2bb13…
06-26 13:19:49	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xdcdb2b…
06-25 13:12:14	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x45f9ab…
06-25 12:46:44	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0xe31c9a…
06-25 11:56:31	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x529767…
06-25 11:45:59	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x425fd0…
06-25 05:36:22	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x0c2fd2…
06-25 03:30:58	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe63ba5…
06-25 02:47:31	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x111614…
06-25 02:33:55	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xead68b…
06-25 02:23:25	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x6e40b2…
06-25 01:52:31	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb0f878…
06-24 21:58:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x04ff8f…
06-24 21:39:07	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x68fe96…
06-24 21:26:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x7e5913…
06-24 12:05:22	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x3ee5ce…
06-23 13:04:07	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x8d0ba3…
06-23 12:22:40	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	348	1¢	$3	0x8e1a2d…
06-22 20:02:35	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xf2c3a6…
06-22 13:24:14	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x82328b…
06-22 13:23:37	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9b8bd4…
06-17 12:38:53	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xe1e617…
06-17 11:52:55	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xa76c35…
06-16 12:52:49	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x65f657…
06-15 12:20:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?	Down	BUY	983	0¢	$1	0x6632ed…
06-15 04:31:25	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0ed757…
06-15 04:31:00	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xfc90b8…
06-11 14:25:07	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc2b184…
06-09 13:21:06	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x57d361…
06-09 13:20:34	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfd887b…
06-09 12:32:22	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x308b56…
06-02 12:44:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x231ae2…
05-25 12:55:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x325e6e…
05-21 12:50:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xea6848…
05-21 12:47:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x05286e…
05-21 12:47:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0dffc9…
05-20 13:14:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x92f185…
05-20 12:28:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x6e22fd…
05-19 09:36:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x30bd13…
05-18 13:25:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5483dd…
05-14 13:24:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe553f8…
05-14 12:43:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xd6b085…
05-13 13:11:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x97cff2…
05-12 12:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x158a38…
05-12 12:21:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x4e8ad2…
05-11 13:00:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x06ce80…