Thunderous-Vegetation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

+$200

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,957

lifetime

Volume

$97.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$475

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-28 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$27

Politics

35% 100% +$3

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-5,000	$-675	10¢	$-475	+$200	06-26 23:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	35	$13.8K	8,957	8,957	+0	open	—	04-20 13:47
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	36	$3.9K	3,107	3,127	-20	open	—	03-31 10:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.4K	1,879	1,879	+0	open	—	04-22 04:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	16	$2.3K	2,940	2,940	+0	open	—	04-04 09:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	15	$1.8K	2,793	1,973	+820	open	—	05-14 06:05
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	22	$1.6K	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	03-27 09:33
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	27	$1.6K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	02-05 06:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	24	$1.5K	2,091	2,091	+0	open	—	02-28 06:38
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	13	$1.5K	1,803	1,755	+48	open	—	03-04 07:41
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	14	$1.5K	1,548	1,548	+0	open	—	03-29 15:31
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	23	$1.5K	3,304	3,304	+0	open	—	02-06 15:07
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	18	$1.4K	940	940	+0	open	—	02-10 12:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	34	$1.4K	3,814	3,814	+0	open	—	01-30 11:42
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	12	$1.4K	872	872	-0	open	—	03-18 13:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	26	$1.3K	2,527	2,527	+0	open	—	03-23 10:57
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	8	$1.2K	781	781	+0	open	—	01-26 08:42
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	15	$1.1K	1,457	1,457	+0	open	—	02-27 09:41
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	12	$1.1K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	04-10 10:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	19	$1.1K	2,500	7,500	-5,000	open	—	06-26 23:39
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	33	$1.1K	1,347	1,347	+0	open	—	03-30 05:21
spx opens up or down on march 12 2026	24	$1.1K	4,195	4,695	-500	open	—	03-12 09:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	22	$1.1K	2,196	2,396	-200	open	—	05-01 12:03
spx opens up or down on march 20 2026	24	$1.1K	1,738	1,438	+300	open	—	03-20 13:26
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	9	$1.0K	544	544	+0	open	—	02-16 09:34
spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	31	$1.0K	1,180	1,180	+0	open	—	02-26 09:13
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	10	$966	615	615	+0	open	—	02-03 07:09
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	18	$963	546	546	+0	open	—	03-03 13:39
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	15	$930	5,599	5,410	+190	open	—	04-22 12:55
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	29	$921	1,826	1,826	+0	open	—	01-13 15:53
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 65 89	5	$910	888	888	+0	open	—	03-07 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 15:07:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	568	18¢	$102	0xf00db9…
06-28 11:38:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	500	67¢	$335	0x4036eb…
06-28 04:37:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	400	66¢	$264	0x2940d8…
06-28 04:35:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x34c769…
06-28 04:35:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	168	21¢	$35	0x926a04…
06-28 04:35:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x755d73…
06-26 23:39:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,910	12¢	$229	0xcffc99…
06-26 22:59:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0xb39e5a…
06-26 22:48:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,667	12¢	$200	0x2bb022…
06-26 22:44:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0x006e2b…
06-26 22:15:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x2ce84e…
06-26 22:01:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xfd3878…
06-26 21:34:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	12¢	$13	0x9e51d3…
06-26 21:26:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	12¢	$11	0xa8e00c…
06-26 21:12:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x1475a8…
06-26 20:59:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	12¢	$31	0xf89f89…
06-26 20:17:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xee4e05…
06-26 20:14:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb43a4e…
06-26 20:08:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	625	12¢	$75	0xf5d20a…
06-26 20:07:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x8dca63…
06-26 19:44:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,633	12¢	$316	0xa6ffce…
06-23 18:51:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x82b577…
06-23 09:22:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	41	33¢	$14	0xed2fa4…
06-23 09:21:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x6e8e06…
06-16 15:02:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	406	9¢	$37	0x770b43…
06-16 14:49:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xcfc033…
06-16 14:23:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe9d6f4…
06-16 14:18:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,076	9¢	$187	0x69650f…
06-15 17:56:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0x32f473…
06-15 07:36:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	300	14¢	$41	0x6ac38c…
06-12 11:19:09	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	230	27¢	$62	0xc7cb10…
06-12 08:55:48	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	230	16¢	$37	0x92e9a5…
06-12 03:07:13	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Down	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x10077a…
06-11 18:24:40	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x7cd291…
06-11 09:29:04	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Down	SELL	443	7¢	$30	0xb409ac…
06-11 08:57:09	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	443	7¢	$30	0x4cad32…
06-09 03:37:15	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	47	66¢	$31	0xd1fc10…
06-08 20:36:34	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x1330e7…
06-07 15:35:51	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	390	3¢	$11	0x89ed15…
06-06 22:20:27	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	3¢	$13	0xecbb94…
06-04 13:26:37	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x380240…
06-04 13:25:15	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0xc59c55…
06-04 13:21:10	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x1a543c…
06-04 12:59:07	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	658	2¢	$15	0x08b4db…
06-04 12:58:00	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	120	3¢	$4	0xdc68e1…
06-04 12:56:42	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2d311b…
06-04 09:12:39	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	644	6¢	$36	0x5f9dcb…
06-04 06:38:43	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	375	18¢	$67	0x6c416a…
06-04 06:34:46	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x6d79ff…
06-04 06:25:52	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xafdbf1…
06-03 10:34:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	44	61¢	$27	0x251887…
06-03 10:33:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	541	63¢	$341	0xbb7410…
06-03 05:05:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	102	47¢	$48	0x5c6019…
06-03 04:52:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	209	43¢	$90	0xa61392…
06-03 03:31:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xbf3f25…
06-03 03:30:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x04976d…
06-03 03:05:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	75	48¢	$36	0xacedb1…
06-02 05:35:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	269	68¢	$183	0xd88332…
06-02 05:30:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	269	71¢	$191	0xda51bf…
06-02 05:18:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0xc45491…
06-02 04:00:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x822dae…
06-02 03:56:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0xbe129b…
06-01 15:20:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	7,020	0¢	$7	0xcfd288…
06-01 14:49:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	6,160	0¢	$12	0xdea7d5…
06-01 13:53:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	860	0¢	$3	0xe6c1ad…
06-01 08:32:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,181	9¢	$201	0xe569e5…
06-01 08:27:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x2dd52a…
06-01 08:27:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa51ac6…
06-01 07:11:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,938	9¢	$173	0x7db00a…
06-01 07:10:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	9¢	$24	0xbfab49…
06-01 07:02:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x1f62e9…
06-01 03:55:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xcb38b4…
06-01 03:52:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x4e4eac…
05-29 15:25:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x0d00e8…
05-29 15:12:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x212831…
05-29 09:50:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0xc42df4…
05-29 09:37:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	45	30¢	$13	0x4c8836…
05-29 08:43:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	235	65¢	$151	0x84d004…
05-29 05:02:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x16a521…
05-29 04:21:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x8a42cd…
05-29 04:21:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	65	42¢	$27	0xafc6c2…
05-28 20:58:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf88a27…
05-28 20:54:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x54a418…
05-28 20:52:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xed6206…
05-28 20:52:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x467b45…
05-28 13:42:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	311	100¢	$310	0x6e244d…
05-28 12:39:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	125	75¢	$94	0x6ed29e…
05-28 12:04:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	93	96¢	$89	0x2d967c…
05-28 12:01:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x44d1d0…
05-28 06:24:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x07ff1c…
05-28 06:23:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf32927…
05-28 03:44:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x52744b…
05-28 03:37:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x1e70e4…
05-28 03:37:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb515db…
05-28 03:36:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0xf64831…
05-28 03:33:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd6a30c…
05-28 03:28:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xd84950…
05-28 03:26:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x13b867…
05-28 03:20:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdad94e…
05-26 06:07:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	478	5¢	$24	0x7962e8…