Simple-Reserve — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$700

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

325

Trades

1,703

lifetime

Volume

$56.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$227

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-27 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Sports

80% 65% +$136

Other

19% 65% -$669

Politics

1% 33% -$130

Pop-Culture

0% 43% -$45

Crypto

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+1,411	$142	10¢	$143	+$1	10-27 05:01
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	-70	-$74	100¢	$-70	+$4	10-12 18:08
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	+70	$33	20¢	$14	-$19	09-16 14:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+0	-$6	68¢	$0	+$6	10-25 05:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	18	$3.2K	1,630	1,659	-29	Rockets	+$100	04-01 03:33
nba cha bos 2026 04 07	14	$1.2K	1,286	778	+508	Celtics	-$47	04-08 02:05
nba nop nyk 2026 03 24	26	$1.2K	780	670	+110	Knicks	+$165	03-25 02:01
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	11	$1.1K	650	650	+0	Celtics	+$154	03-03 02:23
nba det okc 2026 03 30	19	$1.1K	1,210	557	+653	Thunder	-$197	03-31 04:09
nba atl bos 2026 03 27	21	$983	984	400	+584	Celtics	-$1	03-28 01:44
nba det orl 2026 04 06	15	$962	910	930	-20	Magic	+$171	04-07 01:29
nba nyk cha 2026 03 26	40	$844	1,360	1,040	+320	Hornets	-$216	03-27 00:47
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	26	$838	880	470	+410	Celtics	+$9	03-26 01:35
nba nop lac 2026 03 01	8	$837	435	435	+0	Clippers	+$32	03-02 06:27
nba cha phx 2026 03 08	16	$835	560	560	+0	Suns	+$102	03-09 04:33
nba min phi 2026 04 03	22	$818	960	806	+154	76ers	-$186	04-04 01:25
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	27	$814	745	645	+100	Magic	-$75	04-18 00:49
nba phx orl 2026 03 31	8	$778	460	458	+2	Magic	+$55	04-01 01:42
nba chi sac 2026 03 08	12	$773	510	510	+0	Kings	+$104	03-09 03:30
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	6	$755	670	335	+335	Knicks	+$62	04-10 01:49
nba det phi 2026 04 04	15	$741	1,100	0	+1,100	Pistons	+$359	04-04 23:52
nba por lac 2026 03 31	23	$694	500	400	+100	Trail Blazers	+$64	04-01 05:10
nba orl mil 2026 03 08	11	$658	380	380	+0	Magic	+$101	03-09 01:55
nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	13	$656	811	812	-1	Knicks	-$156	04-07 01:22
spx up or down on july 13 2026	14	$569	403	403	+0	Down	+$28	07-13 13:40
nba sac tor 2026 04 01	27	$567	639	330	+309	Kings	+$54	04-02 02:27
nba chi phi 2026 03 25	23	$561	767	0	+767	76ers	+$206	03-25 23:22
nba phi mia 2026 03 30	17	$521	600	607	-7	Heat	-$310	03-31 01:32
nba tor bos 2026 04 05	16	$512	643	0	+643	Celtics	+$132	04-05 21:03
nba tor was 2026 02 28	3	$504	300	300	+0	Raptors	-$24	03-01 00:29
nba phx cha 2026 04 02	17	$476	560	159	+401	Hornets	+$54	04-03 00:33
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	30	$475	620	399	+221	Hornets	-$404	04-15 02:03
nba lal gsw 2026 04 09	3	$469	490	394	+96	Lakers	+$23	04-10 02:20
nba mem min 2026 03 03	7	$464	260	260	+0	Timberwolves	-$14	03-04 03:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:24:39	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x014850…
10-27 23:24:23	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x72f3a4…
10-27 23:23:32	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x3b9f63…
10-27 05:01:29	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x820f69…
10-27 04:58:15	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xbaa666…
10-26 03:10:21	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xf84f79…
10-26 03:09:18	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xad8160…
10-26 03:05:47	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x66201b…
10-26 03:01:56	nba min cle 2026 10 26 spread home 4pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0x37d3e6…
10-26 02:55:15	Hawks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	220	66¢	$145	0xed12cf…
10-26 02:44:26	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	101	40¢	$40	0xdb5d12…
10-25 19:04:59	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	58	63¢	$37	0xbf6b93…
10-25 18:56:45	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xf3b7be…
10-25 18:56:18	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x8cecca…
10-25 18:55:45	Spread: Pacers (-2.5)	Pacers	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xb078f6…
10-25 18:55:35	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x88eeec…
10-25 18:55:15	Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x806259…
10-25 05:24:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xa24b2a…
10-25 05:11:08	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xad99b1…
10-25 05:03:29	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x11280d…
10-25 04:52:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x1f4a0c…
10-25 04:04:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xd71454…
10-25 04:04:00	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x227dc6…
10-25 04:01:44	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x6a4e05…
10-25 03:55:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0xb52026…
10-25 03:17:02	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x9348df…
10-25 03:14:45	nba ind bkn 2026 10 25 spread away 3pt5	Pacers	BUY	95	64¢	$61	0x2f1820…
10-25 03:13:48	nba ind bkn 2026 10 25 spread away 3pt5	Pacers	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0af6cb…
10-25 03:02:48	nba orl nyk 2026 10 25 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	83	66¢	$55	0xb4924f…
10-25 03:02:48	nba orl nyk 2026 10 25 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x2c0d0d…
10-25 03:02:06	nba orl nyk 2026 10 25 spread home 4pt5	Knicks	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x866c74…
10-25 02:55:45	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x69c972…
10-25 02:52:45	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	224	67¢	$150	0x5a8e26…
10-25 02:51:05	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xcbc8eb…
10-24 18:48:56	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x427e90…
10-24 18:48:54	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x61864e…
10-24 18:47:24	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb65b8e…
10-24 18:47:23	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe05e21…
10-24 18:47:23	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x4074c6…
10-24 18:47:14	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xb615eb…
10-24 18:47:14	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x2e52d0…
10-24 18:47:11	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xe02410…
10-24 18:47:11	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4b0862…
10-24 18:47:09	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x525150…
10-24 18:47:08	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xdc13d4…
10-24 18:47:08	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x88ff1e…
10-24 18:47:08	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x119d01…
10-24 18:47:06	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4a1d8c…
10-24 18:47:06	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x02c75c…
10-24 16:45:33	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xcf6b12…
10-24 16:45:20	Spread: 76ers (-6.5)	76ers	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x58bc52…
10-23 21:51:09	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x832f7a…
10-23 21:50:08	Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x62525b…
10-21 04:54:26	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	400	10¢	$41	0xb874f5…
10-20 23:25:51	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0x8dc7ad…
10-20 23:25:45	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xeeff5d…
10-20 23:25:45	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	81	11¢	$9	0x0908d6…
10-20 23:25:35	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xaf6e21…
10-20 23:25:05	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x785c28…
10-20 23:24:42	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	181	10¢	$19	0xe0c117…
10-20 23:24:41	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x873313…
10-20 23:24:12	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$21	0xbd146a…
10-20 23:23:18	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$6	0x2dc745…
10-20 23:23:18	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0x0da1d8…
10-20 23:22:51	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4adb77…
10-20 23:22:38	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6c8e10…
10-20 23:22:23	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc20fc1…
10-20 20:00:02	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xa5ab6f…
10-20 20:00:00	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5f24dd…
10-20 00:21:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2c9def…
10-20 00:20:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x08e25e…
10-20 00:19:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x33f5a4…
10-20 00:19:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x8c11ee…
10-20 00:19:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x919532…
10-16 23:09:44	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	Yes	SELL	63	57¢	$36	0x89490c…
10-16 23:06:32	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 21 2026 6pt31	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x4af12c…
10-16 23:05:45	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	310	65¢	$202	0xf0812d…
10-16 23:04:48	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	Yes	SELL	57	58¢	$33	0xa9f9a7…
10-16 22:49:36	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	Yes	SELL	80	58¢	$46	0x33e5ff…
10-16 22:46:57	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xb94696…
10-16 22:43:38	next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x5a79b2…
10-16 22:41:30	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	1,003	0¢	$3	0xfbcfca…
10-16 20:58:53	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x09be99…
10-16 20:58:44	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x5aa3ce…
10-16 20:58:12	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	28	59¢	$17	0x37004b…
10-16 20:57:59	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x93e1ce…
10-16 20:45:14	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 21 2026 6pt31	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc0a775…
10-16 20:39:56	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 21 2026 6pt31	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x742b73…
10-16 20:33:02	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 21 2026 6pt31	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3e6a11…
10-16 18:21:39	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	1,400	1¢	$20	0x950375…
10-16 18:20:48	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4aa38d…
10-16 18:20:27	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xe51260…
10-16 18:19:38	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x6644f9…
10-16 18:19:08	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x99b6c8…
10-16 18:16:06	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x394e32…
10-16 18:15:51	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x689274…
10-16 18:15:33	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xe68938…
10-13 04:17:48	spx opens up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x0ba8b4…
10-13 03:40:05	spx opens up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x603009…
10-12 19:49:57	spx opens up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x3d23ee…