Limp-Tablecloth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

+$1.19K

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,765

lifetime

Volume

$1.21M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$437

Open exposure

$53.4K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

75% 100% +$213

Politics

24% 50% $-93

Sports

1% 0% $-22

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	+34,791	$30,936	90¢	$31.5K	+$550	07-23 16:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+20,519	$19,244	96¢	$19.7K	+$485	06-30 05:43
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+1,367	$1,136	88¢	$1.2K	+$60	07-19 09:18
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	+965	$852	98¢	$951	+$99	07-20 13:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	165	$71.5K	36,066	36,066	+0	open	—	03-23 13:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	106	$55.8K	29,795	30,051	-257	open	—	04-01 01:18
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	50	$49.4K	25,396	25,396	+0	open	—	03-10 13:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	30	$39.2K	24,834	14,994	+9,841	open	—	03-30 07:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	602	$34.2K	28,518	7,999	+20,519	open	—	06-30 05:43
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	7	$33.0K	33,058	8,522	+24,536	open	—	03-10 13:49
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	32	$31.4K	35,291	0	+35,291	open	—	07-23 16:04
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	31	$29.2K	26,098	4,093	+22,005	open	—	04-10 03:17
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	46	$26.3K	11,059	16,059	-5,000	open	—	05-12 13:28
will trump visit china by march 31	49	$20.6K	10,488	10,488	+0	open	—	03-30 06:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$20.6K	10,300	10,300	+0	open	—	05-05 00:12
spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	6	$20.4K	20,409	0	+20,409	open	—	06-16 14:53
spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	30	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-15 14:21
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	12	$18.4K	18,400	0	+18,400	open	—	04-09 14:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	3	$17.0K	17,000	0	+17,000	open	—	06-01 13:35
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	2	$16.6K	16,658	0	+16,658	open	—	04-07 13:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	22	$16.2K	9,025	9,025	+0	open	—	04-11 23:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	27	$15.1K	9,103	8,763	+340	open	—	04-09 00:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	2	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-14 04:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	14	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	05-18 14:59
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	34	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-20 14:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	13	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	05-21 15:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	1	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	04-24 13:30
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	43	$13.7K	13,686	0	+13,686	open	—	04-14 20:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	15	$13.4K	13,458	0	+13,458	open	—	04-27 17:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$13.1K	6,782	6,991	-208	open	—	02-12 14:22
spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	1	$13.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	04-23 14:10
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	3	$13.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	04-19 04:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	1	$12.5K	12,500	0	+12,500	Down	+$12	05-12 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	27	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	Down	+$12	05-11 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 16:04:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x1dad57…
07-23 15:03:25	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1,025	96¢	$983	0xfa0ffe…
07-23 15:02:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	2,050	96¢	$1,966	0x4d8500…
07-20 16:35:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	151	90¢	$136	0x914597…
07-20 15:24:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	81	90¢	$73	0xe85217…
07-20 14:56:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1,035	90¢	$932	0xb0767e…
07-20 13:18:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2,204	91¢	$2,000	0x955fba…
07-20 13:18:24	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,349	99¢	$2,314	0x7f5bd1…
07-19 21:20:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1,536	90¢	$1,382	0x9e5c83…
07-19 16:17:51	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xed62e7…
07-19 09:18:18	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	591	85¢	$500	0xab028f…
07-19 09:16:12	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,132	98¢	$3,085	0x9bf4d4…
07-19 09:14:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	162	82¢	$133	0xb82e33…
07-19 09:14:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	114	82¢	$93	0x9690b8…
07-19 09:13:49	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x66ffa9…
07-19 09:05:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xcc9b3c…
07-19 08:46:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	420	90¢	$378	0x94070d…
07-18 13:47:54	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	267	95¢	$255	0xee629a…
07-18 13:14:06	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	217	95¢	$207	0xe218b4…
07-18 13:13:52	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0x97c4aa…
07-16 07:51:26	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$962	0xd7c5ae…
07-16 04:56:53	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	505	97¢	$489	0xc9c3ff…
07-15 12:37:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0x40a6af…
07-15 12:37:53	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0xf16292…
07-15 12:37:52	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x59e1d8…
07-15 12:37:43	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0xb30bf4…
07-15 12:37:43	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x327d1a…
07-15 12:37:32	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0x705cc3…
07-15 12:37:29	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0xfd95bc…
07-15 12:37:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7b5975…
07-15 12:37:26	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	113	97¢	$109	0x69273c…
07-15 12:37:25	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0xcef2a6…
07-15 12:04:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc1690c…
07-15 12:03:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x505900…
07-15 11:50:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71d492…
07-15 11:45:25	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xab8c5b…
07-15 09:12:59	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	406	97¢	$393	0x1e993d…
07-15 08:52:04	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xf775c3…
07-15 08:51:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xf3f20b…
07-02 07:40:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	4,000	89¢	$3,560	0xecc11d…
07-01 13:50:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5,618	89¢	$5,000	0x6b719a…
06-30 05:43:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,768	95¢	$1,673	0xd1dbdf…
06-30 05:43:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,527	95¢	$2,390	0x9ea8b5…
06-30 05:43:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,705	95¢	$1,613	0x747cb9…
06-30 05:41:50	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	89¢	$4,450	0xe4c568…
06-30 05:40:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	89¢	$4,450	0x1abbec…
06-28 02:00:32	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	37	88¢	$32	0x6c961b…
06-27 22:19:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	860	88¢	$757	0x550c62…
06-27 09:21:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x59936d…
06-27 09:05:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7,811	100¢	$7,803	0x364553…
06-27 07:35:11	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xadde35…
06-27 02:16:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	346	88¢	$305	0x69d880…
06-26 15:01:53	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x825a09…
06-26 11:33:05	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x6629a8…
06-26 10:17:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe5e84f…
06-26 09:00:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5e9c8b…
06-26 05:11:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xdad23a…
06-26 04:45:56	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x2a7689…
06-26 04:45:56	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x066b2a…
06-26 04:43:26	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xd86678…
06-26 04:38:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x587cad…
06-26 04:32:41	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd2db39…
06-26 04:25:31	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe82c5b…
06-26 04:22:02	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb58ccd…
06-26 04:19:56	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2daac6…
06-26 04:10:34	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x717a95…
06-26 04:10:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x42df8f…
06-26 04:03:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	258	88¢	$227	0x339472…
06-26 03:53:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a1b93…
06-26 03:22:31	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	61	59¢	$36	0x01071b…
06-26 03:19:58	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	95	41¢	$39	0x01b8c7…
06-26 03:09:49	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8c6eb3…
06-26 02:26:10	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x820f06…
06-26 02:25:23	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	75	64¢	$48	0xcbf3b7…
06-26 02:24:40	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x617d6c…
06-26 02:06:29	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb1d492…
06-26 02:02:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe95791…
06-26 02:00:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	484	97¢	$469	0xef07c3…
06-26 01:59:59	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	161	97¢	$156	0x8eb79f…
06-26 01:29:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf384a5…
06-26 01:14:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe37940…
06-26 01:06:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x891027…
06-26 01:06:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x578c81…
06-26 01:06:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x1edcbb…
06-26 00:30:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1,702	88¢	$1,500	0xeb9eb8…
06-26 00:22:29	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	130	61¢	$79	0xff9c63…
06-25 23:33:01	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xe56d5a…
06-24 11:29:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1,500	87¢	$1,305	0x8c2d76…
06-24 08:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	512	97¢	$499	0x816cb1…
06-24 07:51:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x995344…
06-22 21:24:55	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2652e7…
06-22 20:25:43	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x02def9…
06-22 20:02:35	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xf2c3a6…
06-22 18:45:35	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9e38be…
06-22 18:32:55	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc0fcb…
06-22 17:29:08	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0x26d5f3…
06-22 16:56:50	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb53f8a…
06-22 16:33:23	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	4,760	100¢	$4,755	0xd57ed7…
06-22 15:26:28	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12f0b8…
06-22 15:04:14	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfd8a4d…