Incompatible-Podcast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$745

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

307

Trades

1,114

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-05 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

71% 32% -$501

Crypto

25% 39% -$307

Politics

4% 88% +$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?	20	$1.5K	2,182	462	+1,720	Up	-$357	06-12 13:15
spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	15	$796	940	535	+405	Up	-$393	07-02 10:25
spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	7	$669	853	445	+408	Down	-$39	07-16 10:37
spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	11	$638	845	440	+405	Up	+$31	06-30 04:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	9	$626	656	576	+80	Down	-$173	05-21 11:45
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	12	$622	1,210	410	+800	Up	-$11	06-09 12:50
spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	7	$612	754	355	+399	Down	-$257	06-16 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	13	$589	661	661	+0	Up	-$214	09-11 13:31
spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	16	$562	850	355	+495	Up	+$5	06-24 13:29
spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	5	$540	1,360	355	+1,005	Up	+$28	07-15 12:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	11	$536	667	387	+280	Up	-$1	05-20 07:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	4	$495	430	430	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 11:50
ethereum up or down on september 25 2026	6	$457	400	330	+70	Up	+$91	09-25 15:53
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	10	$439	1,085	220	+865	Down	+$143	06-10 13:10
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	6	$412	493	200	+293	Down	+$52	05-28 03:52
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	13	$406	1,130	100	+1,030	Up	+$120	06-11 12:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	5	$405	590	200	+390	Down	+$140	05-19 02:19
spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	6	$398	506	346	+160	Down	-$206	07-24 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?	9	$366	410	410	+0	Up	-$72	09-22 12:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	12	$342	1,163	263	+900	Up	-$55	04-30 13:07
spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	8	$324	461	61	+400	Up	-$62	08-14 13:09
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?	3	$314	230	180	+50	Yes	+$10	10-20 23:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	8	$306	1,775	301	+1,474	Up	-$132	06-01 13:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	7	$292	600	200	+400	Down	+$7	06-03 13:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	8	$292	711	101	+610	Up	+$68	05-14 13:25
spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	5	$276	477	0	+477	Up	-$276	07-10 09:45
ethereum up or down on september 27 2026	4	$267	205	205	+0	Down	-$81	09-27 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	4	$265	300	300	+0	Up	-$86	09-24 15:00
spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	3	$259	500	0	+500	Down	+$41	06-26 13:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	6	$251	770	0	+770	Down	+$119	05-15 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 12:16:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb1eab7…
11-05 09:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe5a83e…
11-05 08:15:18	Solana Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x5f0843…
11-05 07:44:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc9c0f7…
11-04 08:15:36	Solana Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xdb0770…
11-04 02:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x80ef75…
11-04 02:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5ba6ec…
11-04 02:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbf4a64…
11-04 02:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa3c8b2…
11-04 02:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0cc3e7…
11-04 02:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf2e64a…
11-04 01:54:48	Solana Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	70	23¢	$16	0x5b878e…
11-04 01:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9ff2b0…
11-04 01:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa76177…
11-04 01:44:27	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x136ae4…
11-04 01:40:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xedae7f…
11-04 01:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfd9793…
11-04 01:37:27	Solana Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x383b99…
11-04 01:04:28	Solana Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x40c1e7…
11-03 15:41:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xd346de…
11-03 15:41:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xcebfa0…
11-03 15:41:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xc79496…
11-03 07:51:28	Solana Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x955dc0…
11-03 07:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?	Down	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0xefb4c9…
11-03 07:46:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xdd0656…
11-03 07:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x6b49f1…
11-02 15:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xfe1183…
11-02 12:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x1901dc…
11-02 12:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	64	32¢	$20	0x71abef…
10-24 23:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x1f4610…
10-24 23:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xfbfabc…
10-23 15:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x08a12b…
10-21 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x9069da…
10-21 04:55:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x950e1f…
10-20 23:13:53	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?	Yes	BUY	130	86¢	$112	0x6548fa…
10-20 23:13:17	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x16b847…
10-20 10:27:51	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x6c8cbf…
10-20 06:17:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x70021e…
10-20 00:24:50	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 20?	Yes	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0x07e8bb…
10-19 10:38:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x50c950…
10-18 22:28:59	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?	Yes	SELL	180	90¢	$162	0x9361f4…
10-17 14:19:33	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	Yes	BUY	73	72¢	$53	0x93fc9a…
10-16 12:09:07	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	BUY	135	80¢	$108	0x35742c…
10-16 07:29:31	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?	Yes	BUY	180	83¢	$149	0xf9a2e8…
10-15 16:29:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x736805…
10-15 08:50:34	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x912f7a…
10-14 16:14:46	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdd4c00…
10-14 16:13:42	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x45909a…
10-14 16:13:01	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf0ee9c…
10-14 16:11:52	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xd7aa97…
10-14 16:11:45	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	49	1¢	$1	0x799889…
10-14 12:49:41	israel military action against lebanon on october 16	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x40c512…
10-14 10:04:19	ethereum up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x407ace…
10-14 09:27:40	solana up or down on october 14 2026	Up	SELL	140	31¢	$44	0xb8d2f5…
10-14 08:07:38	solana up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	140	64¢	$90	0x6365a5…
10-14 08:07:07	solana up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	80	35¢	$28	0x610674…
10-14 07:23:23	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?	Yes	BUY	118	88¢	$104	0xc84dc0…
10-14 06:01:01	solana up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0x14b145…
10-13 14:35:49	Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x2352df…
10-13 14:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x5833fe…
10-13 14:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	SELL	131	5¢	$7	0x63bd25…
10-13 13:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x92d39d…
10-13 12:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd9fa6f…
10-13 12:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x8278ce…
10-13 12:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x0843c9…
10-13 12:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x90bbb4…
10-13 06:04:43	Solana Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x28382c…
10-13 03:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0x7f2a22…
10-13 03:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0x90db17…
10-13 03:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0x073720…
10-13 02:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x012685…
10-13 02:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xa13d66…
10-13 02:26:41	Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x5d5aca…
10-13 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5e2cd4…
10-13 01:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x3244e3…
10-13 01:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2508e4…
10-13 01:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x31430a…
10-13 01:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcb03ac…
10-13 01:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xa5e0db…
10-13 01:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb8700a…
10-13 00:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x11e6aa…
10-13 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x87de7a…
10-12 23:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x895e4d…
10-12 23:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x55b409…
10-12 23:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x087f02…
10-12 21:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xf74dad…
10-12 21:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	75	25¢	$19	0x752b4a…
10-12 15:36:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x58f95d…
10-12 15:36:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x3f06c0…
10-12 13:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	162	25¢	$41	0xaf6838…
10-12 12:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	160	59¢	$94	0x04baf5…
10-12 12:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xdc739f…
10-12 10:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	Up	SELL	95	31¢	$29	0x632d08…
10-12 10:14:23	Solana Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xed3289…
10-12 04:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	95	64¢	$61	0xf232ed…
10-11 10:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down on October 11?	Down	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x2ab68b…
10-11 10:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Down	SELL	68	51¢	$35	0x7f7505…
10-11 10:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Down	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0x483fd9…
10-11 10:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x01b96b…
10-11 03:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Down	BUY	110	62¢	$68	0x28ce62…