Incompatible-Podcast — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,174 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$430

$29.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-12 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Other

70% 32% -$508

Crypto

26% 43% -$388

Politics

4% 88% +$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?	20	$1.5K	2,182	462	+1,720	Up	-$357	06-12 13:15
spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	15	$796	940	535	+405	Up	-$393	07-02 10:25
spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	7	$669	853	445	+408	Down	-$39	07-16 10:37
spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	11	$638	845	440	+405	Up	+$31	06-30 04:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	9	$626	656	576	+80	Down	-$173	05-21 11:45
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	12	$622	1,210	410	+800	Up	-$11	06-09 12:50
spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	7	$612	754	355	+399	Down	-$257	06-16 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	13	$589	661	661	+0	Up	-$214	09-11 13:31
spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	16	$562	850	355	+495	Up	+$5	06-24 13:29
spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	5	$540	1,360	355	+1,005	Up	+$28	07-15 12:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	11	$536	667	387	+280	Up	-$1	05-20 07:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	4	$495	430	430	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 11:50
ethereum up or down on september 25 2026	6	$457	400	330	+70	Up	+$91	09-25 15:53
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	10	$439	1,085	220	+865	Down	+$143	06-10 13:10
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	6	$412	493	200	+293	Down	+$52	05-28 03:52
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	13	$406	1,130	100	+1,030	Up	+$120	06-11 12:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	5	$405	590	200	+390	Down	+$140	05-19 02:19
spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	6	$398	506	346	+160	Down	-$206	07-24 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?	9	$366	410	410	+0	Up	-$72	09-22 12:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	12	$342	1,163	263	+900	Up	-$55	04-30 13:07
spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	8	$324	461	61	+400	Up	-$62	08-14 13:09
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?	3	$314	230	180	+50	Yes	+$10	10-20 23:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	8	$306	1,775	301	+1,474	Up	-$132	06-01 13:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	7	$292	600	200	+400	Down	+$7	06-03 13:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	8	$292	711	101	+610	Up	+$68	05-14 13:25
spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	5	$276	477	0	+477	Up	-$276	07-10 09:45
ethereum up or down on september 27 2026	4	$267	205	205	+0	Down	-$81	09-27 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	4	$265	300	300	+0	Up	-$86	09-24 15:00
spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	3	$259	500	0	+500	Down	+$41	06-26 13:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	6	$251	770	0	+770	Down	+$119	05-15 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 01:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0f910a…
11-12 01:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbfacb4…
11-12 01:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1b2362…
11-12 00:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x14022e…
11-12 00:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd61d68…
11-12 00:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc2be62…
11-12 00:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9999d4…
11-12 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf458fb…
11-12 00:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x27dd6d…
11-12 00:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x390620…
11-11 12:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 11?	Up	BUY	65	87¢	$57	0x64a190…
11-11 10:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0x06bb18…
11-11 10:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down on November 11?	Down	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x6b9f33…
11-11 08:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x912600…
11-11 08:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down on November 11?	Down	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x54d22e…
11-11 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0xcbabe8…
11-11 08:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Up	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xcd0433…
11-11 00:33:12	Ethereum Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0xbde1b5…
11-10 23:41:01	Ethereum Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	64	25¢	$16	0xc3ad91…
11-10 23:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	67	27¢	$18	0xbc9996…
11-10 23:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x29b688…
11-10 23:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xa083e9…
11-10 23:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	54	27¢	$14	0x354a2f…
11-10 15:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb7dd33…
11-10 15:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x909b3a…
11-10 15:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	65	24¢	$16	0x97db37…
11-10 03:01:04	Solana Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x292e76…
11-10 03:00:01	Solana Up or Down on November 10?	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x1a63c2…
11-10 01:37:33	Solana Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x25e362…
11-10 01:02:28	Ethereum Up or Down on November 10?	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x25b39b…
11-09 23:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Down	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0xae2997…
11-09 13:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	39	19¢	$7	0x93d339…
11-09 13:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x0814f1…
11-09 02:27:34	Solana Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xe6686d…
11-09 01:45:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xb339a5…
11-09 01:45:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7cb690…
11-09 01:45:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb2c70c…
11-09 01:45:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x59fc37…
11-09 01:45:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x1402be…
11-09 01:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xf72c31…
11-08 12:46:51	Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7eea2b…
11-08 07:54:22	Solana Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xf32967…
11-07 14:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xbdf914…
11-07 03:34:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x18a355…
11-07 02:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xe0bb48…
11-07 02:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?	Down	BUY	64	25¢	$16	0xece30e…
11-06 15:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x4df8e9…
11-06 15:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x199ea6…
11-06 15:13:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x10bdb5…
11-06 15:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xca8264…
11-06 14:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x36387d…
11-06 08:42:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x27a1ef…
11-06 06:27:40	Solana Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x0940b3…
11-06 06:19:33	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x481272…
11-06 06:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xa266a2…
11-06 06:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x223333…
11-06 02:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xb0d6b9…
11-06 02:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x40d5bb…
11-06 02:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3d5261…
11-06 02:05:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x904e4e…
11-05 12:16:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb1eab7…
11-05 09:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe5a83e…
11-05 08:15:18	Solana Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x5f0843…
11-05 07:44:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc9c0f7…
11-04 08:15:36	Solana Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xdb0770…
11-04 02:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x80ef75…
11-04 02:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5ba6ec…
11-04 02:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbf4a64…
11-04 02:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa3c8b2…
11-04 02:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0cc3e7…
11-04 02:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf2e64a…
11-04 01:54:48	Solana Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	70	23¢	$16	0x5b878e…
11-04 01:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9ff2b0…
11-04 01:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa76177…
11-04 01:44:27	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x136ae4…
11-04 01:40:42	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xedae7f…
11-04 01:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfd9793…
11-04 01:37:27	Solana Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x383b99…
11-04 01:04:28	Solana Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x40c1e7…
11-03 15:41:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xd346de…
11-03 15:41:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xcebfa0…
11-03 15:41:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xc79496…
11-03 07:51:28	Solana Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x955dc0…
11-03 07:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?	Down	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0xefb4c9…
11-03 07:46:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xdd0656…
11-03 07:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x6b49f1…
11-02 15:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xfe1183…
11-02 12:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x1901dc…
11-02 12:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	64	32¢	$20	0x71abef…
10-24 23:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x1f4610…
10-24 23:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xfbfabc…
10-23 15:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x08a12b…
10-21 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x9069da…
10-21 04:55:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x950e1f…
10-20 23:13:53	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?	Yes	BUY	130	86¢	$112	0x6548fa…
10-20 23:13:17	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x16b847…
10-20 10:27:51	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x6c8cbf…
10-20 06:17:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x70021e…
10-20 00:24:50	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 20?	Yes	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0x07e8bb…
10-19 10:38:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x50c950…