Breakable-Eavesdropper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$678

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

398

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$6.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-19 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

73% 66% -$323

Crypto

24% 86% -$406

Politics

3% 60% +$49

Sports

0% 80% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		-2	-$1	6¢	$-0	+$1	05-16 12:20
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		-2	-$1	6¢	$-0	+$1	05-16 12:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	12	$641	428	833	-406	No	-$303	01-29 05:10
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	5	$335	757	757	+0	Yes	-$149	01-29 12:43
dota2 gl mouz 2026 02 06	9	$329	381	334	+48	GamerLegion	-$40	02-06 19:46
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$313	302	113	+189	No	+$58	01-28 23:51
dota2 liquid bb4 2026 01 31 game1	5	$285	247	193	+54	BetBoom Team	+$12	01-31 13:23
dota2 gl mouz 2026 02 06 game2	5	$278	294	247	+47	MOUZ	-$22	02-06 18:50
dota2 aur1 ts8 2026 02 01	5	$251	306	306	+0	Aurora	+$71	02-01 22:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$210	137	137	+0	Yes	+$52	04-07 23:07
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner	2	$195	121	121	+0	Team Falcons	+$45	05-19 13:25
dota2 og liquid 2026 02 03	5	$184	128	112	+16	OG	-$11	02-03 12:08
dota2 liquid gl 2026 02 08	6	$181	691	691	+0	Team Liquid	-$10	02-08 18:21
dota2 pr1 bb4 2026 01 30	10	$165	99	99	+0	BetBoom Team	+$27	01-30 23:06
dota2 heroic rnx 2026 02 06 game2	7	$143	172	172	+0	Heroic	+$14	02-06 16:23
dota2 gl ts8 2026 02 04	4	$136	369	83	+286	Team Spirit	-$90	02-04 13:26
Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner	6	$130	213	40	+173	Team NS	-$105	05-19 16:31
Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 1 Winner	3	$122	71	71	+0	Nix Team	+$19	05-19 16:05
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winner	2	$120	73	73	+0	by Owl Team	+$25	05-19 20:02
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$119	73	73	+0	Team Falcons	+$26	05-19 11:52
dota2 mouz heroic 2026 02 05	5	$116	103	103	+0	MOUZ	+$3	02-05 22:02
dota2 gl heroic 2026 02 03	4	$103	118	118	+0	GamerLegion	-$27	02-03 13:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$102	55	55	+0	open	—	05-23 23:01
dota2 ty xtreme 2026 02 03	2	$96	58	58	+0	Team Yandex	+$20	02-03 17:06
dota2 ty gl 2026 02 05	3	$94	131	107	+24	GamerLegion	+$28	02-05 19:32
dota2 ts8 navi 2026 02 03	5	$87	93	93	+0	Team Spirit	-$12	02-03 10:58
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	2	$81	49	49	+0	Natus Vincere	+$17	05-19 18:40
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 Winner	2	$75	48	48	+0	Miposhka Team	+$19	05-19 00:24
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B	2	$72	151	1	+150	Miposhka Team	-$70	05-19 20:56
dota2 og ts8 2026 02 05	4	$68	50	50	+0	Team Spirit	+$13	02-05 09:56
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$64	66	0	+66	No	+$2	01-16 14:20
dota2 mouz liquid 2026 01 29	3	$60	38	38	+0	Team Liquid	+$0	01-29 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:37:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x668e84…
06-07 13:54:34	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xecef48…
06-02 17:25:41	Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Pipsqueak+4	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x3c58e8…
06-02 16:49:17	Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Pipsqueak+4	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9adb11…
06-02 15:18:03	Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet	Coleman Wong	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd78f2f…
06-02 14:26:24	Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Stefano Travaglia	Pierluigi Basile	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfd7c35…
06-02 14:25:28	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe75fd8…
06-02 13:27:11	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc8632b…
06-02 13:17:42	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xd3829f…
05-31 20:49:09	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x59ae97…
05-31 09:17:57	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs BALU - Game 1 Winner	BALU	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa44717…
05-30 16:24:37	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x262b26…
05-30 15:42:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x799b07…
05-30 15:40:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0f593b…
05-30 15:40:15	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Aurora	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x242981…
05-30 15:27:23	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Aurora	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x7891b9…
05-30 14:10:25	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Aurora	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc404ef…
05-30 13:51:01	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd21f88…
05-30 13:50:25	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x82399d…
05-30 13:34:15	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x113668…
05-30 13:31:03	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner	Tundra Esports	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x14fcc0…
05-30 13:09:31	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner	Tundra Esports	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdc3cc4…
05-30 13:08:19	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x29a527…
05-30 13:08:09	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x42e0eb…
05-30 12:10:33	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb9744d…
05-30 12:10:17	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner	OG	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xcce8fc…
05-30 10:58:14	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner	OG	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x31ff02…
05-29 15:05:11	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0xa3538b…
05-29 10:30:54	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xd19088…
05-29 07:35:29	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6a8bce…
05-29 07:34:16	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	GLYPH	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x52082e…
05-28 20:10:30	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x562ca2…
05-28 14:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x362dec…
05-28 13:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfac0df…
05-28 13:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe84768…
05-28 13:39:35	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x219e74…
05-27 19:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaf8783…
05-27 19:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc22d96…
05-27 19:06:09	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2e4f90…
05-27 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfe0f8c…
05-27 19:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd69700…
05-27 19:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe08c91…
05-27 19:01:41	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x40fd5e…
05-26 10:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x018ba7…
05-26 10:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x95b3a3…
05-26 10:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x735d5b…
05-26 09:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6dd7c8…
05-26 09:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x131965…
05-25 07:08:48	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A	Oxuji Esports	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa1b022…
05-25 07:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd22b54…
05-25 06:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbceffa…
05-25 06:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x712a08…
05-25 06:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf49b85…
05-25 06:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x342854…
05-24 08:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x206b19…
05-24 08:06:10	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x299c9a…
05-24 08:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x481463…
05-24 08:03:57	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9f8eb1…
05-23 23:02:02	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x6a45d4…
05-23 23:01:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$51	0x69afbb…
05-23 19:55:57	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x55e55a…
05-23 13:32:56	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfad06c…
05-23 13:32:14	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfacc1d…
05-23 13:18:15	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x732638…
05-23 13:17:26	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Rex Regum Qeon	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x44f736…
05-23 10:14:51	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x85ab5c…
05-23 10:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4e8adf…
05-22 10:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0b065e…
05-22 10:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa1c69f…
05-22 10:03:19	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x429508…
05-21 14:47:18	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xba21c5…
05-21 14:45:15	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2c481f…
05-21 14:15:04	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xae5e3c…
05-21 13:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x344bff…
05-21 13:56:03	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6d683b…
05-21 13:54:11	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52c66b…
05-21 13:53:34	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3cbd19…
05-21 13:47:08	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PlayTime	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6556b…
05-21 13:14:54	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PlayTime	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x5a3d99…
05-20 08:15:57	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd01715…
05-20 08:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa891ee…
05-20 08:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x30641f…
05-20 08:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf2dd7f…
05-20 07:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x925235…
05-20 07:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6eb679…
05-19 20:56:22	Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B	by Owl Team	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8768d9…
05-19 20:18:38	Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B	by Owl Team	BUY	151	47¢	$71	0x7b2374…
05-19 20:02:30	Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winner	by Owl Team	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x7e1d50…
05-19 19:37:11	Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winner	by Owl Team	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0x679a08…
05-19 19:28:19	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x7bcb8e…
05-19 18:40:08	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x7aac87…
05-19 18:05:03	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0xa244ac…
05-19 16:31:37	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner	Nix Team	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x6dc05c…
05-19 16:17:02	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner	Nix Team	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x3d40ec…
05-19 16:06:34	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner	Nix Team	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x826645…
05-19 16:05:45	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 1 Winner	Nix Team	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6ad78d…
05-19 16:05:08	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner	Nix Team	BUY	144	55¢	$79	0xbd46ab…
05-19 16:04:56	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner	Nix Team	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3a8869…
05-19 16:04:37	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 2 Winner	Nix Team	BUY	34	55¢	$18	0xd6c362…
05-19 15:50:05	Dota 2: Team NS vs Nix Team - Game 1 Winner	Nix Team	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xb6fd84…