Bountiful-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$312

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,228

lifetime

Volume

$84.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

79% 94% +$257

Politics

11% 100% +$52

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$3

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$2.6K	1,406	1,406	+0	Up	$-25	05-06 13:09
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	6	$2.1K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	06-08 13:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$1.7K	838	838	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 15:06
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	16	$1.5K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	06-11 09:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	4	$1.3K	674	673	+1	open	—	04-27 14:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	4	$1.3K	651	651	+0	Up	+$31	05-07 17:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	8	$1.2K	743	743	+0	open	—	05-18 14:58
spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	9	$1.1K	703	703	+0	open	—	07-07 13:15
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	6	$1.1K	621	621	+0	open	—	06-09 13:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$1.1K	688	688	+0	open	—	05-18 18:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	6	$1.1K	571	571	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 13:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	11	$1.1K	603	603	+0	open	—	05-19 14:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	5	$1.0K	559	559	+0	open	—	05-20 13:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	7	$1.0K	622	622	+0	open	—	05-21 13:38
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	6	$1.0K	620	620	+0	open	—	06-10 11:54
spy up or down on june 9 2026	4	$1.0K	540	665	-125	open	—	06-09 17:41
spy up or down on july 8 2026	4	$1.0K	556	556	+0	open	—	07-08 16:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	5	$965	575	575	+0	open	—	05-15 10:49
spy up or down on june 11 2026	11	$957	800	800	+0	open	—	06-11 17:02
spx up or down on june 10 2026	4	$935	546	546	+0	open	—	06-10 17:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	3	$934	485	485	+0	Up	+$34	05-12 00:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	3	$920	958	0	+958	Down	+$38	05-12 14:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$905	547	456	+91	open	—	06-01 04:04
spx up or down on june 30 2026	5	$828	507	507	+0	open	—	06-30 17:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	4	$822	449	449	+0	open	—	06-10 02:58
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	4	$821	442	442	+0	open	—	02-04 16:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$820	420	420	+0	open	—	05-22 04:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	6	$739	406	406	+0	open	—	04-29 14:50
spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	8	$724	545	545	+0	open	—	06-22 11:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	4	$641	341	341	+0	open	—	05-18 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 06:36:33	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x92bf73…
07-21 06:35:03	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x4db5d0…
07-21 06:33:49	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x7959a3…
07-21 03:21:01	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x5d88cf…
07-20 13:40:36	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x542bb1…
07-20 09:29:54	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x01abc4…
07-20 08:10:24	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x1b5c21…
07-20 00:58:49	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xbe261c…
07-20 00:51:55	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x2f6237…
07-20 00:51:28	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf85d18…
07-20 00:51:12	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x63d8c5…
07-20 00:22:42	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xa875f8…
07-20 00:21:48	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x9cd47f…
07-17 16:50:45	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xabf4a1…
07-17 16:48:04	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x193006…
07-17 16:46:25	will spy dip to 740 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb2a283…
07-17 11:43:06	will spy dip to 745 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	35	83¢	$29	0xac892b…
07-17 04:35:12	will spy dip to 745 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xdb96a2…
07-17 02:41:01	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	SELL	230	87¢	$200	0xaf5073…
07-17 02:40:40	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	SELL	134	73¢	$98	0x8949fb…
07-16 17:41:53	spy closes above 750 on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xf5b786…
07-16 17:41:29	spy closes above 750 on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x5d81dc…
07-16 14:02:41	spy closes above 750 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x685c18…
07-16 12:35:50	spy closes above 750 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x86fbcd…
07-16 12:34:59	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	70	24¢	$17	0xc0f07f…
07-16 11:18:46	lol gam t1 2026 07 16 game1	T1	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x042306…
07-16 07:21:13	spy closes above 750 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xe49a1c…
07-16 04:20:40	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0xd74968…
07-16 03:29:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	60	95¢	$58	0x81246b…
07-15 12:31:50	lol g2 fur 2026 07 15	G2 Esports	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x274204…
07-15 12:19:01	lol agal dk 2026 07 15	Dplus KIA	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x571eb6…
07-15 11:58:25	lol g2 fur 2026 07 15	G2 Esports	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xd46afb…
07-15 11:34:32	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	65	79¢	$51	0x65b1e0…
07-15 07:17:11	spy closes above 750 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xf33d60…
07-15 04:01:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x6d63a8…
07-15 03:27:46	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xe08644…
07-15 03:27:28	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x54dfee…
07-15 03:24:53	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x9cb136…
07-14 16:05:13	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	276	72¢	$199	0x398a1a…
07-14 16:04:38	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	186	56¢	$103	0x222f97…
07-14 15:23:59	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb1c25c…
07-14 15:14:17	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x9d98ed…
07-14 14:41:10	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0xd722f5…
07-14 14:36:11	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x2e60bc…
07-14 14:30:55	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x330419…
07-14 14:30:40	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc90e03…
07-14 14:10:22	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	114	52¢	$59	0xca57dd…
07-14 07:40:55	spy closes above 745 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xdb1bf8…
07-14 07:39:31	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x1e326b…
07-14 04:39:43	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x4ebf2e…
07-14 04:39:13	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	213	53¢	$113	0x15cba2…
07-14 03:20:32	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x853a85…
07-14 02:21:53	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xb3bf02…
07-13 16:57:52	spy closes above 750 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	187	49¢	$92	0x43a066…
07-13 15:16:05	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x3c6649…
07-13 14:24:40	spy closes above 750 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x2a5623…
07-13 14:18:10	spy closes above 755 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6b841a…
07-13 12:39:32	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x015d20…
07-13 11:01:50	spy up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	130	69¢	$90	0x1c22a8…
07-13 10:14:25	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x1ce37e…
07-13 10:02:52	spy closes above 750 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	126	80¢	$100	0xcbfb9c…
07-13 02:59:34	spy up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x2217af…
07-12 01:46:22	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbcd288…
07-10 17:02:14	spy closes above 745 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x4b459a…
07-10 14:52:58	spy closes above 750 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xb01d09…
07-10 10:57:31	spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	35	44¢	$16	0x78169d…
07-10 10:57:23	spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x7e5817…
07-10 10:54:43	spy closes above 750 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xb30397…
07-10 08:35:44	spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x628c13…
07-10 07:49:53	spy closes above 745 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x6493de…
07-10 05:43:22	spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x042c80…
07-09 16:44:29	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	128	97¢	$125	0xf98cae…
07-09 14:29:49	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x5b8ecd…
07-09 09:12:53	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	98	88¢	$87	0x782411…
07-09 06:28:14	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x80bcbb…
07-09 05:33:40	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	38	65¢	$24	0x88a5e8…
07-09 02:31:37	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xb2e32a…
07-09 01:12:32	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	70	85¢	$60	0x12782f…
07-08 16:28:01	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	556	91¢	$505	0x18acae…
07-08 15:04:49	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xefd3e0…
07-08 14:57:16	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xe3a073…
07-08 14:12:29	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x9904e2…
07-08 08:30:44	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game3	G2 Esports	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0x7e0753…
07-08 08:28:16	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game3	G2 Esports	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xbf8f4a…
07-08 08:25:02	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game3	G2 Esports	SELL	34	57¢	$20	0x833a06…
07-08 08:23:07	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game3	G2 Esports	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0x26175e…
07-08 08:17:56	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game3	G2 Esports	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x3aa68e…
07-08 07:25:40	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	70	75¢	$52	0x158777…
07-08 07:25:20	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	70	75¢	$52	0xabc2b8…
07-08 07:01:40	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xfbe7a1…
07-08 06:51:16	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	72	74¢	$54	0xa4f0d2…
07-08 06:31:56	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xb3d78f…
07-08 05:47:05	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Up	SELL	180	37¢	$67	0x8abd4e…
07-08 01:21:52	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	107	60¢	$64	0x206229…
07-08 01:17:10	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0xa40ff4…
07-08 01:17:04	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xec63f8…
07-07 17:50:11	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	61	60¢	$36	0x8e0ced…
07-07 17:45:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x1d5334…
07-07 17:44:44	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	62	40¢	$25	0xecaae4…
07-07 17:15:19	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x011e2f…