Bountiful-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

+$40

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

1,496

Trades

3,438

lifetime

Volume

$256.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$240

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 10:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

69% 67% +$1,418

Crypto

22% 75% +$618

Politics

5% 79% -$324

Sports

3% 72% +$100

Tech

0% 83% +$36

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes		+351	$200	68¢	$240	+$40	10-24 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	6	$3.7K	1,862	1,862	+0	Down	+$60	10-24 16:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$2.8K	2,586	2,586	+0	No	+$55	09-10 12:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?	5	$2.7K	1,336	1,336	+0	Up	+$14	10-19 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$2.6K	1,406	1,406	+0	Up	-$25	05-06 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	5	$2.4K	1,247	1,247	+0	Up	+$25	10-19 16:03
spx up or down on july 30 2026	7	$2.4K	1,487	1,123	+364	Up	+$63	07-30 15:55
spx opens up or down on september 16 2026	4	$2.3K	1,187	1,187	+0	Up	+$36	09-16 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	10	$2.2K	1,176	1,176	+0	Up	+$100	10-26 13:31
spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	10	$2.2K	1,135	1,135	+0	Up	+$36	08-05 13:37
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	6	$2.1K	1,115	1,115	+0	Up	+$114	06-08 13:18
spx opens up or down on october 14 2026	5	$2.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	Down	+$31	10-14 13:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 21?	3	$2.0K	1,006	1,006	+0	Up	+$5	09-21 13:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?	3	$1.8K	914	914	+0	Up	+$13	10-09 13:46
spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	8	$1.7K	907	907	+0	Up	+$36	08-04 13:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21?	7	$1.7K	1,048	848	+199	Up	+$30	09-21 11:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 23?	7	$1.7K	871	871	+0	Down	+$70	10-23 13:31
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 21?	7	$1.7K	854	854	+0	No	+$38	10-21 20:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$1.7K	838	838	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	4	$1.6K	826	826	+0	Down	+$25	10-22 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	2	$1.6K	812	812	+0	Up	+$11	10-20 16:00
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	16	$1.5K	1,033	1,033	+0	Up	+$173	06-11 09:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$1.5K	908	908	+0	Yes	+$103	07-29 18:05
spx opens up or down on september 11 2026	6	$1.5K	796	796	+0	Up	-$3	09-11 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	4	$1.4K	733	733	+0	Up	+$32	10-21 16:01
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	3	$1.3K	1,125	216	+909	No	+$22	10-23 02:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	4	$1.3K	674	673	+1	Down	+$22	04-27 14:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	4	$1.3K	651	651	+0	Up	+$31	05-07 17:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	3	$1.3K	827	464	+364	No	+$24	08-31 04:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10?	5	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Down	-$2	09-10 13:45
spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	10	$1.2K	756	756	+0	Down	+$79	07-22 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:14:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 27?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x770282…
10-27 11:04:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xc2b558…
10-27 10:49:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 27?	No	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0xd02a75…
10-27 10:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	115	63¢	$73	0xfa25df…
10-27 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x15e06f…
10-27 07:48:54	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x5c98d9…
10-27 07:38:36	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbe73bd…
10-27 04:12:41	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0x749ffc…
10-27 04:00:14	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x745c03…
10-27 03:46:17	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x4b62b8…
10-27 03:42:20	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0x1524dd…
10-27 03:35:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$204	0x2fce47…
10-27 03:33:26	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5	Under	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x5fdab3…
10-27 03:33:17	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5	Under	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x7e7fd8…
10-27 03:20:08	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xc3c20a…
10-27 03:14:51	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x6f1d00…
10-27 03:11:38	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5	Under	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x28b331…
10-27 03:04:30	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x635f57…
10-27 03:02:47	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x3bcf26…
10-27 02:34:15	Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5	Under	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe8897b…
10-27 02:29:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x8be4c1…
10-27 02:25:21	Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x222c31…
10-27 02:24:38	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5	Under	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x5121c1…
10-27 02:24:33	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5	Under	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xd7e53b…
10-27 02:16:35	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5	Under	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4de551…
10-27 02:11:00	Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x592ccd…
10-26 19:54:17	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0x4d68d5…
10-26 19:53:51	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x5d1cec…
10-26 19:10:15	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x2a3134…
10-26 19:09:50	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb2a14c…
10-26 18:57:38	Will NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x143839…
10-26 18:43:41	Universitatea Craiova CS leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x50fc24…
10-26 18:40:00	Will NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa224ea…
10-26 18:18:47	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 26?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x914197…
10-26 18:17:54	NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x40147e…
10-26 18:17:23	Universitatea Craiova CS leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x70c8ee…
10-26 18:04:26	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 26?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x6256f4…
10-26 17:52:54	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x2b06cc…
10-26 17:46:29	HNK Hajduk Split leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x5b9ad1…
10-26 17:42:27	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x28c754…
10-26 17:27:15	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x928a8e…
10-26 17:20:20	HNK Hajduk Split leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xdb755d…
10-26 17:18:29	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x2cc85f…
10-26 17:11:29	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	28	21¢	$6	0x4da36b…
10-26 16:48:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	246	99¢	$243	0xdec125…
10-26 16:46:53	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4ca1ff…
10-26 16:46:38	Çaykur Rizespor leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x583f88…
10-26 16:33:23	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xd7f122…
10-26 16:28:08	Çaykur Rizespor leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3b3406…
10-26 16:27:38	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe2564a…
10-26 15:59:17	Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Chennaiyin FC: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x36c04f…
10-26 15:53:17	Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Chennaiyin FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xdaee1c…
10-26 15:30:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 26?	No	SELL	115	85¢	$98	0x43f20e…
10-26 15:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	SELL	113	43¢	$49	0xa47cb6…
10-26 15:12:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 26?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x63bd9f…
10-26 14:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	SELL	113	66¢	$75	0xa28af4…
10-26 13:41:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x9a34ba…
10-26 13:37:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	123	82¢	$100	0x47e113…
10-26 13:36:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xa989c1…
10-26 13:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x95b8b1…
10-26 13:31:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	912	100¢	$911	0x410aee…
10-26 13:27:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x805d83…
10-26 13:23:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x037333…
10-26 12:56:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xfd488c…
10-26 12:56:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	69	96¢	$66	0xdd5383…
10-26 12:37:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	92	90¢	$82	0xbf87a5…
10-26 09:01:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	81	75¢	$60	0x4ea101…
10-26 08:40:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x2317b5…
10-26 08:12:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 26?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x2941a6…
10-26 08:02:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	143	58¢	$83	0x464dff…
10-26 07:44:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0x0640f9…
10-26 05:03:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x440542…
10-26 05:02:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xabd7ef…
10-26 05:01:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x2faaff…
10-26 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0xfd7bd0…
10-26 04:59:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x82d051…
10-26 04:57:45	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0fe5d0…
10-26 04:27:02	Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	SELL	33	79¢	$26	0xe96242…
10-26 04:11:54	Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x0893af…
10-26 03:56:26	Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xbbf66e…
10-26 03:51:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	207	98¢	$204	0x9f6cc6…
10-26 03:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xba6682…
10-26 03:45:23	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x8cd83c…
10-26 03:27:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x2c1870…
10-26 03:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0x354902…
10-26 03:13:24	Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x0f2f61…
10-26 03:09:54	Will AD Pasto win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x9991ed…
10-26 03:04:26	Will AD Pasto win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xb02eb0…
10-26 03:02:06	CF América vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0xe53d02…
10-26 02:53:09	Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xbc5598…
10-26 02:35:11	CF América vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xeec6fa…
10-26 02:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xb25f96…
10-26 02:22:03	Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x7b4803…
10-26 02:19:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xba941c…
10-26 02:16:30	Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x112658…
10-26 02:09:26	Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xbb3b91…
10-26 02:03:54	Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe06955…
10-25 17:23:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xeb44ff…
10-25 16:57:15	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2c2f35…
10-25 16:43:41	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x5b0a4c…