Bountiful-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$312

Unrealized P&L

-$158

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

844

lifetime

Volume

$56.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

74% 94% +$257

Politics

15% 100% +$52

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$3

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+200	$158	0¢	$0	$-158	06-07 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$2.6K	1,406	1,406	+0	Up	$-25	05-06 13:09
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	6	$2.1K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	06-08 13:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$1.7K	838	838	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 15:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	4	$1.3K	674	673	+1	open	—	04-27 14:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	4	$1.3K	651	651	+0	Up	+$31	05-07 17:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	8	$1.2K	743	743	+0	open	—	05-18 14:58
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	6	$1.1K	621	621	+0	open	—	06-09 13:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$1.1K	688	688	+0	open	—	05-18 18:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	6	$1.1K	571	571	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 13:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	11	$1.1K	603	603	+0	open	—	05-19 14:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	5	$1.0K	559	559	+0	open	—	05-20 13:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	7	$1.0K	622	622	+0	open	—	05-21 13:38
spy up or down on june 9 2026	4	$1.0K	540	665	-125	open	—	06-09 17:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	5	$965	575	575	+0	open	—	05-15 10:49
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	3	$934	485	485	+0	Up	+$34	05-12 00:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	3	$920	958	0	+958	Down	+$38	05-12 14:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$905	547	456	+91	open	—	06-01 04:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	4	$822	449	449	+0	open	—	06-10 02:58
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	4	$821	442	442	+0	open	—	02-04 16:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$820	420	420	+0	open	—	05-22 04:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	6	$739	406	406	+0	open	—	04-29 14:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	4	$641	341	341	+0	open	—	05-18 15:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	4	$558	288	288	+0	Down	+$18	05-04 15:47
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	3	$521	273	272	+1	open	—	04-22 13:42
spx up or down on april 21 2026	4	$460	241	240	+1	open	—	04-22 00:51
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	6	$433	280	280	+0	open	—	05-20 02:31
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$424	225	225	+0	open	—	06-01 04:03
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	4	$417	243	243	+0	open	—	02-06 13:19
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	2	$412	213	212	+1	open	—	04-20 13:36
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	2	$402	227	227	+0	open	—	02-03 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:08:55	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xb1218f…
06-10 02:58:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	449	94¢	$422	0x8a3b32…
06-10 02:14:10	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0xf52ff3…
06-09 17:41:25	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	665	91¢	$607	0xde5b33…
06-09 15:25:36	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x91c257…
06-09 15:02:46	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0x6afad1…
06-09 14:54:18	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x4d0576…
06-09 14:53:15	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x304bc3…
06-09 13:01:55	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	535	100¢	$534	0x8e1a56…
06-09 13:01:45	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xc449a8…
06-09 10:45:28	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x0d71b1…
06-09 08:34:12	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xf2a820…
06-09 05:47:04	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x751ca0…
06-09 04:37:18	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x7b8369…
06-09 03:44:12	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xde7b3c…
06-09 03:43:04	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xefb950…
06-09 02:53:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xf8875d…
06-08 17:08:39	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	116	90¢	$105	0x680c23…
06-08 15:24:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xb63917…
06-08 13:37:52	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x87d1b1…
06-08 13:18:48	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	1,115	100¢	$1,114	0x07da6c…
06-08 12:13:04	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xe1841e…
06-08 11:16:19	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xef8dc8…
06-08 10:57:46	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game2	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	54	78¢	$42	0x456070…
06-08 10:42:25	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game2	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x293f47…
06-08 10:00:43	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	339	89¢	$300	0x95c75c…
06-08 09:49:57	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x4adc20…
06-08 07:24:31	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xbab84d…
06-08 07:13:09	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xb30891…
06-08 03:16:15	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	133	61¢	$81	0x83a88f…
06-08 02:55:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	111	85¢	$95	0xa0c067…
06-08 02:48:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	134	76¢	$102	0x82d433…
06-08 02:23:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	129	76¢	$98	0x5218a5…
06-08 01:31:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	110	40¢	$44	0xcdbe23…
06-07 15:01:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	154	79¢	$121	0x698c49…
06-07 15:00:54	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	46	79¢	$36	0x0d5e90…
06-07 13:21:36	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x1c12b2…
06-07 10:06:00	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game3	Dplus KIA	SELL	29	40¢	$11	0x85233b…
06-07 09:59:48	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game3	Dplus KIA	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe15b7a…
06-07 09:32:57	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	Top Esports	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x55897a…
06-07 09:17:58	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	Top Esports	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x2d47b1…
06-07 09:16:27	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game2	Dplus KIA	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x7440bc…
06-07 09:05:22	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game2	Dplus KIA	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x516d05…
06-07 02:37:48	will trump say kuwait this week	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x4608cf…
06-06 13:56:16	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	285	96¢	$274	0x582445…
06-06 13:56:06	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	238	97¢	$230	0x9f47b7…
06-06 12:37:15	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game4	JD Gaming	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xc98ea3…
06-06 12:26:48	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game4	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xcd6d88…
06-06 12:26:31	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game4	JD Gaming	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x1db972…
06-06 12:25:13	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game4	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0x83d7d1…
06-06 12:23:12	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x695491…
06-06 12:00:54	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game3	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7055dd…
06-06 11:41:13	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game3	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x2c54e5…
06-06 09:45:10	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game1	JD Gaming	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x13c671…
06-06 09:22:55	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game1	JD Gaming	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdd289c…
06-05 15:17:28	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xc1c36d…
06-05 13:52:28	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5d99c6…
06-05 12:20:48	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x4e1cc7…
06-05 07:27:22	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xe1c560…
06-04 11:00:54	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x18253f…
06-04 08:29:19	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xfa7548…
06-04 06:37:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xcc3e80…
06-02 14:37:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x1b02e2…
06-02 12:15:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xed60ad…
06-02 12:14:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0xe0132b…
06-02 07:51:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x1433a3…
06-02 07:50:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x0279a3…
06-02 05:36:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	63	65¢	$41	0x0477b6…
06-02 02:30:35	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xbde551…
06-02 02:26:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x35deef…
06-02 01:58:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x93dd1b…
06-01 17:41:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x849148…
06-01 16:51:36	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x1469e3…
06-01 13:15:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x8c521e…
06-01 06:58:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xdafb57…
06-01 04:04:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	456	100¢	$455	0x295d75…
06-01 04:04:17	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x4a0b4a…
06-01 04:03:58	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x4f7c4f…
06-01 04:03:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0xfaddfc…
06-01 04:03:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	86¢	$105	0x6c96e5…
06-01 02:16:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x77314e…
05-31 15:42:59	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x1d891a…
05-31 15:00:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	120	73¢	$87	0xedaf6b…
05-31 04:48:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x6cbdcb…
05-31 02:30:38	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0xb0c5b1…
05-30 13:40:05	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	Team WE	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x37e072…
05-30 13:29:12	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	Team WE	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdd7b95…
05-30 13:18:09	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	Team WE	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xd2276a…
05-30 11:09:30	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	Team WE	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xea011d…
05-30 11:09:30	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	Team WE	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8c680c…
05-30 11:09:30	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	Team WE	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x11b6e5…
05-30 11:08:53	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	Team WE	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x213738…
05-30 10:53:55	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	BNK FEARX	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x5fabf7…
05-30 10:45:14	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x5fbd4c…
05-30 10:18:24	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x4b83ab…
05-30 04:43:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xdd2026…
05-30 04:42:06	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xfb7ddd…
05-30 03:48:56	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb421f9…
05-30 03:48:09	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0xaea35e…
05-30 03:44:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x6a0b28…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	183	$6.83M	15,012	06-10 02:59
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	163	$25.9K	3,496	06-08 08:06
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	162	$24.8K	5,739	06-10 03:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	159	$408.4K	36,038	06-01 04:51
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	152	$182.6K	15,369	06-10 02:55
Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a	148	$3.85K	1,513	05-31 02:25
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	142	$598.0K	11,882	06-10 02:34
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	130	$40.2K	12,957	06-10 03:34