Bountiful-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$312

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,069

lifetime

Volume

$73.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

77% 94% +$257

Politics

12% 100% +$52

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$3

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$2.6K	1,406	1,406	+0	Up	$-25	05-06 13:09
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	6	$2.1K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	06-08 13:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$1.7K	838	838	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 15:06
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	16	$1.5K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	06-11 09:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	4	$1.3K	674	673	+1	open	—	04-27 14:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	4	$1.3K	651	651	+0	Up	+$31	05-07 17:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	8	$1.2K	743	743	+0	open	—	05-18 14:58
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	6	$1.1K	621	621	+0	open	—	06-09 13:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$1.1K	688	688	+0	open	—	05-18 18:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	6	$1.1K	571	571	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 13:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	11	$1.1K	603	603	+0	open	—	05-19 14:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	5	$1.0K	559	559	+0	open	—	05-20 13:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	7	$1.0K	622	622	+0	open	—	05-21 13:38
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	6	$1.0K	620	620	+0	open	—	06-10 11:54
spy up or down on june 9 2026	4	$1.0K	540	665	-125	open	—	06-09 17:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	5	$965	575	575	+0	open	—	05-15 10:49
spy up or down on june 11 2026	11	$957	800	800	+0	open	—	06-11 17:02
spx up or down on june 10 2026	4	$935	546	546	+0	open	—	06-10 17:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	3	$934	485	485	+0	Up	+$34	05-12 00:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	3	$920	958	0	+958	Down	+$38	05-12 14:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$905	547	456	+91	open	—	06-01 04:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	4	$822	449	449	+0	open	—	06-10 02:58
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	4	$821	442	442	+0	open	—	02-04 16:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$820	420	420	+0	open	—	05-22 04:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	6	$739	406	406	+0	open	—	04-29 14:50
spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	8	$724	545	545	+0	open	—	06-22 11:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	4	$641	341	341	+0	open	—	05-18 15:17
spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	7	$639	416	416	+0	open	—	06-17 12:34
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	6	$623	701	701	+0	open	—	06-13 00:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	4	$558	288	288	+0	Down	+$18	05-04 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:25:56	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xb70860…
06-30 12:24:32	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	150	49¢	$74	0xd4808a…
06-30 12:24:05	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	37	58¢	$21	0x7401e3…
06-30 10:58:55	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x0455aa…
06-30 10:15:46	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x28c7d3…
06-30 08:18:28	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	149	53¢	$79	0x0d5cf6…
06-30 05:15:49	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x02fdc7…
06-29 18:20:52	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	65	70¢	$45	0x923a06…
06-29 17:39:32	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x1ff859…
06-29 17:21:41	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 first half team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x606d3c…
06-29 14:14:53	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x8f8e84…
06-29 14:03:02	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xbcec25…
06-29 14:02:43	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9fd686…
06-29 07:03:07	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	235	90¢	$211	0x29e842…
06-29 05:44:19	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x7b5bb5…
06-29 02:06:43	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	47	22¢	$10	0x5efd91…
06-28 16:55:22	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xaf737c…
06-28 16:55:02	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb7c139…
06-28 16:54:43	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xabb0db…
06-28 16:54:23	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf2f156…
06-28 16:54:05	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7171d2…
06-28 16:53:28	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xae8b08…
06-26 17:25:26	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	58	65¢	$38	0x3d0336…
06-26 17:08:53	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xb56670…
06-26 06:47:19	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	218	84¢	$183	0xf21478…
06-26 02:13:43	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0x17e2bf…
06-26 01:46:52	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc3cedb…
06-26 01:46:11	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x769cf4…
06-25 16:33:46	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	61	52¢	$32	0xe2a0e3…
06-25 16:16:44	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x3e29ec…
06-25 15:17:29	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	68	47¢	$32	0x288934…
06-25 15:08:40	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x0898ba…
06-25 12:57:58	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0x0a149e…
06-24 23:40:40	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x8a2834…
06-24 12:52:34	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	71	93¢	$66	0x963775…
06-24 08:48:26	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	71	70¢	$50	0x173f28…
06-24 04:49:50	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x1f6914…
06-24 04:49:17	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x8d6755…
06-24 03:59:11	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x7baafa…
06-24 03:34:20	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x9e9518…
06-23 10:53:22	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0x9e165b…
06-23 09:38:14	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x954d88…
06-23 02:25:20	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xaba660…
06-23 00:50:16	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x39591e…
06-23 00:41:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x6174fb…
06-22 17:56:26	spx up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	62	87¢	$54	0x585d18…
06-22 14:56:10	spx up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x887063…
06-22 11:06:01	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	192	40¢	$77	0x6e6cde…
06-22 10:31:38	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xa24291…
06-22 09:53:17	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0xb7ca23…
06-22 08:54:23	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xe8e917…
06-22 06:25:53	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	353	76¢	$268	0x238f07…
06-22 04:28:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	SELL	66	74¢	$49	0xe1a838…
06-22 03:09:34	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x7ccc7b…
06-22 03:00:46	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd5e2e3…
06-22 02:51:20	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xbbc14d…
06-22 02:39:40	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x1d2ac9…
06-22 02:24:31	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x692867…
06-22 02:22:34	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	247	68¢	$168	0xa9ff14…
06-22 01:44:11	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xf8181a…
06-21 17:15:38	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0x0dc099…
06-21 17:15:28	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x5ebf6f…
06-21 16:50:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x25168c…
06-21 16:18:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xd55068…
06-21 01:35:41	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x476298…
06-21 01:34:11	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xc9b090…
06-20 14:08:47	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	72	65¢	$47	0xce1733…
06-20 01:50:11	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xb21c4d…
06-20 01:14:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xb330c9…
06-20 00:24:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	120	63¢	$76	0x64969f…
06-19 16:45:47	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x076817…
06-19 16:37:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9bdef9…
06-19 16:24:52	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x356229…
06-19 02:49:58	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x485373…
06-19 02:33:25	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x744b7d…
06-18 17:58:34	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x758ea2…
06-18 17:56:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xc25368…
06-18 17:40:34	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xe89a07…
06-18 11:37:05	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x5c5beb…
06-18 04:47:49	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	58	76¢	$44	0x44c6ce…
06-18 03:31:38	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x6a04bf…
06-18 03:26:52	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x4f19f9…
06-18 03:20:52	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x0a40b9…
06-18 03:20:35	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x3a89fa…
06-18 02:58:31	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xd73ccd…
06-18 02:36:52	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xfd427c…
06-18 02:31:55	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xf11cd6…
06-18 01:14:59	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xbe69a3…
06-18 01:14:08	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xeaa079…
06-17 12:34:08	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x07794d…
06-17 11:13:26	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x7bd35f…
06-17 10:03:08	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	64	61¢	$39	0x35543d…
06-17 09:24:32	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xb597e6…
06-17 09:01:19	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xaf696c…
06-17 08:13:02	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	293	85¢	$249	0x3a31d7…
06-17 05:58:53	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x442419…
06-17 03:48:50	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x31492c…
06-17 03:31:36	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	145	68¢	$99	0x1f72b0…
06-17 01:48:01	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xb0af58…
06-17 01:35:43	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6a2384…