Bountiful-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$312

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,428

lifetime

Volume

$105.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 17:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

83% 94% +$257

Politics

9% 100% +$52

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$2.6K	1,406	1,406	+0	Up	$-25	05-06 13:09
spx up or down on july 30 2026	7	$2.4K	1,487	1,123	+364	open	—	07-30 15:55
spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	10	$2.2K	1,135	1,135	+0	open	—	08-05 13:37
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	6	$2.1K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	06-08 13:18
spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	8	$1.7K	907	907	+0	open	—	08-04 13:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$1.7K	838	838	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 15:06
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	16	$1.5K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	06-11 09:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	4	$1.3K	674	673	+1	open	—	04-27 14:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	4	$1.3K	651	651	+0	Up	+$31	05-07 17:27
spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	10	$1.2K	756	756	+0	open	—	07-22 12:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	8	$1.2K	743	743	+0	open	—	05-18 14:58
spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	9	$1.1K	703	703	+0	open	—	07-07 13:15
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	6	$1.1K	621	621	+0	open	—	06-09 13:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$1.1K	688	688	+0	open	—	05-18 18:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	6	$1.1K	571	571	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 13:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	11	$1.1K	603	603	+0	open	—	05-19 14:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	5	$1.0K	559	559	+0	open	—	05-20 13:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	7	$1.0K	622	622	+0	open	—	05-21 13:38
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	6	$1.0K	620	620	+0	open	—	06-10 11:54
spy up or down on june 9 2026	4	$1.0K	540	665	-125	open	—	06-09 17:41
spy up or down on july 8 2026	4	$1.0K	556	556	+0	open	—	07-08 16:28
spy closes above 740 on july 30 2026	11	$976	790	790	+0	open	—	07-30 17:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	5	$965	575	575	+0	open	—	05-15 10:49
spy up or down on june 11 2026	11	$957	800	800	+0	open	—	06-11 17:02
spx up or down on june 10 2026	4	$935	546	546	+0	open	—	06-10 17:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	3	$934	485	485	+0	Up	+$34	05-12 00:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	3	$920	958	0	+958	Down	+$38	05-12 14:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$905	547	456	+91	open	—	06-01 04:04
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	6	$837	530	530	+0	open	—	07-27 07:13
spx up or down on june 30 2026	5	$828	507	507	+0	open	—	06-30 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:14:45	spx opens up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0xc57cec…
08-07 17:27:49	spx up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x1ac3b9…
08-07 14:14:21	will xagusd dip to 54 in august 2026	No	SELL	160	85¢	$136	0x843af9…
08-07 14:14:06	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	SELL	128	86¢	$110	0x2e1a50…
08-07 14:13:54	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	SELL	232	92¢	$214	0x41f665…
08-07 13:45:00	spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	Up	SELL	326	100¢	$325	0xa58a4c…
08-07 09:26:42	spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xe3b491…
08-07 09:14:03	spy closes above 765 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x842c38…
08-07 09:11:54	spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x693fe8…
08-07 08:07:57	spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x3ede36…
08-07 01:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	169	59¢	$100	0x963d00…
08-06 16:56:05	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0x0a068b…
08-06 16:43:00	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	144	70¢	$101	0x7b6274…
08-06 16:16:41	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x9394ef…
08-06 16:02:03	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xab4667…
08-06 08:54:51	spy closes above 760 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x258606…
08-05 16:04:03	amzn up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x095cd6…
08-05 14:24:14	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	135	81¢	$109	0x5a4aaf…
08-05 14:19:53	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x356881…
08-05 14:11:35	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0xcf2e69…
08-05 14:11:21	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x559dbb…
08-05 13:51:44	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xb86ce1…
08-05 13:50:47	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	122	72¢	$88	0x93bb54…
08-05 13:43:35	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x431318…
08-05 13:37:54	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	882	100¢	$881	0xb83075…
08-05 12:17:23	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	513	97¢	$500	0xa432fb…
08-05 12:16:48	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	308	97¢	$300	0x80139d…
08-05 12:10:57	will xagusd dip to 54 in august 2026	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xe9cd46…
08-05 09:02:00	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x83fc97…
08-05 07:31:11	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	63	88¢	$56	0xc74289…
08-05 07:29:57	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	SELL	190	88¢	$168	0x0d7036…
08-05 05:50:45	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	111	87¢	$97	0xe9c8ba…
08-05 05:27:47	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xb4062c…
08-05 03:12:45	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xda9947…
08-05 03:11:23	spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x0ce99f…
08-04 17:10:23	meta up or down on august 4 2026	Down	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x5f47c9…
08-04 15:58:29	meta up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x701a49…
08-04 15:57:11	msft up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x44af80…
08-04 15:56:33	will xagusd dip to 54 in august 2026	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xdace09…
08-04 15:45:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x1b9855…
08-04 13:49:09	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x6866f4…
08-04 13:44:27	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x01435a…
08-04 13:44:17	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xfa002f…
08-04 13:44:02	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	829	100¢	$828	0xe91679…
08-04 13:38:12	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x0b3ac3…
08-04 12:37:05	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xb38693…
08-04 11:57:08	wti up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe58de7…
08-04 11:51:30	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x990d0a…
08-04 11:47:23	ndx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe15ac9…
08-04 11:28:00	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0xd1e55c…
08-04 09:31:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xc7710d…
08-04 09:28:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x697918…
08-04 09:02:33	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0x3cb303…
08-04 02:38:29	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x0a9f99…
08-04 01:49:42	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7df094…
08-04 01:47:20	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x841718…
08-03 16:32:48	spy closes above 745 on august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x9fd91b…
08-03 16:32:24	aapl close above 310 on august 3 2026	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x394309…
08-03 16:32:12	aapl close above 300 on august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	159	96¢	$153	0xf851ed…
08-03 16:31:47	aapl up or down on august 3 2026	Down	SELL	176	74¢	$130	0x8ae8b2…
08-03 15:26:33	spy closes above 755 on august 3 2026	No	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0x467c51…
08-03 14:07:20	aapl up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7f2dc0…
08-03 14:01:29	aapl up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x868050…
08-03 13:55:03	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x522320…
08-03 13:52:12	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xfaaa39…
08-03 13:51:59	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x71f432…
08-03 13:51:51	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe089f2…
08-03 13:51:12	aapl close above 300 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x1af663…
08-03 13:47:14	aapl close above 310 on august 3 2026	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xeee782…
08-03 13:45:51	aapl close above 305 on august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	27	53¢	$14	0x86f27a…
08-03 13:43:03	aapl up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xaf95e9…
08-03 13:41:23	aapl close above 300 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x850378…
08-03 13:40:42	aapl close above 305 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x197667…
08-03 13:39:06	spy closes above 745 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xf15a65…
08-03 13:38:20	spy closes above 755 on august 3 2026	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x748e34…
08-03 06:39:03	spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	Up	SELL	113	95¢	$108	0xd1c002…
08-03 00:59:47	spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	Down	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x132cd5…
08-03 00:59:24	spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	108	83¢	$90	0x93364c…
08-02 04:05:36	aapl close above 300 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x4b92e1…
08-02 02:51:08	spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x34acf0…
08-02 01:31:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	139	66¢	$92	0x03e80b…
08-02 01:28:41	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	SELL	78	23¢	$17	0x1d2c3a…
08-01 16:58:30	spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x57846f…
08-01 16:43:20	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	78	65¢	$50	0x7ab42b…
07-31 16:34:45	spx up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x0f3c9b…
07-31 13:37:23	spy closes above 750 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xf52be0…
07-31 13:19:24	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd47ff2…
07-31 13:15:15	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x75ddb2…
07-31 11:36:05	aapl up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0810c7…
07-31 11:34:00	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	104	90¢	$94	0x0b386d…
07-31 08:49:20	aapl up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xee32de…
07-31 08:48:29	googl up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb67d42…
07-31 08:15:54	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc4fc1b…
07-31 04:57:17	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x4fb00d…
07-30 17:01:17	spy closes above 740 on july 30 2026	No	SELL	190	48¢	$91	0x22279f…
07-30 17:01:09	spy closes above 740 on july 30 2026	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x5877e7…
07-30 17:01:03	spy closes above 740 on july 30 2026	No	SELL	200	47¢	$95	0x497a14…
07-30 17:00:57	spy closes above 740 on july 30 2026	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x2077d8…
07-30 15:55:45	spx up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x58bbaf…
07-30 15:40:26	googl up or down on july 30 2026	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x1b4f08…