Bountiful-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

+$53

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

1,602

Trades

3,729

lifetime

Volume

$298.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$1.31K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 00:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Other

69% 67% +$1,196

Crypto

22% 75% +$515

Politics

7% 79% -$238

Sports

3% 71% -$133

Tech

0% 83% +$36

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	No		+819	$800	99¢	$808	+$8	11-07 01:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes		+658	$458	76¢	$503	+$45	11-07 00:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	6	$3.7K	1,862	1,862	+0	Down	+$60	10-24 16:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$3.0K	1,540	1,540	+0	Yes	+$62	11-04 01:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$2.8K	2,586	2,586	+0	No	+$55	09-10 12:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?	5	$2.7K	1,336	1,336	+0	Up	+$14	10-19 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$2.6K	1,406	1,406	+0	Up	-$25	05-06 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	5	$2.4K	1,247	1,247	+0	Up	+$25	10-19 16:03
spx up or down on july 30 2026	7	$2.4K	1,487	1,123	+364	Up	+$63	07-30 15:55
spx opens up or down on september 16 2026	4	$2.3K	1,187	1,187	+0	Up	+$36	09-16 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 27?	5	$2.3K	1,171	1,171	+0	Up	+$20	10-27 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	10	$2.2K	1,176	1,176	+0	Up	+$100	10-26 13:31
spx opens up or down on august 5 2026	10	$2.2K	1,135	1,135	+0	Up	+$36	08-05 13:37
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	6	$2.1K	1,115	1,115	+0	Up	+$114	06-08 13:18
spx opens up or down on october 14 2026	5	$2.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	Down	+$31	10-14 13:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 21?	3	$2.0K	1,006	1,006	+0	Up	+$5	09-21 13:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?	3	$1.8K	914	914	+0	Up	+$13	10-09 13:46
spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	8	$1.7K	907	907	+0	Up	+$36	08-04 13:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21?	7	$1.7K	1,048	848	+199	Up	+$30	09-21 11:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 23?	7	$1.7K	871	871	+0	Down	+$70	10-23 13:31
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 21?	7	$1.7K	854	854	+0	No	+$38	10-21 20:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$1.7K	838	838	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	4	$1.6K	826	826	+0	Down	+$25	10-22 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	2	$1.6K	812	812	+0	Up	+$11	10-20 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	3	$1.6K	805	805	+0	Up	+$24	11-04 17:02
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	16	$1.5K	1,033	1,033	+0	Up	+$173	06-11 09:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$1.5K	908	908	+0	Yes	+$103	07-29 18:05
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	5	$1.5K	773	773	+0	Yes	+$72	10-29 20:00
spx opens up or down on september 11 2026	6	$1.5K	796	796	+0	Up	-$3	09-11 13:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	6	$1.4K	786	786	+0	Up	+$122	11-06 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	4	$1.4K	733	733	+0	Up	+$32	10-21 16:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 4?	4	$1.4K	729	729	+0	Up	+$28	11-04 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 01:04:22	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	819	98¢	$800	0x8a2516…
11-07 01:00:52	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	411	13¢	$55	0xa46fec…
11-07 00:46:13	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	T1	SELL	68	8¢	$5	0xd2e844…
11-07 00:36:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0x55c228…
11-07 00:14:22	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	632	96¢	$605	0x1d6a1f…
11-06 23:30:12	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	T1	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x426fdc…
11-06 23:21:00	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x685961…
11-06 23:13:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of November 2 2026?	No	SELL	414	100¢	$413	0xb1d684…
11-06 22:52:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	786	100¢	$785	0xcdd91b…
11-06 14:52:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1dd3ac…
11-06 14:51:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 6?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x334ba8…
11-06 14:51:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 6?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xa1bd2e…
11-06 14:49:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x41eb21…
11-06 14:46:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	354	85¢	$300	0x97eaf6…
11-06 14:41:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x4c516c…
11-06 14:40:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0x82edd2…
11-06 14:38:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	515	100¢	$515	0xe88a3d…
11-06 14:37:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 6?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7de66a…
11-06 14:29:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xe1105f…
11-06 14:02:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 6?	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x9266c4…
11-06 13:57:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1427e3…
11-06 04:50:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	314	100¢	$313	0x70a382…
11-06 02:36:43	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	632	95¢	$600	0xe7d858…
11-06 02:28:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7c0299…
11-06 02:22:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0xb48cf3…
11-05 19:26:15	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	No	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xb37953…
11-05 19:25:23	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd8c4ab…
11-05 19:22:30	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xf6f16b…
11-05 19:17:50	AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x5d8294…
11-05 19:07:58	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x15b030…
11-05 18:35:04	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xaa1b28…
11-05 18:29:07	AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x570036…
11-05 18:07:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of November 2 2026?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xa3bf2d…
11-05 18:06:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of November 2 2026?	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x950ad6…
11-05 18:06:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of November 2 2026?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x464ec3…
11-05 17:15:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $300 Week of November 2 2026?	No	SELL	211	81¢	$171	0x9d57a0…
11-05 16:29:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x528aa4…
11-05 15:54:54	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $300 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xcb4a4a…
11-05 15:53:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $300 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x566024…
11-05 15:43:24	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	602	86¢	$518	0xa6978a…
11-05 14:58:49	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on November 6?	No	SELL	111	89¢	$98	0x19994b…
11-05 14:47:16	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on November 6?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xc66427…
11-05 14:44:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	193	60¢	$116	0x6a03dc…
11-05 14:44:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xfbf293…
11-05 14:41:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xa208b5…
11-05 14:37:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x5d4c5e…
11-05 14:36:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x8c0e85…
11-05 14:32:28	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xdb77bc…
11-05 14:30:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 5?	Down	SELL	284	99¢	$281	0x7ef1ac…
11-05 14:30:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xcb174e…
11-05 14:25:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xc4f814…
11-05 14:21:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x873707…
11-05 14:09:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x044a61…
11-05 13:44:48	googl close above 300 on november 6 2026	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xaef1d3…
11-05 13:03:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on November 5?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xad6432…
11-05 12:59:30	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8e90ab…
11-05 12:59:21	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa0fcb5…
11-05 12:59:15	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc66d45…
11-05 12:59:06	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2fe805…
11-05 12:23:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	59	62¢	$37	0x06ebda…
11-05 12:23:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	62	64¢	$40	0x7d2e46…
11-05 12:09:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	121	82¢	$100	0xa786d9…
11-05 11:22:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xc0dfcc…
11-05 10:28:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on November 5?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xca7f5e…
11-05 10:27:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on November 5?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x98c4d2…
11-05 09:09:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x210dcd…
11-05 09:08:19	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x32960a…
11-05 06:15:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	SELL	86	58¢	$50	0x3089fc…
11-05 04:54:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xd13cf8…
11-05 03:37:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xa652cf…
11-05 03:27:34	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0xcfad01…
11-05 03:23:43	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x0a3ac0…
11-05 03:13:03	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x814a50…
11-05 02:38:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xaebfdb…
11-04 19:53:43	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xebcc53…
11-04 19:40:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x0236d0…
11-04 19:37:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x49635b…
11-04 19:36:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x3a6508…
11-04 19:35:58	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xfad13d…
11-04 19:25:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb2ee0c…
11-04 19:25:04	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x009b41…
11-04 19:22:19	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x6f85ef…
11-04 19:21:12	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0x77f974…
11-04 19:20:36	Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	36	54¢	$20	0x01e9c5…
11-04 19:19:48	Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xcb5ae6…
11-04 19:18:54	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	37	79¢	$29	0xd034c5…
11-04 19:16:10	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x28d119…
11-04 19:15:21	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x9df1e6…
11-04 18:19:52	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x4a172c…
11-04 18:19:16	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0x1cd5e7…
11-04 18:14:31	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xe727c5…
11-04 18:06:18	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x12859a…
11-04 17:58:00	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x43fc42…
11-04 17:54:54	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xdaa7c2…
11-04 17:21:45	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x9b46ce…
11-04 17:10:42	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x4947f4…
11-04 17:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	805	100¢	$804	0x9b54f2…
11-04 15:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	392	97¢	$380	0x29e458…
11-04 15:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0x7a4527…
11-04 14:48:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x25bb4d…