Hasty-Line — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$116

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,304

lifetime

Volume

$341.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$262

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-09 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$202

Other

41% 100% +$17

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-103

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	77	$33.6K	59,089	62,411	-3,322	open	—	03-10 18:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$29.3K	16,469	16,469	+0	open	—	04-24 16:19
spx up or down on march 3 2026	39	$15.1K	7,862	7,862	+0	open	—	03-03 20:48
spx opens up or down on january 30 2026	7	$13.1K	6,824	6,824	+0	open	—	01-30 14:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$12.3K	8,530	8,530	+0	open	—	06-01 17:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	15	$10.5K	12,643	17,643	-5,000	open	—	04-26 18:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$10.4K	9,833	9,833	+0	open	—	03-07 20:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$10.1K	7,725	7,725	+0	open	—	05-29 00:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$9.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	04-22 16:23
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	42	$9.3K	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	06-08 15:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$9.2K	4,679	4,679	+0	open	—	04-07 23:34
will solana reach 130 january 26 1	4	$8.4K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	01-28 13:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	8	$7.6K	5,799	2,000	+3,799	open	—	05-13 00:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$7.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-10 20:15
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	4	$6.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	18	$6.3K	8,523	8,523	+0	open	—	01-30 16:11
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	9	$6.2K	4,190	4,190	+0	open	—	02-23 13:58
iran closes its airspace by june 8	22	$5.5K	3,900	3,900	+0	open	—	06-08 03:09
will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	11	$5.1K	3,150	3,149	+1	open	—	02-03 01:58
spx up or down on february 26 2026	6	$5.0K	2,563	2,563	+0	open	—	02-26 20:49
spx up or down on march 2 2026	34	$4.9K	5,553	5,553	+0	open	—	03-02 20:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	7	$4.7K	5,288	0	+5,288	open	—	05-28 14:57
spx up or down on february 12 2026	2	$4.4K	2,218	2,218	+0	open	—	02-12 23:46
cbb umass akron 2026 02 13	7	$4.2K	2,130	2,130	+0	open	—	02-14 04:33
cbb ohio miaoh 2026 02 13	4	$4.1K	2,110	2,110	+0	open	—	02-14 04:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	4	$3.7K	1,916	1,916	-0	open	—	05-14 13:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	9	$3.5K	2,021	2,021	+0	open	—	05-16 10:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$3.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	06-09 16:40
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$3.3K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	03-08 21:17
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 26 1	2	$3.2K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	01-30 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:40:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	9,089	33¢	$2,999	0x390c34…
06-09 16:39:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	911	33¢	$301	0x04f3f7…
06-09 15:18:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,000	23¢	$1,380	0xe8b31d…
06-09 02:56:10	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	1,000	75¢	$750	0xbd0c31…
06-09 01:52:04	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x6392e4…
06-09 01:26:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x6871f3…
06-09 01:26:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	213	53¢	$113	0x43ee94…
06-09 01:26:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xe79020…
06-09 01:26:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe16d6d…
06-09 01:26:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x98a4c4…
06-09 01:26:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	647	53¢	$343	0x539fb1…
06-08 15:04:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	3,862	85¢	$3,283	0xefd2dc…
06-08 15:04:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x12a1f3…
06-08 15:04:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x3fc3e3…
06-08 15:04:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x0848aa…
06-08 15:04:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x8f9629…
06-08 15:04:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7a250a…
06-08 15:04:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1e7bd2…
06-08 15:04:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xaebb35…
06-08 15:04:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbdffa4…
06-08 15:04:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbb5494…
06-08 15:04:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x08b721…
06-08 15:04:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd11204…
06-08 15:04:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x61944c…
06-08 15:04:15	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x21d254…
06-08 15:04:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x25bde0…
06-08 15:04:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7b0c19…
06-08 15:04:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xed05f2…
06-08 15:04:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd72f6c…
06-08 15:04:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9b8614…
06-08 15:04:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xea8a6d…
06-08 15:04:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x0e9515…
06-08 15:04:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x476916…
06-08 15:03:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x62e197…
06-08 15:03:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xff4d7b…
06-08 15:03:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xae678a…
06-08 15:03:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x682921…
06-08 15:03:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2d499d…
06-08 15:03:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x8fd2f3…
06-08 15:03:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd21ba8…
06-08 15:03:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa7e2b0…
06-08 12:51:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0x50412c…
06-08 12:09:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	88	70¢	$62	0xc73369…
06-08 12:08:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	333	70¢	$233	0xb5f15c…
06-08 12:08:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0xfff9e5…
06-08 12:07:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	578	70¢	$405	0xb43364…
06-08 12:06:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	148	75¢	$111	0x618c95…
06-08 12:06:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	781	75¢	$586	0xf41b0b…
06-08 12:05:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xfe154f…
06-08 12:05:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0xc551db…
06-08 11:19:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	343	75¢	$257	0x79bc91…
06-08 11:19:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	2,157	75¢	$1,618	0x213e9f…
06-08 03:09:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	2,100	100¢	$2,096	0x453f45…
06-08 02:11:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	2,500	44¢	$1,100	0xfe5acb…
06-08 00:37:57	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	622	66¢	$411	0xd3bd8d…
06-08 00:37:48	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xc91ec3…
06-08 00:37:40	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0xe53b9d…
06-08 00:37:19	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x568000…
06-08 00:31:49	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x15e249…
06-08 00:31:33	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	39	66¢	$26	0x95e196…
06-08 00:31:22	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	113	66¢	$75	0x21a645…
06-08 00:31:13	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	90	66¢	$59	0x5ddf09…
06-08 00:31:10	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x42f897…
06-08 00:21:24	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	1,000	61¢	$609	0x86b89f…
06-07 21:33:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x69e8a1…
06-07 21:33:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xfa4372…
06-07 21:33:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xedd31c…
06-07 21:33:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc9be77…
06-07 21:33:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb2555d…
06-07 21:33:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xa9bee2…
06-07 21:33:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x358636…
06-07 21:33:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x1bf69e…
06-07 21:33:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xba4bde…
06-07 21:33:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7f36f0…
06-07 21:33:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	217	95¢	$206	0x4b3599…
06-07 21:33:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3bb58c…
06-07 20:16:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1,800	41¢	$743	0xaa9a30…
06-07 19:40:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	40¢	$398	0x15877a…
06-07 19:40:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	418	38¢	$159	0xd06460…
06-07 19:39:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0x6245f9…
06-07 19:39:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0x765947…
06-07 19:39:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf91ffb…
06-07 19:39:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x8dc97c…
06-07 19:39:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xfdf992…
06-07 19:39:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0xde8b4e…
06-07 13:44:46	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	1,696	50¢	$848	0x001f24…
06-07 12:56:21	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3d2b1c…
06-07 12:52:55	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x235981…
06-07 12:52:55	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x186722…
06-07 12:36:36	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x68e3c8…
06-07 12:36:25	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x721518…
06-07 12:36:15	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x86f22c…
06-07 12:34:28	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e7103…
06-07 12:29:03	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x129044…
06-07 12:04:28	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	183	50¢	$91	0xaa23de…
06-06 03:15:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	1,250	68¢	$850	0x2dd441…
06-06 02:09:24	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	1,250	45¢	$562	0x6156b4…
06-06 01:18:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	2,500	22¢	$550	0x1afd41…
06-04 13:20:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	25¢	$1,500	0xbd541d…
06-01 17:08:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x79893b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	72	$20.2M	29,867	06-10 01:05
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	65	$11.3K	2,042	06-08 11:29
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	64	$655.7K	10,610	06-10 00:58
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	50	$196.0K	20,107	06-10 00:50
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	49	$313.6K	25,524	06-10 01:00
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	49	$64.1K	904	06-08 20:34
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	46	$76.6K	1,224	06-10 00:46
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	41	$333.6K	2,016	06-09 23:04