Hurtful-Barrier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-01 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

73% 100% +$16

Crypto

22% 75% $-3

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	9	$66	40	30	+10	open	—	06-29 08:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	6	$56	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 13:45
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	02-20 19:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	6	$51	36	44	-8	open	—	06-02 17:02
spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	9	$51	40	30	+10	open	—	06-17 12:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 13:48
spx up or down on june 9 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 19:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	3	$39	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:32
will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 495 233 864 361	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	3	$37	19	19	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:02
spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	5	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 11:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 13:33
will bitcoin reach 67k on april 4	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-04 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	3	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-17 15:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 15:18
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-11 12:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-28 14:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	3	$28	20	10	+10	open	—	05-20 10:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	3	$27	20	10	+10	open	—	05-18 11:13
spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	3	$26	20	10	+10	open	—	06-29 08:49
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 18:20
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	5	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	06-03 10:08
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	3	$20	16	6	+10	open	—	04-10 21:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 18:58
bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-08 14:23
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-20 17:55
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 10 2026	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 02:53
spx up or down on april 9 2026	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 19:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 07:26:34	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xd66f4c…
07-02 07:01:08	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x441098…
07-02 07:00:55	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x552fce…
07-01 19:44:11	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xca90e8…
07-01 12:51:08	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x45fc8e…
07-01 08:32:11	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xcedac2…
07-01 07:20:25	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x422a67…
06-30 15:20:16	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf92168…
06-29 08:56:31	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3abe1…
06-29 08:49:37	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf3838b…
06-28 23:21:47	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xb5cde3…
06-28 22:48:25	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8e2478…
06-26 05:45:38	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa44530…
06-25 08:10:56	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x423938…
06-25 06:05:23	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xca9b79…
06-24 12:38:43	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe7c1a5…
06-23 09:11:41	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdf74aa…
06-23 06:10:52	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5816bc…
06-22 14:19:37	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe4eaa2…
06-22 10:05:58	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x77e9d6…
06-18 06:35:47	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa72305…
06-18 02:55:35	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x7a3cf2…
06-17 22:31:13	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x82ef41…
06-17 12:50:41	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x99d358…
06-17 12:31:59	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x93932d…
06-17 12:20:58	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x771df1…
06-17 12:07:40	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xde5d96…
06-17 12:07:40	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd97a05…
06-17 11:37:01	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xdc90e8…
06-17 11:24:13	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x823a5d…
06-17 11:23:38	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc34d74…
06-17 08:19:20	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x690eb1…
06-16 14:10:32	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3d165b…
06-16 13:08:46	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x3fd28e…
06-16 11:32:10	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x791905…
06-16 09:55:09	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x3bb7f6…
06-16 05:55:48	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6d7c74…
06-16 03:09:01	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdd0168…
06-15 11:36:12	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd62985…
06-15 08:14:00	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x52f14b…
06-15 01:23:48	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x06cd34…
06-14 22:26:22	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xea957b…
06-12 17:26:39	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdcbea4…
06-12 11:57:07	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb7f0e3…
06-12 09:45:30	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x34cd69…
06-12 09:44:19	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xc1fa5e…
06-12 09:38:00	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xda3492…
06-12 08:45:39	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x061d11…
06-11 12:21:00	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5adfe…
06-11 07:47:19	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7e4cdd…
06-10 07:16:25	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8ec07e…
06-09 19:41:15	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd38837…
06-09 19:25:48	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x93baac…
06-09 06:03:40	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x27002d…
06-08 14:23:25	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x849a53…
06-08 13:56:19	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe61ed…
06-08 13:54:21	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbffdbc…
06-08 10:56:43	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xbc9f58…
06-08 08:00:30	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd88724…
06-08 06:08:45	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9cbc03…
06-06 04:12:58	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x053b01…
06-05 23:26:31	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9c9b07…
06-05 12:49:48	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe7b746…
06-05 06:03:24	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x0b3936…
06-05 06:02:49	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xeec59d…
06-04 06:03:49	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xaeee35…
06-03 10:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x92f7d4…
06-03 10:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2baab8…
06-03 07:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x55338b…
06-03 06:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5d83e6…
06-03 06:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x96c08d…
06-02 17:02:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x26d68f…
06-02 16:20:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x1fc25b…
06-02 14:53:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xdb6a58…
06-02 14:39:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x1a7fbf…
06-02 14:20:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xe5e730…
06-02 14:20:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x915bd6…
06-02 09:18:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc16ba1…
06-01 15:30:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x28d520…
06-01 14:23:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x4b6271…
06-01 08:25:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe1a991…
06-01 06:56:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf70f8c…
05-30 19:10:27	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x8df4b2…
05-30 17:01:18	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x4711bb…
05-29 17:35:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc10822…
05-29 11:26:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x88e082…
05-29 08:57:11	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x3014c9…
05-29 07:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x8a32fe…
05-29 05:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9f2e3c…
05-28 18:21:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x705f24…
05-27 07:02:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xed72d5…
05-26 08:57:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8ecdbb…
05-25 12:33:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xa505e7…
05-22 12:09:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x69a25e…
05-21 19:57:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x373b49…
05-21 19:21:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3e6c15…
05-21 11:29:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe9438f…
05-20 10:44:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa2379b…
05-20 10:27:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x093750…
05-20 08:59:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xed7b14…