Hurtful-Barrier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-22 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% +$16

Crypto

19% 75% $-3

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	9	$66	40	30	+10	open	—	06-29 08:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	6	$56	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 13:45
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	02-20 19:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	6	$51	36	44	-8	open	—	06-02 17:02
spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	9	$51	40	30	+10	open	—	06-17 12:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	5	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 13:48
spx up or down on june 9 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 19:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	3	$39	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:32
spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	6	$39	25	25	+0	open	—	07-06 07:45
will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 495 233 864 361	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	03-27 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	3	$37	19	19	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:02
spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	5	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 11:57
spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	4	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	07-07 13:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	4	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 13:33
will bitcoin reach 67k on april 4	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-04 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	3	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-17 15:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 15:18
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-11 12:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-28 14:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	3	$28	20	10	+10	open	—	05-20 10:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	3	$27	20	10	+10	open	—	05-18 11:13
spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	3	$26	20	10	+10	open	—	06-29 08:49
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 18:20
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	5	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	06-03 10:08
spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	3	$22	20	10	+10	open	—	07-14 13:18
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	3	$20	16	6	+10	open	—	04-10 21:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 18:58
bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-08 14:23
spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-08 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 08:22:39	spy opens up or down on july 23 2026	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd3b4e2…
07-23 08:11:46	spy opens up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x146c98…
07-22 19:27:55	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x12a5f6…
07-22 06:56:31	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x3db62c…
07-21 05:41:01	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xf246ea…
07-20 16:11:57	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8aeabc…
07-20 09:56:36	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x68e901…
07-20 08:45:19	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7da62b…
07-16 17:52:11	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xee5803…
07-16 11:22:23	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2815a3…
07-15 18:45:59	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9e630a…
07-15 12:37:22	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x4fedc6…
07-15 12:37:16	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x7b101f…
07-15 06:02:55	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xfda482…
07-14 20:23:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1a5f9e…
07-14 17:02:41	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9b9570…
07-14 13:18:08	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x63e1ed…
07-14 02:21:53	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xb3bf02…
07-13 20:53:55	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x5d1341…
07-13 14:54:35	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7f06c4…
07-10 19:39:46	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xdafecf…
07-10 17:37:55	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x7c8cc1…
07-10 16:21:41	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xccef47…
07-10 16:16:58	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x163e53…
07-09 20:11:22	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xdd45f8…
07-09 08:32:01	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x3d2649…
07-09 06:37:35	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0cbf22…
07-08 19:09:43	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x79cd9a…
07-08 08:36:20	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xddc5e2…
07-08 08:33:28	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x13d1ff…
07-07 13:04:43	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x03deef…
07-07 11:17:19	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xcd9f0a…
07-07 10:53:28	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xf3a4b0…
07-07 05:42:32	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe02ee1…
07-06 07:45:20	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x312760…
07-06 07:04:01	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x970166…
07-06 05:59:28	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xd519d5…
07-06 05:54:47	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xfca8b1…
07-05 21:40:58	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xfe3790…
07-05 08:03:13	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x03c47c…
07-04 08:48:32	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0f15a6…
07-03 08:19:07	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf56e8f…
07-02 07:26:34	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xd66f4c…
07-02 07:01:08	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x441098…
07-02 07:00:55	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x552fce…
07-01 19:44:11	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xca90e8…
07-01 12:51:08	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x45fc8e…
07-01 08:32:11	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xcedac2…
07-01 07:20:25	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x422a67…
06-30 15:20:16	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf92168…
06-29 08:56:31	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3abe1…
06-29 08:49:37	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf3838b…
06-28 23:21:47	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xb5cde3…
06-28 22:48:25	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8e2478…
06-26 05:45:38	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa44530…
06-25 08:10:56	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x423938…
06-25 06:05:23	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xca9b79…
06-24 12:38:43	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe7c1a5…
06-23 09:11:41	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdf74aa…
06-23 06:10:52	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5816bc…
06-22 14:19:37	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe4eaa2…
06-22 10:05:58	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x77e9d6…
06-18 06:35:47	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa72305…
06-18 02:55:35	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x7a3cf2…
06-17 22:31:13	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x82ef41…
06-17 12:50:41	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x99d358…
06-17 12:31:59	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x93932d…
06-17 12:20:58	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x771df1…
06-17 12:07:40	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xde5d96…
06-17 12:07:40	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd97a05…
06-17 11:37:01	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xdc90e8…
06-17 11:24:13	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x823a5d…
06-17 11:23:38	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc34d74…
06-17 08:19:20	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x690eb1…
06-16 14:10:32	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3d165b…
06-16 13:08:46	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x3fd28e…
06-16 11:32:10	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x791905…
06-16 09:55:09	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x3bb7f6…
06-16 05:55:48	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6d7c74…
06-16 03:09:01	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdd0168…
06-15 11:36:12	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd62985…
06-15 08:14:00	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x52f14b…
06-15 01:23:48	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x06cd34…
06-14 22:26:22	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xea957b…
06-12 17:26:39	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdcbea4…
06-12 11:57:07	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb7f0e3…
06-12 09:45:30	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x34cd69…
06-12 09:44:19	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xc1fa5e…
06-12 09:38:00	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xda3492…
06-12 08:45:39	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x061d11…
06-11 12:21:00	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5adfe…
06-11 07:47:19	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7e4cdd…
06-10 07:16:25	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8ec07e…
06-09 19:41:15	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd38837…
06-09 19:25:48	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x93baac…
06-09 06:03:40	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x27002d…
06-08 14:23:25	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x849a53…
06-08 13:56:19	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe61ed…
06-08 13:54:21	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbffdbc…
06-08 10:56:43	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xbc9f58…