Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?
open
Total volume
$1,387
$144 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,049
Latest YES mid
64¢
Latest NO mid
36¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-11 22:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-59.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $222
vs crowd: 59% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $674 | $436 | +$238 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $57 | $72 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $222 | $222 |
| Median | 4 | $5 | $6 | $1 |
| Below median | 5 | $10 | $11 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $36 | $36 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $32 | — | +$32 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $674 | $214 | +$460 |
| unranked | 4 | $9 | $19 | $10 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | +1,177 | $660 | $660 | 2 | 05-11 16:47 |
| Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Down | +600 | $222 | $222 | 1 | 05-11 20:42 |
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Down | +595 | $214 | $214 | 1 | 05-11 20:42 |
| Diligent-Infection 0x31a2…cfcd | Down | +55 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-11 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x92aa…0341 | Up | +49 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-11 22:12 |
| Demanding-Tapioca 0xd3f6…ad63 | Up | +14 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-11 21:20 |
| Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Up | +11 | $5 | $23 | 4 | 05-11 20:32 |
| Avaricious-Noun 0xa743…61dc | Down | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 18:09 |
| Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | Up | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 19:52 |
| Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:22 |
| Nocturnal-Unblinking-Understanding 0x907e…a1a4 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 21:27 |
| Staid-Shoemaker 0x202c…6bfa | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:59 |
| Delicious-Wall 0x343e…50b3 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 17:39 |
| Heartfelt-Viability 0xc1b9…7ce7 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:33 |
| Overlooked-Chives 0xa006…7c67 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:23 |
| Useless-Subcomponent 0x33c5…c5d2 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 22:12:34 | (anonymous) 0x92aa…0341 | Up | BUY | 49 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x865cd0… |
| 05-11 21:27:56 | Nocturnal-Unblinking-Understanding 0x907e…a1a4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xde348f… |
| 05-11 21:20:42 | Superior-Arrest 0x4bd3…db43 | Down | SELL | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0xf52379… |
| 05-11 21:20:18 | Demanding-Tapioca 0xd3f6…ad63 | Up | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xe56b83… |
| 05-11 21:07:35 | Demanding-Tapioca 0xd3f6…ad63 | Up | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x085450… |
| 05-11 20:43:01 | Quixotic-Strip 0x3e58…4344 | Down | SELL | 57 | 36¢ | $21 | 0x4a3fbc… |
| 05-11 20:42:40 | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Down | BUY | 600 | 37¢ | $222 | 0x384074… |
| 05-11 20:42:32 | Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Down | BUY | 595 | 36¢ | $214 | 0xdf0188… |
| 05-11 20:32:24 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Up | SELL | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0xc5388d… |
| 05-11 20:32:24 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Up | SELL | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x2c06cf… |
| 05-11 19:52:57 | Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | Up | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x782502… |
| 05-11 19:44:47 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Up | SELL | 0 | 68¢ | $0 | 0x757427… |
| 05-11 19:13:32 | Diligent-Infection 0x31a2…cfcd | Down | BUY | 55 | 34¢ | $19 | 0x5a604b… |
| 05-11 18:53:44 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Up | SELL | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x0284ff… |
| 05-11 18:09:19 | Avaricious-Noun 0xa743…61dc | Down | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xa812ae… |
| 05-11 17:59:10 | Staid-Shoemaker 0x202c…6bfa | Down | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xce31f2… |
| 05-11 17:44:05 | Unsung-Perspective 0xa12f…e012 | Down | SELL | 104 | 34¢ | $35 | 0xf4e912… |
| 05-11 17:43:55 | Unsung-Perspective 0xa12f…e012 | Down | BUY | 104 | 35¢ | $36 | 0x810d8f… |
| 05-11 17:39:16 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | SELL | 93 | 38¢ | $35 | 0xa7712c… |
| 05-11 17:39:01 | Delicious-Wall 0x343e…50b3 | Up | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x00316e… |
| 05-11 17:23:03 | Overlooked-Chives 0xa006…7c67 | Up | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x582124… |
| 05-11 16:56:27 | Superior-Arrest 0x4bd3…db43 | Down | BUY | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x556a2a… |
| 05-11 16:50:44 | Superior-Arrest 0x4bd3…db43 | Down | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x4fcf7b… |
| 05-11 16:47:48 | Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | BUY | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0x9f3f73… |
| 05-11 16:47:48 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Down | SELL | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x2df881… |
| 05-11 16:47:48 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Down | SELL | 21 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xf57711… |
| 05-11 16:47:48 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Down | SELL | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xa20d57… |
| 05-11 16:47:48 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Up | BUY | 25 | 56¢ | $14 | 0x2aa6de… |
| 05-11 16:47:46 | Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | BUY | 1,127 | 56¢ | $631 | 0xef86dd… |
| 05-11 16:43:20 | Useless-Subcomponent 0x33c5…c5d2 | Up | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x8b7b5e… |
| 05-11 16:22:43 | Exotic-Snowsuit 0x17bc…9013 | Down | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xb286c2… |
| 05-11 14:33:41 | Heartfelt-Viability 0xc1b9…7ce7 | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xd087e1… |
| 05-11 13:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x6f4f…9481 | Up | SELL | 13 | 49¢ | $6 | 0xf583be… |
| 05-11 13:18:58 | (anonymous) 0x6f4f…9481 | Up | SELL | 13 | 49¢ | $6 | 0x53f774… |
| 05-11 13:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x6f4f…9481 | Up | SELL | 14 | 49¢ | $7 | 0x04dbbf… |
| 05-11 13:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x6f4f…9481 | Up | BUY | 13 | 51¢ | $7 | 0x17ccfd… |