Defensive-Turn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

804

Trades

1,225

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-16 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Other

81% 91% +$71

Crypto

6% 89% -$93

Sports

6% 86% -$21

Politics

6% 91% +$0

Tech

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	4	$82	43	43	+0	Yes	+$1	03-29 18:03
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	4	$81	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 00:46
will sp 500 spx close over 6500 on the final trading day of march 2026	6	$74	78	78	+0	Yes	-$47	03-31 20:09
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?	3	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$2	05-09 16:05
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	3	$71	51	51	+0	Yes	+$31	05-11 19:53
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$64	34	34	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 16:23
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte3	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	06-23 22:10
Exact Score: Brisbane Roar FC 1 - 2 Sydney FC?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-09 08:05
Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 0 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-25 17:05
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	06-11 20:53
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	06-24 20:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	2	$63	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	05-12 16:10
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-23 21:10
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0 - 0 Levante UD?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-16 18:49
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	2	$63	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 19:39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$63	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 21:03
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 1 - 0 Sevilla FC?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	05-13 19:39
spy up or down on july 13 2026	2	$63	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	07-13 19:53
Australia leading at halftime?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	09-25 12:19
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	07-19 21:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$63	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	2	$63	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 16:10
Exact Score: Vietnam 1 - 1 Malaysia?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-19 15:48
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$63	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	06-08 08:18
spx up or down on july 13 2026	2	$63	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	07-13 19:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$63	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 16:59
Exact Score: Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 - 1 Larne FC?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-20 19:27
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$63	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	07-20 12:44
Exact Score: Manchester City 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-09 13:37
Exact Score: FC Cajamarca 2 - 1 ADC Juan Pablo II College?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	07-17 20:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 21:15:11	Exact Score: CSyD Defensa y Justicia 0 - 1 Instituto AC Córdoba?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xc71156…
10-09 04:15:10	Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 2 - 1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x65b209…
10-08 18:15:11	Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x13bd61…
10-07 13:15:08	Xorazm Fk Urganch leading at halftime?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x80fe55…
10-07 10:20:09	Exact Score: Shenzhen Juniors FC 0 - 1 Guandong GZ-Power FC?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xfbf70f…
10-06 18:00:14	Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbfe117…
10-06 16:15:09	Niger leading at halftime?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xcc250a…
10-06 13:15:10	Exact Score: Kazakhstan 2 - 1 Faroe Islands?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x05b7a1…
10-06 12:45:07	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x85c1b0…
10-05 22:29:08	Exact Score: Club Nacional de Football 2 - 1 Montevideo City Torque?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xa557a6…
10-05 21:15:11	Exact Score: CA Vélez Sarsfield 0 - 1 CA Platense?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x2429d0…
10-05 19:00:10	Exact Score: CD Riestra 2 - 1 CA Central Córdoba?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x93d021…
10-05 15:15:11	Exact Score: Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xdfcbe3…
10-05 12:15:08	Exact Score: Uganda 0 - 0 DR Congo?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x6b0998…
10-04 17:00:10	Exact Score: CA Huracán 0 - 1 CA Aldosivi?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xe93753…
10-04 11:15:16	Exact Score: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B 2 - 1 Granada CF?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xd33cb1…
10-04 02:33:08	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Natalia Silva	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x1eb389…
10-03 18:00:11	Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x7c7713…
10-03 16:07:08	Notre Dame vs. North Carolina	Notre Dame	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x3a9be7…
10-03 12:45:11	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x66ba61…
10-02 16:23:09	Exact Score: Ranheim 2 - 1 Egersunds IK?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x0c0f57…
10-02 15:15:08	Exact Score: Fath Union Sport 0 - 1 US Amal Tiznit?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x559f5c…
10-02 10:15:09	Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Venezuela?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xe607b7…
10-01 18:10:12	Exact Score: Malta 0 - 0 Gibraltar?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x4f8e0e…
10-01 17:15:11	Exact Score: Real Betis Seville 1 - 0 AD Ceuta?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x6eec81…
10-01 16:05:11	Exact Score: FK Austria Wien 0 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xa5ecfa…
10-01 16:00:09	Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x986771…
10-01 00:15:11	Exact Score: Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 CDP Junior FC?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x709913…
09-30 22:15:12	Exact Score: Montevideo City Torque 1 - 0 CA Penarol Montevideo?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xa9a115…
09-30 18:57:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x01025b…
09-30 16:10:12	Exact Score: Paris FC 0 - 3 Arsenal WFC?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xdc49df…
09-30 16:00:24	Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xf4289d…
09-30 16:00:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x710c36…
09-30 12:16:09	Exact Score: Seychelles 1 - 0 Sri Lanka?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x365f47…
09-29 18:00:11	Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x058492…
09-29 17:20:12	Exact Score: Boreham Wood FC 1 - 0 Kidderminster Harriers FC?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x1fbd59…
09-29 16:14:14	Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x525341…
09-29 15:15:15	Exact Score: Moldova 0 - 2 Faroe Islands?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x564ded…
09-29 09:15:18	Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Brazil?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x911da6…
09-28 15:15:09	Exact Score: Georgia 0 - 0 Ukraine?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x199932…
09-28 13:21:08	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x27912f…
09-28 10:25:15	Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Uruguay?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xf888ac…
09-27 17:20:30	Exact Score: Pumas de la UNAM 1 - 0 Atlético San Luis?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xfe3eae…
09-27 11:00:12	Exact Score: China PR 0 - 0 New Zealand?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x0ba6e1…
09-27 10:20:09	Exact Score: Shaanxi Union FC 1 - 0 Dalian Kun City?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x94c318…
09-27 09:15:15	Exact Score: Gangwon FC 2 - 1 Incheon United FC?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xbe7c06…
09-26 12:45:08	Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x6463a2…
09-25 16:52:18	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x16e1c1…
09-25 15:15:09	Exact Score: Armenia 0 - 0 Latvia?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xf4e8a3…
09-25 12:19:45	Australia leading at halftime?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xef597a…
09-25 12:19:39	Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Brazil?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x6decc3…
09-25 10:25:15	Exact Score: Wuxi Wugou 0 - 1 Guangxi Hengchen FC?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x5a138f…
09-25 09:15:11	Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Brazil?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xc1883a…
09-25 09:15:09	Australia leading at halftime?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x1c1d0b…
09-24 19:15:14	Exact Score: US Amal Tiznit 2 - 1 IR Tanger?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x30c2c0…
09-24 15:15:12	Exact Score: Andorra 0 - 2 Malta?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x2905fe…
09-24 13:15:12	Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 IR Iran?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xc1131a…
09-24 10:15:09	Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Ecuador?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x143c41…
09-23 15:20:16	Exact Score: Gibraltar 1 - 1 São Tomé e Príncipe?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x67e9ed…
09-23 12:10:08	Will Italy win on 2026-09-23?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x9bcaba…
09-23 04:15:08	Will PJD win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xfa5c27…
09-23 00:37:07	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x0d437f…
09-22 16:00:09	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 BK Häcken FF?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xc39b4d…
09-21 21:15:09	Exact Score: CA Barracas Central 0 - 2 CS Independiente Rivadavia?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xf3f3c5…
09-21 14:15:12	Exact Score: ASC Oțelul Galați 2 - 1 FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x3a83c8…
09-20 18:01:10	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x9bddd0…
09-20 09:20:09	Exact Score: Incheon United FC 0 - 1 Daejeon Hana Citizen FC?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xf84eba…
09-20 07:00:09	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x0e421b…
09-19 23:59:09	UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)	Michael Aswell	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x331eb2…
09-19 23:37:09	UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Gable Steveson	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xad1683…
09-19 13:00:09	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x7455d3…
09-18 21:52:09	Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest	Miami (FL)	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xd61640…
09-18 20:20:12	Exact Score: CA Central Córdoba 2 - 1 CSyD Defensa y Justicia?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x17d4be…
09-18 14:15:09	Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 0 Sepsi OSK?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x4d62c8…
09-18 12:12:09	Hapoel Petah Tikva FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xde421c…
09-18 12:10:09	Will Hapoel Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x9ec33c…
09-18 09:15:10	Exact Score: FK Chornomorets Odesa 2 - 0 FK Obolon Kyiv?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xb05072…
09-17 22:15:10	Exact Score: CA Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Independiente Medellín?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x0353ec…
09-17 21:15:09	Exact Score: CD Real Tomayapo 0 - 1 CD Oriente Petrolero?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xd32124…
09-17 14:00:09	Will AEK win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x26a138…
09-17 13:23:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x24054a…
09-16 21:15:10	Exact Score: LDU de Quito 1 - 2 SE Palmeiras?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x7ebe2b…
09-16 13:58:09	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x63f7fd…
09-16 11:00:09	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x56362f…
09-16 09:15:09	Exact Score: Jeonbuk FC 0 - 1 Kashiwa Reysol?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xf15968…
09-15 18:33:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xeab7e1…
09-15 15:15:13	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 0 - 0 FC Südtirol?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xc24d80…
09-15 13:15:12	Exact Score: Asyut Petroleum SC 1 - 0 Modern SC?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x215a63…
09-14 13:00:09	Exact Score: FK Neftchi Fargona 0 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xb461fe…
09-13 12:45:10	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x57c400…
09-13 10:20:10	Exact Score: FC Baník Ostrava 1 - 0 FK Pardubice?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbe1702…
09-12 10:38:09	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x30b7bb…
09-12 10:15:10	Exact Score: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 1 - 0 Liaoning Tieren FC?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xb35cf3…
09-12 02:15:13	Exact Score: Atlante FC 0 - 1 CF Pachuca?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x6144c9…
09-11 21:15:09	Exact Score: CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0 - 1 Club Aurora?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xd7f7c0…
09-11 13:00:09	Exact Score: Khor Fakkan Club 1 - 2 Baniyas Club?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xf64fbc…
09-11 10:25:09	Chiangrai United leading at halftime?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xe2e184…
09-11 09:15:10	Exact Score: Kyōto Sanga FC 0 - 2 Kashiwa Reysol?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xb7d61f…
09-11 02:15:13	Exact Score: Pumas de la UNAM 1 - 2 Club León FC?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x1064ce…
09-11 01:20:09	Exact Score: CSD Xelajú MC 3 - 0 CSD Cobán Imperial?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbe9ee9…