Smoggy-Someone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$203

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-17 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 62% +$203

Other

22% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776262500	2	$1.2K	708	694	+15	open	—	04-15 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	6	$1.1K	1,434	1,434	+0	Down	$-69	05-13 15:43
btc updown 15m 1776158100	3	$1.1K	690	669	+21	open	—	04-14 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	7	$772	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-04 19:10
btc updown 15m 1776259800	3	$732	435	426	+9	open	—	04-15 13:40
btc updown 15m 1774907100	2	$730	426	420	+6	open	—	03-30 21:58
btc updown 15m 1776159000	3	$687	464	448	+15	open	—	04-14 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$605	506	506	+0	open	—	05-04 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$592	400	400	+0	open	—	05-04 16:21
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	3	$548	350	350	+0	open	—	05-16 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	2	$491	341	341	+0	Down	+$191	05-12 15:44
btc updown 15m 1776159900	2	$478	287	280	+6	open	—	04-14 10:00
btc updown 15m 1776265200	2	$441	839	0	+839	open	—	04-15 15:05
btc updown 15m 1775221200	4	$438	303	292	+11	open	—	04-03 13:14
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	1	$430	729	0	+729	open	—	05-16 05:40
btc updown 15m 1776261600	2	$400	637	0	+637	open	—	04-15 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$355	430	430	+0	open	—	05-04 15:59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner	2	$347	220	218	+3	open	—	04-26 15:17
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	4	$331	276	273	+4	open	—	04-25 21:02
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	4	$322	250	246	+4	open	—	04-25 21:02
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	1	$316	556	0	+556	open	—	05-16 17:05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	2	$314	217	214	+4	open	—	04-25 21:01
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24	4	$313	279	274	+4	open	—	04-24 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$311	222	222	+0	open	—	05-17 11:29
btc updown 15m 1776264300	5	$310	710	0	+710	open	—	04-15 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$305	207	207	+0	open	—	04-30 15:29
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	2	$301	204	201	+3	open	—	04-25 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	5	$291	247	238	+9	open	—	04-28 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	2	$285	185	185	+0	Down	+$85	05-11 16:53
btc updown 15m 1776263400	2	$272	182	176	+6	open	—	04-15 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 13:57:39	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	161	32¢	$51	0x1d4f90…
05-17 13:01:04	Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Virtus.pro	BUY	329	17¢	$56	0x27834c…
05-17 12:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x5384c2…
05-17 12:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x6964f8…
05-17 12:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x800c73…
05-17 12:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	203	10¢	$20	0x23842f…
05-17 11:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x3e2b56…
05-17 11:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0x916a6e…
05-17 11:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	146	43¢	$63	0x988fc4…
05-17 11:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x21e52f…
05-17 11:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x539ae6…
05-17 11:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	200	42¢	$85	0xcc3750…
05-17 11:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8c2177…
05-17 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	195	39¢	$75	0xee040f…
05-17 11:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	156	11¢	$17	0x9ecb7d…
05-17 11:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xb8b5b4…
05-17 11:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x590757…
05-17 11:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	222	95¢	$211	0xa8e32e…
05-17 11:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xad543a…
05-17 11:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	196	12¢	$23	0x30b778…
05-17 11:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xe3a9d4…
05-17 11:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x0d0e35…
05-17 11:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x4f420a…
05-17 11:17:16	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner	ex-HEROIC	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0x22a0d5…
05-17 11:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc6f607…
05-17 11:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xfb99f6…
05-17 11:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf441f2…
05-16 18:52:36	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x2f8322…
05-16 17:05:31	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	556	57¢	$316	0x8b66c7…
05-16 16:50:44	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x78b2fb…
05-16 16:45:43	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x0536f0…
05-16 15:36:27	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	350	57¢	$198	0xfd84ee…
05-16 05:40:01	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	729	59¢	$430	0xa6321d…
05-15 20:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x223d47…
05-15 20:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xbc9705…
05-15 20:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x553888…
05-15 20:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x8ffc96…
05-15 20:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x034d3c…
05-15 18:29:37	Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Virtus.pro	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xfdc1e5…
05-15 07:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xc855ac…
05-15 07:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xefcdcd…
05-14 18:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xd4323c…
05-14 18:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x7a03ad…
05-14 18:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	216	9¢	$19	0xfc797a…
05-14 18:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xdcd868…
05-14 18:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x0f66c3…
05-14 13:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x6b2a1c…
05-14 13:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xa21cb1…
05-14 13:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	162	98¢	$159	0xe12fc7…
05-14 13:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xda0350…
05-14 13:48:40	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xaec036…
05-14 13:43:50	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x0d2c7b…
05-14 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	66	16¢	$11	0x2e081f…
05-14 13:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x343bd0…
05-14 13:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	435	14¢	$61	0xbd447a…
05-14 09:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xb193f7…
05-13 15:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	419	100¢	$418	0x6eadac…
05-13 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	419	33¢	$138	0x43f86d…
05-13 10:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x5ea9e2…
05-13 10:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xfefa22…
05-13 10:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xc689c4…
05-13 10:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xce706c…
05-13 10:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0x26b05c…
05-13 10:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x6798be…
05-13 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x5929d6…
05-13 09:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	254	2¢	$5	0x21bf85…
05-13 09:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xa049a3…
05-13 09:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x94758d…
05-13 09:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	96	27¢	$26	0x064615…
05-13 09:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xada6ed…
05-13 09:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x32d387…
05-13 09:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xab7309…
05-13 09:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0x599366…
05-13 09:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x322530…
05-13 09:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	1,015	10¢	$102	0x4b4684…
05-13 01:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	343	29¢	$100	0x0d36cb…
05-12 22:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	67	7¢	$5	0x129b5c…
05-12 22:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0xaf8755…
05-12 22:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x2ca8dc…
05-12 22:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf42c26…
05-12 22:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xfc0f25…
05-12 22:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0a6d12…
05-12 20:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	96	94¢	$90	0xe4ab93…
05-12 20:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x0cefe3…
05-12 19:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	81	35¢	$28	0xa4e6d4…
05-12 19:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x4eb44b…
05-12 19:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x163475…
05-12 19:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5091a7…
05-12 19:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe616e4…
05-12 19:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	84	91¢	$76	0x0bee66…
05-12 19:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x995a54…
05-12 19:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x9542b1…
05-12 19:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xad76da…
05-12 19:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0xa9ff5d…
05-12 19:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xdd34e7…
05-12 18:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x190e26…
05-12 17:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	440	57¢	$250	0xe07227…
05-12 15:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	341	100¢	$341	0x4cf401…
05-11 16:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	341	44¢	$150	0xc58330…
05-11 16:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x2a41a8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	143	$62.2K	2,118	05-17 12:10
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	142	$41.2K	6,257	05-17 12:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	140	$55.4K	15,694	05-17 12:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	140	$51.2K	15,985	05-17 12:09
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	140	$49.9K	8,570	05-17 12:09
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	138	$73.3K	4,922	05-17 12:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	132	$297.4K	12,722	05-17 12:09
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	132	$18.9K	5,246	05-17 12:09