Appropriate-Banner 0x160df8…986f25
whale cold 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$241.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.0K
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
3,577
Trades
24,206
lifetime
Volume
$3.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$161
Open exposure
$175.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 10-26 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 210 days
Categories
Other
83% 34% -$211,230
Politics
7% 40% -$20,587
Sports
5% 37% -$16,192
Crypto
5% 14% +$5,981
Tech
0% 41% +$765
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 435 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +41,460 $36,768 94¢ $39.0K +$2,205 10-26 17:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +26,710 $23,595 94¢ $25.0K +$1,379 10-26 17:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +21,935 $20,224 92¢ $20.3K +$67 10-24 01:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +17,489 $13,171 74¢ $12.9K -$316 10-26 19:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +12,295 $12,053 99¢ $12.2K +$138 10-24 09:47
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +11,112 $7,791 100¢ $11.1K +$3,310 10-26 09:46
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +9,418 $8,460 100¢ $9.4K +$949 10-24 22:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +13,594 $8,972 66¢ $8.9K -$68 10-22 15:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +9,484 $6,127 86¢ $8.2K +$2,034 10-01 16:55
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +6,744 $5,484 100¢ $6.7K +$1,253 10-26 21:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +14,501 $4,640 34¢ $5.0K +$363 10-22 16:58
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4,456 $4,286 97¢ $4.3K +$30 10-18 05:40
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,424 $2,311 66¢ $2.2K -$68 10-24 18:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,839 $1,426 91¢ $1.7K +$248 10-21 19:57
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +1,029 $978 99¢ $1.0K +$40 10-15 15:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +14,588 $923 6¢ $875 -$47 10-26 23:36
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,025 $832 81¢ $830 -$2 10-06 17:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5,773 $1,795 14¢ $805 -$990 10-21 02:35
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,862 $743 40¢ $735 -$7 10-21 10:09
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,020 $683 66¢ $668 -$15 10-24 11:44
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,318 $435 36¢ $468 +$33 10-21 19:43
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1,497 $195 30¢ $449 +$254 10-22 19:07
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +706 $484 60¢ $427 -$57 09-24 11:22
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +458 $365 80¢ $368 +$4 10-06 16:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +494 $326 64¢ $318 -$7 10-23 21:09
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +535 $326 55¢ $294 -$32 10-11 14:00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +353 $129 82¢ $291 +$162 10-20 21:16
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +390 $353 72¢ $281 -$72 10-22 16:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3,712 $1,001 6¢ $241 -$760 10-26 06:29
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,248 $201 16¢ $193 -$8 10-26 22:05