Querulous-Wildlife-Lizard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$825

Unrealized P&L

-$160

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

225

Trades

529

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$41

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-04 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 42% -$793

Other

3% 57% -$20

Politics

2% 43% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		+626	$201	6¢	$41	-$160	05-25 08:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	4	$925	580	580	+0	Yes	+$107	05-25 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	8	$449	654	299	+355	Up	+$193	05-31 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	8	$413	348	348	+0	Up	-$4	05-12 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$347	599	336	+263	Down	-$103	05-15 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$320	341	284	+57	Up	+$76	05-24 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	8	$301	368	324	+44	Up	+$21	05-24 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$299	242	209	+33	Down	+$89	05-14 11:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	3	$285	238	238	+0	No	+$191	05-23 16:03
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	3	$256	132	132	+0	Usyk	+$8	05-24 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$254	233	190	+43	Down	+$47	05-24 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$241	229	229	+0	Up	+$31	05-25 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$238	226	192	+33	Up	+$28	11-04 14:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	2	$236	143	143	+0	No	+$50	05-22 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$219	199	199	+0	Down	+$19	05-18 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	6	$218	114	114	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$216	256	204	+52	Down	-$4	05-12 13:52
ethereum above 1700 on june 19 2026	3	$208	152	152	+0	Yes	+$96	06-19 16:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$201	626	0	+626	open	—	05-25 08:54
bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	2	$193	134	134	+0	Yes	+$73	06-12 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$172	227	227	+0	Down	-$28	05-24 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$170	417	0	+417	Down	-$170	05-24 17:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$169	966	966	+0	Yes	-$83	05-21 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$165	366	119	+247	Up	-$85	05-12 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	7	$136	264	117	+147	Down	-$27	05-15 03:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	1	$122	297	0	+297	Yes	-$122	05-19 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$121	168	102	+66	Up	+$26	05-25 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	8	$120	178	0	+178	Up	-$4	05-24 16:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	3	$115	318	318	+0	No	-$101	05-29 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$105	248	0	+248	Up	-$94	05-15 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:45 UTC	4	$101	183	183	+0	Down	+$31	06-18 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 14:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x47f6a2…
11-04 14:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x8fc553…
11-04 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdfe5be…
11-04 14:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x84fd19…
11-04 14:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8eaab8…
11-04 14:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb34d57…
11-04 14:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc384b1…
11-04 14:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3ecbb5…
11-04 14:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaacf9a…
11-04 14:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xdc7883…
11-04 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x42e807…
11-04 14:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x8aba03…
11-04 14:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xb2b81f…
11-04 14:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x40949d…
11-04 14:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa2b88a…
11-04 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xefce79…
11-04 14:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc71ad7…
11-04 14:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f6e62…
11-04 14:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x9de85c…
11-04 14:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xfcb82e…
11-04 14:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x201a67…
11-04 14:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x389953…
11-04 14:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb7aabe…
11-04 14:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc11f27…
11-04 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xafa924…
11-04 14:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3cd0a8…
11-04 14:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x048c32…
11-04 14:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe1ee98…
11-04 14:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0xca44a1…
11-04 14:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf52a7d…
11-04 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xf0086a…
11-04 14:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x18f8fd…
11-04 14:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	192	69¢	$133	0xc682fa…
11-04 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xa4295e…
11-04 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x86cbee…
11-04 14:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8930bd…
11-04 13:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x29e31e…
11-04 13:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5b2669…
11-04 13:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe6e94d…
11-04 13:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc50b8b…
06-22 13:11:38	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf5cbf8…
06-22 13:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe4587e…
06-22 13:05:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3745c7…
06-22 13:03:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x5b9ea6…
06-22 13:03:04	bitcoin above 66k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x8b534b…
06-22 13:02:34	bitcoin above 66k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x18471b…
06-22 12:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$8	0xd32481…
06-22 12:20:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb679ea…
06-22 12:20:32	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	63	33¢	$21	0xe04c62…
06-22 12:19:47	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe35a6c…
06-22 12:19:28	ethereum above 1800 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0xd957cc…
06-22 12:19:11	ethereum above 1800 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$11	0x9ade7a…
06-22 07:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	89	41¢	$37	0x44b214…
06-22 07:16:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x362406…
06-22 07:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x56ba70…
06-22 07:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6be554…
06-22 06:58:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x7f8bf3…
06-20 18:32:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x5de643…
06-20 18:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xffbe62…
06-19 19:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	39	45¢	$18	0x602677…
06-19 19:46:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xcf6aca…
06-19 19:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa25153…
06-19 19:44:28	will ethereum reach 1750 on june 19	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xdacfd0…
06-19 16:12:53	bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x6ce797…
06-19 16:11:37	ethereum above 1700 on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0xaa8f35…
06-19 10:09:14	ethereum above 1700 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x294465…
06-18 13:08:31	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	48	15¢	$7	0x895150…
06-18 13:05:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x35d01e…
06-18 13:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb2c93b…
06-18 13:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	150	18¢	$27	0x08c16c…
06-18 13:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x12cfd8…
06-18 13:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbdcc4a…
06-18 13:01:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x08f430…
06-18 12:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4d001…
06-18 11:47:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	183	36¢	$66	0x1e3758…
06-18 11:46:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x60be97…
06-18 11:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x98e263…
06-18 11:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf02a86…
06-18 08:56:08	bitcoin above 70k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1,383	1¢	$11	0xfe13de…
06-15 08:00:31	ethereum above 1900 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$8	0xf84f34…
06-14 18:48:54	ethereum above 1700 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	127	37¢	$47	0x059333…
06-14 18:48:06	bitcoin above 70k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x1b9af0…
06-13 17:34:01	ethereum above 1800 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa91347…
06-13 17:31:55	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x05d3e3…
06-13 04:39:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9d2e54…
06-13 04:38:15	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x84247f…
06-13 04:37:45	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xbad3a7…
06-13 04:37:21	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x6072a0…
06-12 16:54:16	bitcoin above 70k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xd0c6ff…
06-12 16:50:37	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xd881cc…
06-12 16:50:16	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x49953b…
06-12 16:49:25	bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x4732c6…
06-11 12:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x4ce4e7…
06-10 06:57:42	ethereum above 1700 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x788976…
06-10 06:52:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x129764…
06-10 06:51:10	ethereum above 1700 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x579d5b…
06-10 06:50:21	bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0x9053cb…
06-10 06:49:57	bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	134	45¢	$60	0x803b8f…
06-08 19:11:21	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x585dad…
06-08 07:41:01	bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xfeaacd…