Glum-Nonsense 0x20aadd…66e26b
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$42
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
206
Trades
3,571
lifetime
Volume
$37.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$824
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 07-09 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 76% +$52
Politics
16% 40% $-3
Other
13% 0% $-7
Sports
8% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +225 $190 88¢ $197 +$8 06-18 20:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +157 $94 70¢ $110 +$16 06-13 07:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $75 76¢ $76 +$2 07-04 10:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $57 66¢ $66 +$10 06-29 08:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +100 $74 62¢ $62 $-12 07-05 06:59
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +100 $32 48¢ $48 +$16 07-05 08:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +267 $53 18¢ $47 $-6 07-05 03:48
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +27 $26 97¢ $26 +$1 06-28 21:01
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +33 $19 72¢ $24 +$5 06-25 01:45
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +30 $22 77¢ $23 +$1 07-04 01:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +32 $24 71¢ $23 $-1 07-08 21:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +44 $20 34¢ $15 $-5 06-05 13:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $13 40¢ $12 $-1 07-02 12:12
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +12 $4 92¢ $11 +$7 06-21 08:16
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +43 $9 24¢ $11 +$1 07-09 20:52
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +14 $10 74¢ $10 +$1 07-02 10:46
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +8 $7 97¢ $8 +$0 06-04 06:20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +32 $9 22¢ $7 $-2 06-25 03:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +31 $11 18¢ $6 $-5 06-18 13:02
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $5 95¢ $5 +$1 06-11 12:14
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +22 $8 24¢ $5 $-2 06-24 16:57
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +22 $6 22¢ $5 $-1 06-25 03:34
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $5 +$1 06-19 14:40
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +27 $7 17¢ $5 $-2 06-24 06:53
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +11 $4 40¢ $4 +$0 07-05 16:16
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +6 $3 60¢ $4 +$1 07-04 00:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +15 $10 22¢ $3 $-7 06-19 16:54
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +11 $2 15¢ $2 $-1 06-08 02:52
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +13 $2 13¢ $2 $-0 06-24 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -12 $-3 12¢ $-1 +$1 06-14 23:21