Realized P&L
+$42
Unrealized P&L
+$189
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
206
Trades
3,240
lifetime
Volume
$32.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$938
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 06-19 17:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 76% +$52
Politics
15% 40% $-3
Other
8% 0% $-7
Sports
7%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +335 $143 78¢ $263 +$120 06-19 12:20
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +225 $190 88¢ $197 +$8 06-18 20:25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +157 $94 76¢ $119 +$25 06-13 07:22
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +131 $116 84¢ $109 $-7 06-16 01:57
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +56 $33 50¢ $28 $-5 05-31 02:42
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +27 $25 94¢ $26 +$0 06-19 13:46
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No -28 $-26 88¢ $-25 +$1 06-17 15:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -25 $-31 95¢ $-24 +$7 06-18 06:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +50 $13 46¢ $23 +$10 06-15 18:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +44 $20 52¢ $23 +$3 06-05 13:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +15 $-23 90¢ $14 +$37 06-19 10:43
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +43 $34 32¢ $14 $-20 06-19 20:17
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +11 $7 99¢ $11 +$4 06-13 04:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -91 $-75 10¢ $-9 +$66 06-19 17:02
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +8 $7 97¢ $8 +$0 06-04 06:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +15 $10 44¢ $6 $-3 06-19 16:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +29 $53 22¢ $6 $-47 06-19 19:58
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 62¢ $6 +$1 06-15 10:58
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-11 12:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +31 $11 16¢ $5 $-6 06-18 13:02
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-19 14:40
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $2 68¢ $4 +$2 06-17 09:59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -12 $-3 22¢ $-3 +$0 06-14 23:21
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +11 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 06-08 02:52
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 06-07 09:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +35 $4 $2 $-2 06-17 19:17
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +12 $4 12¢ $1 $-2 06-01 07:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 $-0 06-11 19:07
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes +7 $1 $0 $-1 06-10 14:02
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +9 $2 $0 $-2 05-31 17:14