Loyal-Quotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.89K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.21K

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

2,421

Trades

9,635

lifetime

Volume

$37.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$75

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 09-07 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 33% -$1,065

Other

9% 32% +$103

Sports

2% 44% -$663

Tech

2% 33% -$264

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		+388	$73	13¢	$50	-$23	09-07 04:46
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+1,789	$1,210	1¢	$24	-$1,186	07-31 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	11	$8.7K	14,450	0	+14,450	Yes	+$687	07-29 02:10
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.6K	1,815	0	+1,815	Yes	+$228	06-23 15:52
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$1.2K	1,789	0	+1,789	open	—	07-31 20:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	119,222	0	+119,222	No	-$1,105	06-02 14:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$764	1,032	0	+1,032	Yes	+$268	06-23 17:27
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$716	2,139	0	+2,139	No	-$716	06-27 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	27	$690	1,058	0	+1,058	Up	+$62	05-10 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	97	$652	2,169	0	+2,169	Down	+$679	05-11 13:42
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?	7	$563	1,297	110	+1,187	No	-$12	07-29 16:17
BNB Up or Down on May 11?	78	$477	951	0	+951	Up	-$35	05-11 15:09
grvt fdv above 350m one day after launch	2	$389	611	0	+611	No	-$389	07-29 17:15
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$370	14,000	0	+14,000	No	-$370	07-18 15:50
BNB Up or Down on May 8?	87	$336	901	0	+901	Up	+$367	05-08 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	43	$315	626	0	+626	Up	+$97	05-11 05:51
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	8	$306	400	0	+400	No	-$306	07-30 14:01
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	81	$294	2,334	0	+2,334	Down	-$55	06-02 03:50
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?	7	$281	548	0	+548	No	-$7	07-27 22:52
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	67	$281	897	0	+897	Up	+$8	06-02 03:44
Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	24	$276	751	0	+751	Down	+$71	05-11 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	60	$260	576	0	+576	Down	+$26	05-12 14:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$251	491	0	+491	Yes	+$49	06-26 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	45	$244	446	0	+446	Up	+$8	05-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	11	$220	405	0	+405	Down	-$57	05-11 00:40
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	28	$215	465	0	+465	Up	-$112	06-02 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	37	$209	347	0	+347	Up	+$21	05-14 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	41	$204	581	0	+581	Up	-$96	05-10 10:55
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte3	1	$194	365	0	+365	Yes	-$194	07-19 07:16
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	3	$193	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-05 18:16
Knicks vs. Spurs	4	$192	300	0	+300	Knicks	-$192	05-31 14:23
Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?	51	$180	490	0	+490	Up	-$140	05-14 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 04:46:10	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	388	19¢	$73	0x60df8c…
09-02 15:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x18679a…
09-02 15:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x131293…
09-02 15:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x9922dd…
09-02 15:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x83b79a…
09-02 15:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x0d172f…
09-02 15:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x44a8c1…
09-02 14:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42f2de…
09-02 14:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xea4265…
09-02 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7b5f88…
09-02 14:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x7ee82a…
09-02 14:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3fb04a…
09-02 14:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x3016f0…
09-02 14:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x12a877…
09-02 14:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0847bc…
09-02 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2318e5…
09-02 14:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x24ba51…
09-02 14:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6ef27d…
09-02 14:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x49243c…
09-02 14:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x201da6…
09-02 14:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6483f4…
09-02 14:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc045e8…
09-02 14:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc22a21…
09-02 14:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1e1d8d…
09-02 14:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xee5e6c…
09-02 14:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x00d710…
09-02 14:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x88eef4…
09-01 15:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x989947…
09-01 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc2609e…
09-01 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8f91ab…
09-01 14:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc6da74…
09-01 14:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc42c70…
09-01 14:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfaf605…
09-01 14:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd009d3…
09-01 14:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5d3360…
09-01 14:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa7b004…
09-01 14:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x64fee5…
09-01 14:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4583b8…
09-01 14:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x873d82…
09-01 14:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x835c6f…
09-01 14:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaa6358…
09-01 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2f2efb…
09-01 14:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xab9932…
09-01 14:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xbbb364…
09-01 14:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x12ea40…
09-01 14:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xbfba2a…
09-01 14:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x61af05…
09-01 13:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6d3a01…
09-01 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf109ab…
09-01 13:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x46c4c1…
09-01 13:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe82985…
09-01 13:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc1bc4d…
09-01 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f8b51…
09-01 13:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1b1665…
09-01 13:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9df76d…
09-01 13:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x370cc9…
09-01 13:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfe689e…
09-01 13:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5761bd…
09-01 13:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x486ea5…
09-01 13:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6e8197…
09-01 13:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xab7fd9…
09-01 13:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x39c075…
09-01 13:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x18223b…
09-01 13:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x877ba5…
09-01 13:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x404c6a…
09-01 12:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf81183…
09-01 12:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x44c5fd…
09-01 12:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x006973…
09-01 12:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb877a5…
09-01 11:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd2b3ac…
09-01 11:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x826995…
09-01 11:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xbf7168…
09-01 11:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6eab73…
09-01 11:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x0bd185…
09-01 11:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2ca90d…
09-01 11:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf2651e…
09-01 11:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa5ac03…
09-01 11:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6ce753…
09-01 11:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc009ba…
09-01 11:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4f0dae…
09-01 11:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd4fc27…
09-01 11:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa3e3b8…
09-01 11:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf58331…
09-01 11:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc6965e…
09-01 11:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xba560c…
09-01 11:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3903ff…
09-01 10:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xdc0581…
09-01 10:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1ecc5e…
09-01 10:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd8f720…
09-01 10:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd34740…
09-01 10:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4d68aa…
09-01 10:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc43163…
09-01 10:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf0b3b4…
09-01 10:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x927749…
09-01 10:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9b415a…
09-01 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x12654f…
09-01 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc6a6ea…
09-01 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x493585…
09-01 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3e17bc…
09-01 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0f54e8…