Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?
open
Total volume
$780
$20,809 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$22,878
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 08:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+15.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $177
vs crowd: 84% YES on $715)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $198 | $4 | +$194 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $405 | $109 | +$296 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $177 | — | +$177 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $21 | $16 | +$5 |
| Median | 5 | $15 | $18 | $3 |
| Below median | 4 | $5 | $8 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $266 | $5 | +$261 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $72 | $4 | +$68 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $60 | $58 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greedy-Afterthought 0x80cd…0273 | Up | +230 | $156 | $156 | 2 | 05-10 23:27 |
| Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Up | +173 | $105 | $147 | 3 | 05-10 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x92aa…0341 | Up | +170 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 05-10 22:51 |
| Parallel-Id 0x694d…c5a4 | Up | +150 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-11 05:03 |
| Mediocre-Grabbag 0x5c6c…998f | Up | +125 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 05-11 04:53 |
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | +121 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 05-11 01:20 |
| Present-Association 0x6916…786a | Down | +100 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-11 03:09 |
| Unfinished-Precedence 0x8031…c84c | Up | +36 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 17:10 |
| Ugly-Clover 0x0242…7375 | Down | +25 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-11 04:54 |
| Loyal-Quotation 0x03eb…d4ba | Down | +21 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-11 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xecd9…e6e3 | Up | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 04:53 |
| Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 20:14 |
| Loyal-Quotation 0x03eb…d4ba | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 05:28 |
| Favorable-Amenity 0xb47e…318c | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 19:19 |
| Demanding-Tapioca 0xd3f6…ad63 | Down | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 05:33 |
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Down | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 16:25 |
| Near-Bullet 0xf58c…10ae | Up | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0571…c3c3 | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 08:05 |
| Elderly-Dimension 0x5caf…3738 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 19:34 |
| Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 08:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x0571…c3c3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x7824a6… |
| 05-11 05:44:29 | Avaricious-Noun 0xa743…61dc | Up | SELL | 27 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x3aacea… |
| 05-11 05:33:36 | Demanding-Tapioca 0xd3f6…ad63 | Down | BUY | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xace2d9… |
| 05-11 05:28:07 | Loyal-Quotation 0x03eb…d4ba | Up | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xf00a7a… |
| 05-11 05:03:29 | Parallel-Id 0x694d…c5a4 | Up | BUY | 150 | 34¢ | $51 | 0x466aac… |
| 05-11 04:54:26 | Ugly-Clover 0x0242…7375 | Down | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x50d058… |
| 05-11 04:53:53 | Mediocre-Grabbag 0x5c6c…998f | Up | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xc80ed1… |
| 05-11 04:53:00 | (anonymous) 0xecd9…e6e3 | Up | BUY | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x1716a8… |
| 05-11 04:52:10 | Mediocre-Grabbag 0x5c6c…998f | Up | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x9f0035… |
| 05-11 04:43:18 | Mediocre-Grabbag 0x5c6c…998f | Up | BUY | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0x4602dc… |
| 05-11 04:42:50 | Avaricious-Noun 0xa743…61dc | Up | BUY | 27 | 36¢ | $10 | 0xcbd31c… |
| 05-11 04:27:38 | Pale-Mincemeat 0x59be…dc3e | Up | SELL | 45 | 31¢ | $14 | 0x58fae9… |
| 05-11 03:47:16 | Pale-Mincemeat 0x59be…dc3e | Up | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xa1223f… |
| 05-11 03:09:28 | Present-Association 0x6916…786a | Down | BUY | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0xd55616… |
| 05-11 02:25:29 | (anonymous) 0x6cca…07f7 | Down | SELL | 16 | 48¢ | $8 | 0xa85adb… |
| 05-11 02:25:13 | (anonymous) 0x6cca…07f7 | Down | BUY | 16 | 49¢ | $8 | 0xcd3eb3… |
| 05-11 02:20:51 | Wretched-Tonality 0x7422…26aa | Up | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x9dbaff… |
| 05-11 02:20:30 | Wretched-Tonality 0x7422…26aa | Down | SELL | 1 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xb7bedf… |
| 05-11 01:20:23 | Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xe451e5… |
| 05-11 00:40:04 | Loyal-Quotation 0x03eb…d4ba | Down | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x05f84e… |
| 05-11 00:40:03 | Loyal-Quotation 0x03eb…d4ba | Down | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xa7b71a… |
| 05-10 23:27:34 | Greedy-Afterthought 0x80cd…0273 | Up | BUY | 40 | 71¢ | $28 | 0xe371b0… |
| 05-10 22:53:12 | Greedy-Afterthought 0x80cd…0273 | Up | BUY | 190 | 67¢ | $127 | 0xb29009… |
| 05-10 22:52:48 | Tall-Hearing 0xe7cb…3f7d | Up | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xf590eb… |
| 05-10 22:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x92aa…0341 | Up | BUY | 81 | 67¢ | $54 | 0x272255… |
| 05-10 22:46:09 | Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | BUY | 26 | 66¢ | $17 | 0xe19a29… |
| 05-10 22:32:21 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | SELL | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x321574… |
| 05-10 22:32:18 | Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | BUY | 80 | 57¢ | $46 | 0x18631e… |
| 05-10 22:27:45 | Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xecd0d9… |
| 05-10 22:01:07 | Near-Bullet 0xf58c…10ae | Up | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x6cc719… |
| 05-10 21:01:33 | Ugly-Clover 0x0242…7375 | Down | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xa2e443… |
| 05-10 20:31:34 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Up | SELL | 40 | 52¢ | $21 | 0x250053… |
| 05-10 20:16:47 | (anonymous) 0x431e…597f | Down | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x4a553e… |
| 05-10 20:14:48 | Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535 | Down | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xc0a3b2… |
| 05-10 19:34:33 | Elderly-Dimension 0x5caf…3738 | Down | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xa04b3a… |
| 05-10 19:19:11 | Favorable-Amenity 0xb47e…318c | Down | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x704731… |
| 05-10 19:18:38 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Down | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x9c67c0… |
| 05-10 19:18:38 | (anonymous) 0x92aa…0341 | Up | BUY | 89 | 61¢ | $54 | 0xec9918… |
| 05-10 17:51:15 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Up | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x277d9b… |
| 05-10 17:51:01 | Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Up | BUY | 193 | 59¢ | $114 | 0x4c8d1d… |
| 05-10 17:10:25 | Unfinished-Precedence 0x8031…c84c | Up | BUY | 36 | 48¢ | $17 | 0x409305… |
| 05-10 16:25:03 | Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Down | BUY | 7 | 54¢ | $4 | 0xe00c05… |