Fresh-Palate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

151

Trades

1,795

lifetime

Volume

$64.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-09 23:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

52% 83% $-43

Politics

33% 0% —

Crypto

14% 97% $-23

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	86	$8.4K	9,740	9,740	+0	open	—	03-18 12:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	55	$4.1K	5,811	5,811	+0	open	—	03-17 18:06
will trump visit china by march 31	36	$1.9K	4,122	4,122	+0	open	—	03-18 11:05
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	18	$1.5K	1,259	1,259	+0	open	—	03-18 10:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	29	$1.4K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	03-17 09:26
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	16	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-18 01:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-09 20:21
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	25	$1.3K	1,354	1,354	+0	open	—	03-18 00:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$1.2K	800	1,400	-600	open	—	03-10 03:31
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	59	$1.1K	976	1,306	-330	open	—	03-15 23:00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	72	$1.1K	961	961	+0	open	—	03-18 12:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	15	$1.1K	1,353	1,353	+0	open	—	03-17 17:10
Iran leadership change by April 30?	35	$1.1K	1,343	1,343	+0	open	—	03-17 05:39
iran leadership change by march 31	37	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-17 09:54
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	60	$1.0K	1,182	1,182	+0	open	—	03-16 02:30
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	10	$1.0K	815	815	+0	open	—	03-09 22:38
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	40	$791	709	709	+0	open	—	03-18 12:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	12	$788	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 03:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$780	600	600	+0	open	—	03-10 05:58
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	8	$776	669	669	+0	open	—	03-18 00:03
spx up or down on march 10 2026	48	$688	710	1,210	-500	open	—	03-10 18:44
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17 total 157pt5	2	$668	362	362	+0	open	—	03-18 03:57
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	32	$663	705	705	+0	open	—	03-15 23:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$644	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 10:01
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 total 139pt5	7	$641	541	541	+0	open	—	03-17 17:33
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	6	$618	600	600	+0	open	—	03-10 06:19
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	8	$586	621	621	+0	open	—	03-11 13:54
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	9	$551	800	800	+0	open	—	03-16 16:46
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	31	$540	1,353	1,353	+0	open	—	03-16 02:31
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	10	$490	348	348	+0	open	—	03-18 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:19:19	eth updown 5m 1781046900	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xbfd4d3…
06-09 22:59:28	xrp updown 5m 1781045700	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x31b53f…
06-09 22:54:12	sol updown 5m 1781045400	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x00bc8a…
06-09 22:54:07	xrp updown 5m 1781045400	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0c6b17…
06-09 20:30:51	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe98a27…
06-09 18:04:42	xrp updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x13daa4…
06-09 18:04:39	doge updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x072be4…
06-09 12:13:48	eth updown 15m 1781006400	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bd25b…
06-09 11:04:27	btc updown 5m 1781002800	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x5e0cef…
06-09 07:14:42	hype updown 5m 1780989000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfa88d4…
06-08 23:51:10	eth updown 4h 1780948800	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc2c0d6…
06-08 23:29:10	doge updown 5m 1780961100	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa41c1e…
06-08 19:52:33	sol updown 4h 1780934400	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x1323c9…
06-08 13:58:07	btc updown 15m 1780926300	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4a22e4…
06-08 11:59:12	sol updown 15m 1780919100	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8790e5…
06-08 09:59:25	bnb updown 5m 1780912500	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x54b564…
06-08 09:14:24	sol updown 15m 1780909200	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x46a9f6…
06-08 08:44:33	btc updown 15m 1780907400	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x6ea4e0…
06-08 05:04:24	doge updown 5m 1780894800	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x43cec0…
06-07 21:56:34	solana up or down june 7 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x927e4f…
06-07 20:34:34	xrp updown 5m 1780864200	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x2e8bc7…
06-07 20:34:30	eth updown 5m 1780864200	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xbef5b8…
06-07 20:34:27	btc updown 5m 1780864200	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3d621d…
06-07 20:34:24	doge updown 5m 1780864200	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb24d90…
06-07 20:34:19	bnb updown 5m 1780864200	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd95a49…
06-07 18:43:28	sol updown 15m 1780857000	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x2abb15…
06-07 16:29:15	btc updown 5m 1780849500	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xba673c…
06-07 16:14:48	eth updown 15m 1780848000	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x46ee02…
06-07 15:53:22	xrp updown 4h 1780833600	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6e269b…
06-07 13:39:34	bnb updown 5m 1780839300	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd90085…
06-07 13:39:31	sol updown 5m 1780839300	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xc3226e…
06-07 13:39:27	eth updown 5m 1780839300	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x228f38…
06-07 11:13:36	btc updown 15m 1780830000	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x88818b…
06-07 09:13:19	hype updown 15m 1780822800	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x06a46c…
06-07 07:39:19	bnb updown 5m 1780817700	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x153d59…
06-07 06:09:51	bnb updown 5m 1780812300	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe3c0d0…
06-07 06:09:42	sol updown 5m 1780812300	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xad05b7…
06-07 05:13:43	eth updown 15m 1780808400	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x68998d…
06-07 00:29:39	eth updown 15m 1780791300	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf69647…
06-05 08:44:54	btc updown 5m 1780648800	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xe144a3…
06-05 08:28:34	sol updown 15m 1780647300	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb0d204…
06-05 03:14:24	xrp updown 5m 1780629000	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x921343…
06-05 02:44:24	btc updown 15m 1780626600	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xce60ec…
06-04 20:31:43	wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb9a169…
06-04 19:54:42	doge updown 5m 1780602600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1d955a…
06-04 15:44:09	btc updown 15m 1780587000	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2c191e…
06-04 15:33:19	ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf217fe…
06-04 14:58:42	sol updown 15m 1780584300	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xf9796f…
06-04 14:14:18	xrp updown 5m 1780582200	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x556d7d…
06-04 14:14:16	eth updown 5m 1780582200	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x7394e9…
06-04 14:14:09	btc updown 5m 1780582200	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x4a5e56…
06-03 22:24:07	eth updown 5m 1780525200	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x95f412…
06-03 15:50:42	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x978d64…
06-03 14:09:45	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x602fdf…
06-03 07:14:10	BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xad4585…
06-03 06:57:20	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd05217…
06-03 01:28:08	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x878c4f…
06-03 01:19:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xde67d4…
06-02 19:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfd323c…
06-02 18:59:03	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x66384d…
06-02 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x7464dd…
06-02 09:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00f475…
06-02 06:04:21	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x85adfd…
06-02 05:59:22	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xf9f47b…
06-02 05:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x10b24f…
06-02 05:59:13	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x52162f…
06-01 20:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x204e63…
06-01 19:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x876022…
06-01 19:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xf781d6…
06-01 18:29:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd42268…
06-01 14:24:59	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3c2f9a…
06-01 07:39:58	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7db085…
06-01 06:28:13	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2cf900…
06-01 06:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xb62ea9…
06-01 05:04:17	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb693db…
06-01 03:34:27	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0ebef2…
06-01 03:34:21	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xed641e…
05-31 19:56:12	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x703521…
05-31 19:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbf170a…
05-31 18:29:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7817a6…
05-31 17:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xf42f38…
05-31 15:38:21	Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe8ae44…
05-31 11:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x80d211…
05-31 09:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa456be…
05-31 09:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8a7e94…
05-31 09:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xaa2fdb…
05-31 05:49:26	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x7b0027…
05-30 21:54:19	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x9fad80…
05-30 21:54:15	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb4dca6…
05-30 20:28:06	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xe1129e…
05-30 19:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd07af4…
05-30 19:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb255cf…
05-30 19:49:31	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa34000…
05-30 19:49:27	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xbb7244…
05-30 19:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd19e47…
05-30 17:13:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xaa37a6…
05-30 17:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x240bfb…
05-30 14:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x83d767…
05-30 13:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x459e96…
05-30 13:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x58e07c…